The David Irving bet

With the impending release of David Irving, my mind turned to wondering about what he’ll do when he gets out. His finances are a ruin. He’s ticked off his fellow Holocaust deniers by saying that there were indeed homicidal gas chambers at Auschwitz. This discussion led to a question, which led to some prognosticating by me and others on a discussion board:

When will Irving show up in the U.S. to give speeches before far right wing groups to try to replenish his depleted bank account? Current favorites range from around two weeks after his release to around a month after his release. What do you think? Either way, the depressing thought is that he’ll almost certainly be fouling the U.S. with his presence sometime in early 2007.

While you’re at it, there are two other questions:

1. How long before Irving recants his statement that there were homicidal gas chambers at Auschwitz, claiming “duress” or something like that? (My prediction: Shortly after he sets foot in the U.K. again, in the first interview he gives.)

2. How long before Irving blames “the Jews” for his imprisonment in Austria? (My prediction: Again, in his first interview after he sets foot in the U.K.)

ADDENDUM: It looks as though I was right about #1. We’ll see how long it takes #2 to come about.