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Leaving the cult of antivaccinationism and alt-med

The other day, I got to thinking about cults. The reason is that it’s been clear to me for some time that the antivaccine movement is a quack cult. In fact, a lot of quack groups are very cultish, the example that reminded me of this having been an excellent report published by a young mother named Megan Sandlin, who used to be antivaccine but is no longer. Her post, Leaving the Antivaccine Movement, reminded me very much of the genre of “deconversion” stories, in which atheists who were once fundamentalist Christians describe the process of their losing their religion or cult members describe how they ended up leaving their cult.

Sandlin begins her story by telling first how she became an antivaccinationist when her oldest daughter was about four months old. It was that time that she described discovering the world of “crunchy” parenting, which led her to a world of cloth diapers, “intactivism,” and home birth. It didn’t take her long to notice that a lot of her newfound friends who raised children that way were hostile to vaccines, which led her to a Google University education that provided her with all the antivaccine “knowledge” and “science” that would mesh with her preconceived notions about “natural” parenting, “toxins,” and the like, and fuel an antivaccine world view. And that’s exactly what it did. However, even at her most antivaccine, Sandlin had more self-knowledge than the typical antivaccinationist (like the one I described the other day), as Sandlin’s musings reveal, or at least, in retrospect she understands where she went wrong:

However, my research was very skewed. I was going into it with preconceived ideas – my anti-vaccine friends had put ideas into my head, such as not trusting government websites. I was forced to rely on whatever I could find while Googling, which were often websites like Mercola or whale.to. I even started “liking” anti-vaccine pages on Facebook – pages that I now understand masquerade as “information” centers. I got added to Facebook groups like “Great Mothers Questioning Vaccines.”

Even though all of my supposed research was coming from non-scientific sources, I trusted it.

Hilariously, what ultimately led Sandlin to start questioning her nice, cozy world view and her nice, supportive friends was the phenomenon of crank magnetism, in which a person with irrational beliefs in one area tends to have irrational beliefs in multiple areas. In this case, Sandlin started to notice things about her friends’ beliefs that disturbed her:

However, I’ve always considered myself a skeptic, and I began to notice how some of my anti-vaccine friends believed in some other things that I found, well, questionable. For example, several of my anti-vaccine friends posted about chemtrails pretty frequently. I’d never heard of chemtrails, so I did some research and quickly discovered it was just a conspiracy theory easily explained away by people who actually understood how airplane contrails work. I also noticed that skeptic pages I followed occasionally made jabs about “anti-vaxxers” and homeopaths.

It was a slow process, but I gradually began to question my own anti-vaccine views. I stopped posting about vaccines for several months and began seeking out real science that would show me the truth, either way. What I found shocked me.

She went on to describe her process of seeking out real science and real scientific studies and how, more and more, she realized that antivaccine beliefs were not based in science or reason. Ultimately, she did a complete 180° turn and decided that she should be vaccinating her children. So she took her children to the pediatrician and got them their shots, and her two daughters are now in the process of catching up on their vaccines now, which is a wonderful thing. Not surprisingly, however, the reaction of her crunchy friends was not particularly supportive:

The fallout from changing my views was pretty extreme. Within two weeks of “coming out” on Facebook about my new stance, I lost over 50 friends. People who had cheered me on and supported me through my home birth, who had told me countless times that I was an awesome mother and an inspiration, just dropped me like we’d never been friends at all. I was removed from groups and blocked by people I didn’t even know. I was accused of being brainwashed and told that my girls were going to get autism and have terrible reactions. It hurt.

I now view the anti-vaccine movement as a sort of cult, where any sort of questioning gets you kicked out, your crunchy card revoked. I was even told I couldn’t call myself a natural mother anymore, because vaccines are too unnatural. That’s fine. I just want to be the best parent I know how to be, and that means always being open to new information and admitting when I’m wrong.

Notice the characteristics of a cult that I can identify here:

  1. Authoritarian Leadership: OK, the antivaccine movement, being a diffuse, more dispersed movement doesn’t really have this, although it does have heros that it worships who cannot be spoken ill of without severe consequences, like Andrew Wakefield.
  2. Exclusivism: Antivaccinationists have this in spades. The Thinking Moms’ Revolution is a perfect example, in which only the “Thinkers” who have accepted the antivaccine views of the group are viewed as worthy of respect. Everyone else is the enemy.
  3. Isolationism: The isolationism of the antivaccine movement isn’t so much physical but takes more the form of online isolationism, where the antivaccinationists form online communities that avidly try to keep outsiders away.
  4. Opposition to Independent Thinking: We see this in the case of mothers or other antivaccinationists who start questioning the beliefs of the group, like Sandlin.
  5. Fear of Being “Disfellowshiped”: We see this in Sandlin’s case as well. Until she overcame her fear of losing all her online friends, she couldn’t truly be free.
  6. Threats of Satanic Attack: Antivaccinationists (well, most of them anyway) don’t use fear of an actual Satanic attack to keep its adherents in line. It does, however, have Satan equivalents, like Paul Offit, the FDA, the CDC, the government in general, big pharma, and, of course, us skeptics. They are all the enemy that will tempt members from the straight and narrow of the purity of the antivaccine path.

Obviously, the analogy isn’t perfect. Cults often have charismatic authoritarian leaders who demand absolute obedience. The antivaccine movement doesn’t really have that, but it does have several cults of personality around its heroes. They also aren’t as isolated as real cults in that most of them mingle just fine with the rest of the world, with possibly no other problem other than annoying some of their friends for haranguing them about vaccines. All the while it celebrates these online communities thusly:

Thank God for them. Through the message boards, Facebook pages, and websites. I have met some pretty awesome people. Some of them I have even been fortunate enough to meet up with in person a few times. But what I love most about the online community is when I’m having a frustrating/down day I can go to my phone or computer and send them a message. We can chat for hours about all things biomed. We bounce ideas off one another, or just vent. And it’s okay because we support each other, and know that deep down the other one GETS IT!

It’s very clear that there are other very cult-like groups going under the alt-med mantle. Perhaps the most prominent one of them is the people who admire Stanislaw Burzynski, which is, if anything, even more cult-like than the antivaccine movement. For example, there is more of a single authoritarian leader who is in charge and about whom no ill can be spoken. He is believed to have powers above and beyond that of average men in that he, apparently alone of all doctors, can cure certain kinds of incurable cancers. For those who believe in him, faith in him is unshakable. No matter how much evidence is presented that he can’t do what he claims to be able to do, no matter how much evidence indicating his malfeasance is presented, faith in the Great Savior never wavers. The enemies are the FDA, the NIH, the Texas Medical Board, and, seemingly above all lately, skeptics.

Examples abound of other alt-med practitioners with the same characteristics. The degree to which each of the six characteristics applies varies, sometimes markedly, which is why I’m not referring to these groups as being strictly cults, but rather as being cult-like. Think Robert O. Young, whose defenders have popped up, although unfortunately for him, his cult of personality is nowhere near as powerful as that of Stanislaw Burzynski. Think Jess Ainscough. I could go on and on, but you get the idea.

Irrational beliefs have a great deal of power over the human mind. Beliefs such as those at the core of alt-med appeal to our deepest desires, desires for purity, for health, for immortality, for community, for a purpose in life. In these things and others, belief in such treatments shares many characteristics with religion and cults. As imperfect as the analogy might be, it’s still a compelling one. Alt-med, antivaccine beliefs, and the like might not be an actual religion or cult per se, but they share enough with cults for the analogy to help us understand the resistance to evidence, the hatred of outsiders, and the shunning of “apostates” who abandon the religion. Evidence alone can rarely overcome such irrational beliefs, but the case of Megan Sandlin demonstrates, if a member is primed for a deconversion, putting the evidence out there can help it along. It’s part of why I do what I do.

By Orac

Orac is the nom de blog of a humble surgeon/scientist who has an ego just big enough to delude himself that someone, somewhere might actually give a rodent's posterior about his copious verbal meanderings, but just barely small enough to admit to himself that few probably will. That surgeon is otherwise known as David Gorski.

That this particular surgeon has chosen his nom de blog based on a rather cranky and arrogant computer shaped like a clear box of blinking lights that he originally encountered when he became a fan of a 35 year old British SF television show whose special effects were renowned for their BBC/Doctor Who-style low budget look, but whose stories nonetheless resulted in some of the best, most innovative science fiction ever televised, should tell you nearly all that you need to know about Orac. (That, and the length of the preceding sentence.)

DISCLAIMER:: The various written meanderings here are the opinions of Orac and Orac alone, written on his own time. They should never be construed as representing the opinions of any other person or entity, especially Orac's cancer center, department of surgery, medical school, or university. Also note that Orac is nonpartisan; he is more than willing to criticize the statements of anyone, regardless of of political leanings, if that anyone advocates pseudoscience or quackery. Finally, medical commentary is not to be construed in any way as medical advice.

To contact Orac: [email protected]

702 replies on “Leaving the cult of antivaccinationism and alt-med”

#1 indeed

as i mentioned on another thread its strange form a non us-ian perspective because everyone has a foreskin…well i should narrow that down. most european states do not practice routine circumcision unless for medical reasons ( such as phimosis or repeated balanitis, and those are not common) or for religious reasons ( in which case its normally not done by a regular doctor IIRC. A trip to a locker room can confirm this for the doubters. I suppose familiarity breeds contempt so the idea of getting that worked up about not having one is strange. Mind you so is the idea of routinely hacking apart penes shortly after birth ( i exaggerate for effect)

Isolationism

I would posit that limited isolationism also counts as cult-like. See the Hubologists* for an example. They are not living a secluded life, but members of this cult are still encouraged to segregate and flee from “negative” people.

* followers of Dick Hubbell. See the Fallout 2 wiki for more info. Any resemblance to a real cult is purely coincidental, I swear.

Threats of Satanic Attack

Calling Sandlin “brainwashed” and promising her eternal damnation her children will become autistic definitively has shades of “lost to the Devil”.
A lot of Alt-Med uses a rhetoric akin to the Evil Eye, of being punished for not following the path of purity. I agree, these are cult-like behaviors.

The World Wide Web was (and still is) the enabler for such cult’s proselytism.

As you have shown, debunking quackery is not enough by itself because converts are members bound to a social group, not just the core doctrine of the group (the quackery). Each member will support and defend their social group irrespective of whether or not they believe its core doctrine(s). The fear of being disfellowshipped is much stronger than perhaps most outsiders realize.

The other problem being that search engines list results in order of their popularity rather accuracy, which is the opposite of science, reason, and best medical care.

Ah, my html tags for striking words didn’t carry out.
Guessing which words I wanted to strike out is left as an exercise for the reader.

Preview, where are you?

Notice what was the first crack in the wall for Megan Sandlin: running into ‘friends’ posting about chemtrails. How easy would it be to get other antivaxxers to loosen up and post their own favorite bits of crank magnstism, the more magnetic the better? ‘Past lives’ as Royalty, radiation from TVs, anything to do with ‘signs and portents,’ etc.

Re. ‘crunchy,’ I’d like to suggest we use the word ‘mushy’ for that and make it go viral. Hard science is crunchy, woo is mushy, like crisps past their expiry date.

Cult alert:

Ray Kurzweil, the AI guru who promotes the idea of transferring your mind to a computer to achieve immortality, is reported to take 120 supplement pills a day, with the full support of his doctor, Terry Grossman. Last year Kurzweil was hired by Google to run their AI research centre, which gives him a much bigger stage for promoting his brands (plural) of pseudoscience among people who really should know better but apparently don’t.

A quick search shows Terry Grossman is head of something called the Frontier Medical Institute in Denver USA, which is listed in Yelp under ‘acupuncture, naturopathic/holistic.’ He wrote a book titled _Fantastic Voyage: Live long enough to live forever_ (no comment needed!). This situation bears watching.

I agree that the anti-vaccine folks don’t have a single charismatic leader- they have about 12. More like the Greek gods:

Tenpenny, Larry Palevsky ,Sayer Ji and Kelly Brogan at Greenmedinfo, Mercola, Gary Null, Barbara Foe Fisher, Dr. Sears, Aviva Romm, Jay Gordon, Mayer Eisenstein, Suzanne Humphries, and Toni Bark.

Of note, most sell their own or directly profit from the sale of supplements, in ways that would make them lose their license if they were doing this with pharma companies.

Truth be told when conversing with antivaxxers cult is very nearly the word which pops to mind.

Nice post, Orac. Just the other day, I had someone comment on my post about the deep pockets of the anti-vaccine movement, saying that they understand how funding from pharma can be a red flag (after all, they’re out to make a profit), but they couldn’t understand why someone (Tomljenovic and Shaw) would jeopardize their scientific careers just based on belief. I tried to explain how powerful belief can be, and how there are other motivations that may not necessarily have anything to do with money.

Then I came across Ms. Sandlin’s account, which perfectly illustrated a couple of the points I was trying to make. Wonderful timing.

How easy would it be to get other antivaxxers to loosen up and post their own favorite bits of crank magnstism, the more magnetic the better? ‘Past lives’ as Royalty, radiation from TVs, anything to do with ‘signs and portents,’ etc

*Anecdote on* My own experience is that they too often go hand in hand. My sister is an anti-vaxxer who hits every stereotype: calls herself “natural” and rails about vaccines, chemtrails, flourination, GMOs, dyes…while smoking her Marlboro (full-tar), drinking a Rock Star Energy Drink, and doubling up on her Adderall prescription. Sometimes reasonable people get caught up in fear and misinformation, but I don’t know if I’ve ever met an antivaxxer who didn’t also hold some crazy ideals while still maintaining a level of cognitive dissonance that is damn near pathological. Of course, my sister’s issues all stem from a simple hatred of authority.

*Anecdote* off

Good for Megan.
If she thinks she was being picked on before for her conversion to rational thinking, she had better be prepared for a hurricane of vicious antivax backlash, now her opinions have been more widely disseminated on the web.

Short list of things that are not natural:
* Clothing.
* Electricity.
* Man made structures – buildings.
* Computers.
* Cities.
* Tools.

So, when can we expect the whole lot of “nature” obssesed alties disappearing naked in the wild?

IMO, like most cults and cult-like organizations, anti-vaccine organizations, and their analogues in the wider world rank quackery alternative “medicine” emphasize the concept of ritual purity, and the formation of a community dedicated to maintaining it, almost above all others.

I mean, what is a wishy-washy concern about “toxins” (as compared to a concrete concern about specific known dangerous organisms or compounds – e.g. measles or lead poisoning) other than a desire to be physically/ritually pure? In this view, a vaccine could be a contamination of one’s purity, especially if one takes the view that vaccines cause a variety of developmental or other disorders.

Admitting a genetic factor in autism spectrum disorders, among parents who say such things as “the light left my child’s eyes”, would be admitting that they themselves are somehow “contaminated”, or inherently impure. Displacing this horror onto vaccines, and the potential self-loathing onto external enemies – doctors, the government, vaccine manufacturers, and skeptics – seems like a very natural reaction if physical/ritual purity is a priority.

The formation of a more-or-less insular community dedicated to maintaining, and even promoting this notion of purity also strikes me as a very natural thing to do. People like to be in community with like-minded people. When the community has a general feeling of being “under siege”, or at risk of contamination from malevolent outside forces, it strikes me as very natural that the reaction would be to close ranks – and to punish or expel doubters in the community’s midst.

All of the above is idle speculation, of course.

This story resonates strongly with Bruce Bartlett’s extraordinary article, “Revenge of the Reality-Based Community”, on the American Conservative site. It’s a great piece, and not too long, either — recommended to all.

I was thrilled to see this article, and yes, “cult” has often sprung to mind when I see the antivax believers sharing their screed. And yes, I think that the loss of community and the “shunning” is probably one of the most frightening aspects of being part of one of these cults. You can put up with a lot of cognitive dissonance if you’re afraid of losing all your friends.

BTW, I didn’t see Jenny McCarthy listed there. . .she was a pretty big charismatic leader there for a while. I don’t know whether she’s still on the hit parade, though.

In 1994 I was diagnosed with tinnitus and told to just “live with it.” Nurses I worked with told me I should be “glad I didn’t have cancer.” NEVER ask someone to make that kind of comparison, the guilt is overwhelming.
So I turned to the alt/med community…bc there is always something they can offer. None of it worked, but I certainly felt like I had some control.For a while.
It wasn’t until I totally fell apart and was put in anti anxiety/anti depressants that my head cleared up, the noise calmed down. -I still hear the noise, but I no longer listen to it
Now—thanks to information on blogs like yours (and with permission from you and yours), I teach my students critical thinking skills in a topic “skeptic’s guide to complementary & alternative medicine.” I haven’t quite lost friends, but my oldest friends are quite into homeopathy, one’s brother in law is a naturopath…it is a challenge, but at 59, I guess you pick your battles.

One of the defining characteristics of religious faith is how it shifts the issue from the rational to the emotional, from the objective to the subjective. The “choice” to believe or not is supposed to be a matter of the heart, not the head. It defines the sort of person you are.

Religious faith involves a commitment to become a believer. It’s not based on insufficient evidence as such. It’s based on evidence which is sufficient for those who can love; it can never be enough for those who can’t. It all comes down then to picking out which group seems to have the best hearts. Choose your identity.

The alt med proponents I know personally are all heavily into Spirituality and the crank magnetism is high. They’re very up front and center about homeopathy or reiki being a matter of faith — or, sometimes, one’s “paradigm.” They’re not just buying into a particular remedy, it’s an entire world view. And alt med is also a self-view.

Sometimes in my coffee group I’ll hear someone bring up a new name. The question is often asked “Is she open?”

That’s a code. They mean “does she believe in alternative medicine?”

A marvelous post and timely too. I’ll be reprising my “Escape from Wooville” talk tonight at the Bay Area Skeptics talk in . . . Berkeley (cue theramin music) the very heart of The Axis of Me-Ville™.

#11 I enjoyed your list and I’d like to add the following:
* Sex for any purpose other than reproduction.
* Antibiotics.
* Pain medication.
* Hospitals.
* Cooking.
* Artificial lighting and heating.
* Reading and writing.
* Religion.
* Telephones.
* Television.
* Toilets.
* Transportation.
* General knowledge.
* And last, but not least, critical thinking skills (the only item on our lists that all cult members seem to have successfully avoided using).

Composer99 wrote:

I mean, what is a wishy-washy concern about “toxins” (as compared to a concrete concern about specific known dangerous organisms or compounds – e.g. measles or lead poisoning) other than a desire to be physically/ritually pure?

I wonder if this may explain in part aversion to food additives. While, of course, there can be legitimately harmful food additives, the automatic assumption that an additive tested for safety has to be worse for you than an unstudied natural ingredient makes more sense from the point of view of ritual purity than that of toxicology.

@ Pete Attkins

Just to split hairs:

The Bonobo tribe next door would have liked to lecture you on the naturalness of your first item, but they are busy having an orgy.
(on second thoughts, let’s not start a debate on which type of sexual intercourse is natural – quite a hot topic)

I would also nitpick on your last item, critical thinking, and move it into a different list: “things which are natural but apparently the all-natural brigade didn’t get the memo.”
A bit long for a title, but self-explanatory.

@Helianthus: Who appointed bonobos to be the arbiters of naturality? Any animal that does cultural transmission of behaviour is on the slippery slope to Big Pharma if you ask me.

Until people accept their their “noggin” is a deception engine and embrace the evolutionary path it has taken and the reasons we are wired that way can a person truly begin to develop critical thinking skills. And it is only then that a person can truly be free of the shackles of irrationality and magical thinking. Acknowledgement of my ability to be fooled is what has helped me in my path to a greater understanding of what ot means to be truly human.

I’ve been slumming again, at AoA. Yesterday’s post was about the supposed new information that SafeMinds had located in the Simpsonwood transcripts. There is only one link to the SafeMinds website…and it is a dead end link. Which one of the AoA editors is moderating the comments and which editor checked the copy, before the article went online?

http://www.ageofautism.com/2014/02/cdc-more-evidence-of-a-mercury-over-up.html

Go and view the comments, filled with all sorts of invective, conspiracy, theories of genocide, and vows to criminally prosecute each and every researcher ever involved in vaccine development.

Finally, one commenter tried to open that dead end link and posted this…

“When I clicked on the highlighted “See Simpsonwood transcript p.p. 41-42” here in Jim Thompson’s article it brought me to the SafeMinds website but the message read:

“Sorry, “The page you are finding seem doesn’t exist”

Is anyone else having a problem accessing it too?
(Also note the ungrammatical phrasing.) Seems to me it’s being blocked.

Posted by: Julie Penny | February 13, 2014 at 01:00 AM”

More proof that most of the commenters on AoA don’t actually read the articles and just post their usual dreck on every article that appears. Pathetic.

P.S. The broken link still has not been fixed.

A “friend” of mine of facebook who is rabidly antivax has absolutely no problem taking bong rip after bong rip of marijuana all day long. She also is very grateful for the new mouthful of dental implants she got and for the anti-nausea meds she took all throughout her pregnancy. When I asked her about that, she told me that her doctor assured her it was safe during pregnancy.

Yes that is just an anecdote, but I am sure she is pretty close to representing the deep thinking skills of most antivax moms. They absolutely do not reject modern medicine at all; when it is convenient and rewarding for THEM, then they absolutely love being in the pockets of big pharm and big medicine.

Another antivax “friend” immediately took her baby to the hospital when she suffered a bad burn. But then she was having a huge ethical and moral crisis when the doctors said her baby needed a tetanus shot. You could tell from her post that when she made the decision not to vaccinate, that it never even occurred to her that there is a very real reason why babies need vaccines. Until it happened. To HER. This is the selfishness, the obsession with one’s own brilliance, and the belief that YOU always know what is best for YOUR baby that has sparked the whole thing.

Reminds me of the GMO crowd. Or the animal liberationists who invade the mice labs and turn rodents loose all over the streets.

There is only one link to the SafeMinds website…and it is a dead end link.

Seems to be working now. IIRC, Thompson is “sdtech,” which would add amusement value to the screwup.

While there are fully immersed, fanatical alt med communities who depend on one another (re: cults), many are much more casual about it, all on their own. They are uneducated dabblers who know it is frowned upon but have their secret hopes for a cure, or are just covering their bases. I know many of these.

I also know those for whom alt med is a religion, and years ago they had me buying into the supplement scam for a few months until I realized that:
1. I felt no different whether I took supplements or not
2. Despite their “purity of body,” there was no difference anecdotally in who contracted cancer, arthritis, thyroid issues, bad colds, etc.
3. The government conspiracies were beyond belief with the slightest whiff of critical thinking
4. I found this website!

Or worse Brock, the morons in the UK that turned loose thousands of Minks (who are rather vicious to begin with) into the wild, only to see most of them get run over by cars & numerous others attack small children, pets, etc….these people really don’t have a rational bone in their body.

@Helianthus #22
I was aware of Bonobo behaviour, but just for a change I succumbed to using poetic licence instead of science 🙂

I totally agree with your nitpick regarding critical thinking because it’s something I take very seriously in the domain of health care and other vitally important domains that I occasionally comment on.

Until people accept their their “noggin” is a deception engine and embrace the evolutionary path it has taken and the reasons we are wired that way can a person truly begin to develop critical thinking skills.

Oh, I’d dispute that. In fact, I’d never even come across this seeming article of faith until running into self-labeled skeptics. There’s no evolutionary explanation needed for a simple desire to avoid being wrong and directing attention to recognizing when you don’t actually know something. It’s not as though analytical thinking didn’t exist before evolutionary theory.

(In the third grade, we actually had a weeklong exercise that culminated with a prize of being awarded a small pin with text reading something like “when I don’t know, I look it up” around a question mark. The eight-grade science teacher did something similar every Friday, handing out completely optional questions designed to send us scurrying off to the library. I think the prize was exemption from the next week’s quiz. Two of the questions were “What are the bond angles in H2O?” and “What’s the world’s largest wooden structure?” It’s just cultivating basic research skills.)

Lurker @5: “Crunchy” is meant to suggest granola, a breakfast food associated with hippies and other anti-authoritarian types. It’s an allegedly natural food that actually isn’t that much better for you than many of the highly processed alternatives.

And it’s a good analogy for lots of alt-med types. They promote certain remedies as being “natural”, implying that these remedies are somehow better than what science-based medicine has to offer, but most of them have no demonstrated effect, and most of the ones that do are actually harmful.

#32 Narad,

Am i right that the answers to the questions are about this much ( waves hands vaguely) and George W Bush?

but also although an evolutionary knowledge is not necessary for critical thinking the avoidance of wrong is not the same thing- thats what the antivaxxers do. they avoid being wrong by making sure that their version of events is trumpeted by the choir.
I suspect that past a certain level a knowledge of neuroscience is necessary to understand how wrong our instincts are, and why.

One of the most telling features of altmed/ anti-vax cults is that they instruct followers into what is taboo to eat or drnk and what particular foods/ beverages increase your ‘mana’ or chi** ( so to speak). Obviously they also subscibe to a variety of ritual purifications.

Ingesting food and drink enables us to incorporate parts of the external world and transform them into *ourselves*: symbolically this is a big deal- altho’ it is strictly true on a chemical level: we eat calcium and turn it into bone and need iron for haemmoglobin, etc.

But the religious aspect of alt med declares that there are ‘good and bad’ choices that go beyond whether they are nutritional or not: in particular quarters, meat, dairy products, processed foods or GMOs arescorned and characterised as quite evil and damaging to life; I occasionally hear more than a hint of self-righteous indignation that people who eat fast foods and standard fare are somehow corrupt and decadent, being made so by their dining choices. Thus they deserve their ultimate fate: the wages of sin is death.

** many arcane vegetable-based nutrients too numerous to name but easy to merchandise.

What irritates me about crunchies — and I apologize in advance if I step on the toes of any parent regulars here whom I respect — is that assumption that motherhood automatically confers a mystical knowledge and some spiritual and cognitive gifts that no one else possesses*.

So you’re a mom (or dad although warrior daddies seem to be thinner on the ground). Big fat hairy deal. You spread your legs, popped out the kid, and now you’re an Oracle? Hell, my cat can do that.

(*Mandatory disclosure statement; I am childless but I work in the public sector; if having children automatically turned the average woman into a loving and omniscient goddess, we wouldn’t need DCFS, would we.)

#35 your answers may be superficially true but mine have a deeper spiritual meaning

You spread your legs, popped out the kid, and now you’re an Oracle? Hell, my cat can do that.

That’s not exactly the posture during feline delivery.

if having children automatically turned the average woman into a loving and omniscient goddess, we wouldn’t need DCFS, would we

I happen to be reading this (PDF) at the moment. It might be more accurate to say that we wouldn’t need something like what DCFS is supposed to be.

@ Shay:

But you see, giving birth is a rite of transformation changing a woman into a demi-goddess. If you have more than one, you are officially a full** goddess- these things add up.

What did Goethe’s Faust say: “The Mothers!” (( shudder))

** which may be spelt differently if referring to TMR.

Granola may be not very “healthy” but it is delicious.

Denice – at my local grocery store they sell a bottle of concentrated cherry juice for twenty-three bucks. You can get ordinary 100% cherry juice in another aisle for three-fifty, but it doesn’t come with all those over the top health claims. Or hey, you can get cherries in the produce department.

You’re the one in a cult, Orac. And your god is vaccine. Everyone else just wants to be left alone but you and your cultist followers have to use the law to force vaccination on the public. Vaccine extremists such as yourself tell each other what a miracle vaccines are, imagine mild illnesses to be killer diseases and celebrate occassions such as teen vaccine week, adult immunization month etc. Most of you have no lives and vaccine worship and or fantasizing that you are saving lives is a mechanism you use to delude yourselves into thinking your lives have meaning. They don’t. You’re simply a bunch of science nerds and or germaphobes rejected by mainstream society that have developed a fixation on vaccies in order to generate a false sense of self importance. This is usually the case with people who must meddle in the lives of others

Right, cherry juice concentrate is currently being hawked as an arthritis med, sleep aid, method of rejuvenating collagen and hence the appearance of aging skin- and probably has other miraculous uses for its antho- and/ or proanthcyanidins of which I am unaware.

I’ve got a bottle of that regular cherry juice in my fridge right now. Good stuff, but I don’t need an excuse to drink it.

Most of you have no lives and vaccine worship and or fantasizing that you are saving lives is a mechanism you use to delude yourselves into thinking your lives have meaning. They don’t.

Project much, Mr. Schecter?

You’re simply a bunch of science nerds

And you’re simply a bully.

your answers may be superficially true but mine have a deeper spiritual meaning

“One morning, during Yong Maeng Jong Jin at the Providence Zen Center, a student walked into the interview room and bowed to Seung Sahn Soen-sa.

“Soen-sa said, ‘What is the true way?’

“The student shouted ‘KATZ!!!’

“Soen-sa said, ‘That answer is neither good nor bad. It has cut off all thinking, so there is no speech, no Buddha, no mind, no way. Tell me then: what is the true way?’ The student said, ‘The sky is blue.’

“Soen-sa said, ‘That’s true enough, but it is not the way.’

“Then, holding up his Zen stick, ‘What color is this?’

“‘Brown.’

“‘Yes. When I ask you what color is the stick, you don’t answer, ‘The bell is yellow,’ even though that’s perfectly true. It would be scratching your left foot when your right one itches. It’s the same when I ask you what is the true way and you answer, ‘The sky is blue.’

“‘Go ask a child about the true way. A child will give you a good answer. Zen mind is children’s mind. Children have no past or future, they are always living in the truth, which is just like this. When they are hungry, they eat; when they are tired, they rest. Children understand everything. So let me ask you again: what is the true way?’

“The student stood up and bowed.

“Soen-sa said, ‘This is the Great Way, the Buddha Way, the Tao. It is not the true way. Do you hear the sounds outside the window?’

“‘Yes.’

“‘What are they?’

“‘Cars.’

“‘Where are these cars driving?’

“‘Over there.’

“‘What is the name over there?’

“The student was confused and said nothing.

“Soen-sa said, ‘It is Route 95. That is the true way. Hope Street is the true way. Doyle Avenue is the true way. The way is only the way. There is nothing beyond.’

“The student bowed and said, ‘I understand. Thank you.’

“Soen-sa said, ‘You’re welcome. Now what is the true way?’

“The student said, ‘Route 95 goes from Providence to Boston.’

“Soen-sa closed his eyes.”

Most of you have no lives and vaccine worship and or fantasizing that you are saving lives is a mechanism you use to delude yourselves into thinking your lives have meaning. They don’t.

When’s Pigasarius Publishing going to release its next first title?

@Narad
Building the fan base first. Almost 45,000 Facebook fans. It’s called business.

This “Leaving the Anti-Vaccine Movement” article cited here is great! I’ll save it in my tool bag (weapons arsenal) for use when countering anti-vax inanity.

Building the fan base first. Almost 45,000 Facebook fans. It’s called pretending to have a business.

FTFY.

President
Pressarius Publishing

March 2009 – Present (5 years)

Groups and Associations:

Book Publishing Professionals
Book Writing, Self Publishing, and Marketing for Business
On Startups – The Community For Entrepreneurs
Publishers & Book sellers association
ThoseinMedia

These aren’t even real trade associations, they’re LinkedIn “groups.” You’re a random dildο with a Facebook page and delusions of grandeur, not the president of a publishing company or, for that matter, seemingly competent at your self-identified specialty of “writing and editing.”*

How are your engagement numbers? Oh, right, you can’t afford professional metrics.

* Check out this declaration of war on style and usage.

Narad…I already checked out Offal’s most recent blog post. How proud he must be that L. Hubbs posts comments on his blog.

“You spread your legs, popped out the kid, and now you’re an Oracle? Hell, my cat can do that.”

I’ve always wanted an Oracle cat. You should put him/her on Twitter.

You’re the one in a cult, Orac

A cult supported by 30 years of legitimate research, dickwad.

Denice @36:

But the religious aspect of alt med declares that there are ‘good and bad’ choices that go beyond whether they are nutritional or not: in particular quarters, meat, dairy products, processed foods or GMOs arescorned and characterised as quite evil and damaging to life;

This is well illustrated by the fact that you can, if you wish, purchase “GMO-free” salt. Whenyou pointed out that salt cannot be genetically modified, the anti-GMO loons tell you that the GMO-free label is applied to the minute amount of dextrose filler added to packets of table salt; you point out that dextrose is just a chemical molecule without any genes and get the reply is that it’s derived from corn, which *can* be genetically modified.
In other words, ordinary chemicals can be magically contaminated and made ritually impure by second-hand and even third-hand contact with GMOs. It’s as bad as the purity rules of the Roma; worse, in fact, as the Romas’ rules have a basis in practical hygiene

I got my flu vaccine a mere 49 days ago, and now I am struck with the dreaded coryza AND steternation AND tussis WITH sputum. It’s a vaccine injury, I tell you.

She’s not as smart as a Gumbie cat but she’s much more photogenic.

You should see the cheesecake-photo poses my penultimate rescue kitten (well, ~8 months) is putting on offer now that her belly fur is growing back in. It’s shameless.

Further to Mrs Grimble #59:

This is well illustrated by the fact that you can, if you wish, purchase “GMO-free” salt.
[…]
In other words, ordinary chemicals can be magically contaminated and made ritually impure by second-hand and even third-hand contact with GMOs.

“Support for my theory continues to accrue at an alarming rate.” 🙂

/(hyperlinks provided to provide context for reference)

Mrs Grimble,

In other words, ordinary chemicals can be magically contaminated and made ritually impure by second-hand and even third-hand contact with GMOs.

Years ago I remember a chap on some CAM forum I used to peruse mentioned that he could not tolerate corn, especially GM corn. This caused a problem as he took huge amounts of vitamin C, which is mostly made from glucose derived from corn. He explained that he had found a solution, and bought his vitamin C from a company that offered an expensive, corn-free, organic variety of the panacea.

Curious, I dug a bit deeper, and tracked down the source of this amazing vitamin C from information on the company’s website. It was made from good old US GM corn, of course, hydrolyzed to glucose with acids, then put through some extremely unnatural sounding industrial processes. I never had the heart to tell the corn-intolerant person this.

Mrs Grimble @59: Two days ago I listened to a man talk to himself (or his phone, it was hard to tell) about if he should buy the regular saline nasal spray, or the organic saline nasal spray. I desperately wanted to ask how any carbon-free chemical could possibly be organic, but I’ve learned not to ask chemistry questions of the possibly crazy people at my grocery store.

Just wanted to say thanks for discussing my article! Your commentary was spot on. The cult similarities became so apparent once I began questioning the antivaccine movement.

“Sid’s” facebook page ( i.e The Vaccine Machine) does have about 45K friends BUT I wonder what that has to do with business:

parents who doubt SBM and wish to evade vaccinating their children** frequent this page and trade information about how to get exemptions, find anti-vax tolerant doctors, ask for and discuss natural cures for all-wot-ails-ye.

Although he might be building an audience for like-minded patrons (like AoA or TMR sell books and ads for supplements and services), it seems that one of this site’s selling points is that it IS free. People trade information w/o fact checking or SB peer reviewing. They just talk.

So how do you make money off of that? I guess he could set differently ( off FB) and sell ads.

** sometimes their pets also like today.

Rustichealthy found naturalmomma

http://naturalmomma.tumblr.com/page/2
Thank you for your response

So, you’ve not tried vitamins and natural remedies for yourself, and that’s what I was wondering. I’m in process of writing (trying to finish:) a book on what I call “rustic” healthy i.e. natural health 🙂 having lots of information, (based on science too 🙂 I’m not a professional, just my experience, and what I’ve found in the last few years. But, thank you again, wish you the best, hope your little one is doing better. Peace.

———————————————————-

Whoa whoa whoa. You don’t have my permission to use anything I’ve said in your book. I have tried natural remedies for myself, some of them at least, but I do not give you permission to use anything in your book. Asking me a question meant for a book without telling me is dishonest.

@ Mrs Grimble:

According to its website/ labels, Celtic Sea Salt is GMO Free, raw, Kosher Pareve, vegan and gluten free.

It apparently doesn’t contain any Celts either.

@ Bill Price:

HOWEVER he who insists upon this product is of the keltoi.

Actually the salt doesn’t taste half bad: at 10 (?) times the price of regular salt, it’d better.

The other day my hubby went into a grocery store for bread, and the woman at the cash register enthusiastically told him that they had organic bread. He said, “Oh, good. That must mean that you also have inorganic bread.” She paused, and said, “I’ll have to check on that”. Heh.

@ Megan Sandlin:

To me, the most important common feature is that alt med/ anti-vax advocates seek to LIMIT informational sources that their followers might encounter-
so they teach that-
standard references are all ‘compromised”: experts are ‘in the pocket of Big Pharma’, governmental agencies, medical associations and the media are also out of the question.
That leaves only their woo.

Ms Klemperer-Wells: “Rustichealthy found naturalmomma”

Oh, deer. Rustichealthy is very special:

WLU….small pox, diptheria, viruses, measles, mumps… even polio..are all actually nutrient deficiencies…babies/children, especially, with low immunities contract them..of course, if they’re living in climates that don’t have all the healthy food they need. Today we have not only the food available, but the vitamins to boost immunity. They’re vitamin deficiencies. Perhaps before the discovery of vitamins..vaccinations (called immunizations) were warranted..not now.

Chris you just don’t understand — those of us Baby Boomers who got measles, mumps, and all those other childhood diseases back in the 50’s and 60’s did so because places like Scranton and Pasadena and Ann Arbor were cesspools of malnutrition 50 years ago.

Plus, vitamins hadn’t been invented yet!

Rustichealthy on SBM was so very special. Fortunately she did not have as much tenacity as Thingy.

Rusty on SBM promised to move out of the United States, if President Obama got reelected.

IIRC, Rusty couldn’t define the differences between fascism, socialism and communism.

Yeah, that ol’ “I’m moving to Canada if (fill in the blanks) is elected!”

It never seems to occur to these nimrods that Canada probably doesn’t want them.

Whether skeptic or antivax there’s a lot in common with teen gangs and fringe churches. Violate the code, and you’re an outcast, or worse.

@T. #18
I started reading up on that and it sounds like another case of misapplying the law to muzzle a critic because you can’t find any evidence to back up your own claims. I’m surprised it hasn’t been more widely reported on.

@squirrelelite #75
Ah Berkeley, where cutting edge science and naturalistic fallacy spewing fools collide head first. I’m really shocked that an unvaccinated student was allowed to attend classes, and worried because BART carries almost half a million passengers every day all around the Bay Area. I truly hope this doesn’t start an outbreak.

Yeah, that ol’ “I’m moving to Canada if (fill in the blanks) is elected!”

I must admit, I now scratch my head when I see this claim. Generally, the people who make this threat/claim/whatever are of a Republican/Conservative bent, correct?
Yet Canada is far more liberal than the US, correct?
I can’t see the logic.

You’re simply a bunch of science nerds

Well yes, that’s true for a number of us. And your point?
You say it as it is a bad thing.

Lilady@25 Go and view the comments, filled with all sorts of invective, conspiracy, theories of genocide, and vows to criminally prosecute each and every researcher ever involved in vaccine development.
This sounds pretty much like what we get some of the more ‘extreme’ anti-fluoridation activists, here in NZ. Plus, of course, the inevitable claims about corruption & being bought by Big Fluoride (who, frankly, could take a leaf out of Lord Draconis’s book – long may his scales be bright – when it comes to regularity & quantity of largesse 🙂 )

Generally, the people who make this threat/claim/whatever are of a Republican/Conservative bent, correct?

It was pretty common at MDC whenever their Vaccine Freedom was being perceived as threatened. It never seemed to occur to anyone that professional mommies maybe with Etsy shops are not high on the immigrant list and the “refugee” angle wasn’t going to fly.

I suppose Orac will start telling us to eat more fruit next. Shilling for Big Banana.

@ Alison: Right after I posted that comment, an “erratum” was added to the blog, with a link that worked, directing the AoA readers to a proper link.

(The AoA editors and denizens do lurk on RI), and ~ 18 months ago, I posted a comment at one of the editors advising her that her dating of certain well-known conferences were dead wrong. To her credit, she did correct her copy (but didn’t post an erratum).

Another theme that I see is when some of those “mommies” claim that the diagnosing physician who provided an ASD diagnosis for their children when they were younger, actually told the mommies that there children would never progress and would have to be institutionalized at some time in the future…pure unadulterated b.s.

Their children had the benefit of Early Intervention Service and a host of traditional services such as ABA , OT and speech/language therapies, but, according to the mommies, progress was slow. When the warrior moms shlepped the kids to DAN! doctors or other quacks and were “tested” and found to have yeast, fungal and untreated viral and gut problems and the mommies put their kids on very restricted diets and the children were prescribed unnecessary extended yeast/fungal/antiviral medication regimens….the miraculous “recovery’ occurred. No mention is ever made about intensive Early Intervention, traditional therapies and the childrens’ maturation, which ameliorated their problems and resulted in “recovery”.

They all inhabit la-la land and lack the ability to understand the nature of most ASDs diagnoses and they need that self-affirmation as well as validation from their “group”, that they know more than the doctors. Such is the nature of these warrior moms.

@reader #80,

Whether skeptic or antivax there’s a lot in common with teen gangs and fringe churches. Violate the code, and you’re an outcast, or worse.

That really isn’t true of skeptics. There is lots of disagreement, but dissenters aren’t “out”, unless they insist on promoting views that are not supported by evidence, and even then no one is usually banned in any way for simply holding a dissenting view.

On this blog, for example, dissenters are tolerated, though anyone putting forward unconventional views can expect to be asked to support them. There are semi-regular commenters here who hold fringe views, such as insisting that everything medical somehow relates to nitrogen oxides, that acetaminophen in infancy causes various problems or that acupuncture works for cardiac arrhythmias. Their assertions may be challenged, some of us may roll our eyes when we see a comment from then, but they aren’t outcasts.

Even Greg is tolerated here. He clings desperately to his idée fixe, playing a weird deranged game* in which he is the one with the truth and everyone else secretly knows it, though his claims have been repeatedly and comprehensively dismantled. He is also sometimes quite offensive. Try doing what he does here on AoA, or (in my experience) even post a polite comment that disagrees with anything they have claimed, and your comments will never appear.

* I sincerely do hope it’s a game. If he really does believe what he claims, I have concerns for his mental health.

The wonders of social media and GMO-free salt. I found this entry on Facebook: “… This one is not only GMO-free, but doesn’t contain any chemicals either!”

Correct me if I’m wrong: salt that doesn’t contain any chemicals would have zero mass.

Dietary salt (sodium chloride) consists of at least four chemicals: 23Na, 35Cl, 37Cl, and trace amounts of the radioactive isotope 36Cl. I would have thought that those worried about “chemicals” would be raving about the benefits of “low radiation salt” rather than GMO-free salt.

Pete Attkins,

Correct me if I’m wrong: salt that doesn’t contain any chemicals would have zero mass.

If it’s really special salt it might have negative mass, and levitate, on account of the ormus it contains. (By the way, the “ormus” in those bottles has “the consistency of milk of magnesia” because it is milk of magnesia i.e. magnesium hydroxide, precipitated from sea water solution by adding lye).

You’re simply a bunch of science nerds
That’s so not fair. We also have grammar and spelling and history nerds.

@Helianthus #83
Perhaps some commentators have’t yet realized this website is called ScienceBlogs, not Anti-Science Blogs. I guess proponents of anti-science can’t understand why anyone would bother to learn science, its methods, and critical thinking skills.

@Pete Attkins – I’m amused at the concept of chemical free salt as well. However, you’ve listed isotopes instead of chemicals. I’m sure isotopes are even scarier than chemicals because some of them might be radioisotopes (the older cousin of TVisotopes?). Table salt also contains ions (typically Na+ and Cl-, though possibly a few others as well depending on impurities); I suspect ions may be OK but they are suspect and bear watching.

@Krebiozen, I’d be delighted to purchase negative mass special salt: the more kilograms of it I buy the more money I’ll receive from the supplier (according to UK Weights & Measures legislation). Thanks for the link.

So Thinking Moms Revolution sold itself for a paid advertorial and a bunch of links, telling parents that coconut oil treats autism?

What disgusting assholes.

@ Pete Attkins

and trace amounts of the radioactive isotope 36Cl.

Should we point out to the natural crowd that potassium and carbon atoms all have natural unstable isotopes? They do give the human body a nice aura of radioactive decay.
Not a reason to go visit the core of a nuclear power plant, mind you. There is something as too much of a good thing.

As for the anti-science crowd, it’s people being proud of being anti-elitism – smarter than the guy/lass in a position of authority.
However, there is a lot of conformism in their anti-conformism stand, to paraphrase Umberto Eco (talking about hipsters rather than alt-meds, but there is some overlap).
And conformism brings us back to cult-like behaviors.

@72
I imagine inorganic bread would be like the dwarf battle bread in Terry Pratchett’s Discworld stories? Made with only the finest grit!

@ Rebecca Fisher:

Right. That was written by Dragon Slayer, a TM from Malaysia, who just recently ( in the past month?) wrote a long epistle trumpetting the merits of an essential oil ‘first aid ‘kit ( I won’t give them free adverts by mentioning their name- ALTHO’ @ RI, it would automatically become an anti-advert): seems she and her family visited Japan and the magickal oils enabled them to avoid hospital for food poisoning and as well as exhibiting all other sorts of miraculous powers that made their travels just SUPER!

So she’s a shill for Big Oil.
Not THAT Big Oil. That’s BIG Big Oil: this is the smaller one.

@Jeff1971 – That’s certainly how it looks to someone who works in publishing…

I like aspects of attachment parenting, but I’m sorry, but being anti-vaccination isn’t logical when you look at the actual science and history behind it. As for infant circumcision, I hate it and I think people should be able to decide when it comes to their own genitals.

But vaccines are useful, I’m sure chemtrails don’t exist, GMO fear is probably exaggerated and people need to SCIENCE more.

@Helianthus #97: Good point, see below.

@Mephistopheles O’Brien #94
Some chemicals have no known isotopes, but sodium and chlorine do have known isotopes. The sodium component of sodium chloride is 23Na (its only stable isotope), but the chlorine component is approx. 76% 35Cl and 24% 37Cl (both stable isotopes), and a trace amount of the unstable radioisotope 36Cl.

IIRC, salt ions exist only when in solution e.g. in our “wet” bodies. Ions are essential to all cell-based organisms.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ion_channel

A point continually missed by those obsessed with “natural” is that humans consist of many radioisotopes (carbon-14 being just one example). Humans emit enough alpha and beta particles each day that even just shaking hands with someone does increase one’s likelihood of getting cancer (albeit minutely in my opinion). Sleeping every night with a partner multiplies this risk manyfold, as does having close contact with pet animals. Do I worry about this risk? Of course not, but I’m not an alarmist who constantly worries about GMO salt (whatever that is) or the incredibly low probability of harm that might result from immunization.

The long-term effect of raised cortisol levels in those chronically stresses by fears of GMO, vaccines, etc. will be many orders of magnitude worse than any possible harm done by the things they are worrying about. Marketing does, of course, rely almost entirely on messing around with our cortisol level and our fight-or-flight and reward mechanisms.

Organic quackery may be turning into the quackery to control them all rather than homeopathy. USDA gives this quackery a veneer of acceptability but under it lies pure quackery. Vitamins and vaccines, if used, must not be made in any way by GMO even if it is a purified molecule. Organic vets push homeopathic remedies and acupuncture. Organic is the gateway to all other quackeries.

@Pete Attkins,
Just to go chemical geek for a moment, all salts are a different class of compounds from molecular compounds like water or CO2.
The metal atom like sodium is fully ionized, giving it a positive charge, while the electron(s) tightly bind to the electronegative element in the compound like chlorine. These ions are arranged in a crystal lattice which is overall neutral.
As you pointed out, the ions are freed up to float around in a solution like water.
And, as you noted, all humans are naturally radioactive.
I have a shirt I got from the ANS that points it out like these stickers:
http://www.ans.org/store/i_750046/r_a

It also amuses me when health food sites tout Brazil nuts as one of the healthiest nuts. I think they’re grown in a region that has a lot of uranium in the soil and they’re the most radioactive nuts in the world, mainly from radium.

Except at least one of them is not: the bond angles in H2O are 104.5.

That was just sloppiness on my part. After 35 years, I only remembered 10x.5 and “hangar.”

Even Greg is tolerated here. He clings desperately to his idée fixe, playing a weird deranged game* in which he is the one with the truth and everyone else secretly knows it, though his claims have been repeatedly and comprehensively dismantled.

Does anyone know if Greg has ever made a statement of fact that has been verified to be true? It’s no doubt confirmation bias on my part, but I don’t recall an occasion.

@mike #103, you may be right. My observations of recent trends in pseudopsychology make me think that anti-science business empires are still relying on the divide and conquer approach, which history has shown to be more effective than a collaborative attack on science. Anti-science in general seems to also rely on the cyclic model used by the fashion industry.

@squirrelelite #104, many thanks for your reply and the link showing your very apt shirt. I could add many things supporting what what you’ve written about nuts being healthy, but I think it wise for me to refrain from further giving the “all natural” crowd more doses of their own “medicine” 🙂

Squirrelite isn’t the only nuclear geek in this here crowd, yanno… 🙂

Any examination of the yearly annual radiation dose for a given location has to take into account all that lovely natural radon seeping out of our radioactive planet.

You’re right, Scottynuke!

And back in the 20’s, people used to deliberately get dosed with radon because they thought it was healthy!?!?!?

Nowadays, it’s still a concern in basements with so-so air circulation, like the one I set up my study in when I was at U of M.
And, you’re welcome, Pete Attkins!

Don’t forget thorium toothpaste to “radiate cavities away”.

But seriously, it’s an article of faith with the crunchy-granola crowd that there was no such thing as radioactivity before 1945, and that it’s all manmade.

@108: I’m pretty sure that the Greg entity has felt something approximating mirth while entering “hee hee hee,” if that counts at all.

Believe it or not, Mikey is now publicising results from his “lab” that show how often natural foods have deadly radiation. ( Natural News)
None of *his* products, of course.

@ Mewens:
I’ve owned Italian shoes that were more clever than the entity you describe.

ha ha ha, I’ve no doubt of that, Domina Walter. Of course, simple velcro tennies are cleverererer than our dear friend – you might actually be damning your (undoubtedly fantastic) trompers with faint praise.

@RobRN,
I wasn’t aware of that, but I see he got his MPH there before going to instruct at UCSF.

Too bad. Berkeley and the LBL have a great tradition in science. But, it seems the area is awash with free non-thinkers.

And back in the 20′s, people used to deliberately get dosed with radon because they thought it was healthy!?!?!?

There are examples from the ’60s. One nice tidbit from the mine: “Additionally, this modality is effective for – but not limited to – the following conditions and symptoms… Circulation.”

@Denice #116 — I wonder if Mikey has all his sooper-special equipment set up on real granite countertops? I wonder, I does.

@ Mewens:

I can’t wear the cleverest shoes for more than an hour as I hurt my foot 2 years ago so I have to think either more ‘Marie Antoinette’ or “Expeditionary Forces’- both of which work surprisingly well. Also smarter than you-know.

@ Scottynuke:

I would guess that he’d have no idea whatsoever ‘scientist’ that he is and all.

However he is very worried about the hidden metals in Chinese rice. Mikey and Food Babe ( I swear I didn’t make that nym up- she did) are busy confronting companies who sell bad, contaminated stuff that they laughingly call ‘food’.

Denice @124 – Mikey and the like are, of course, fullovit, but arsenic in rice is a legitimate concern.

Apparently arsenic can have measurable effects on public health even at very low exposure levels.

#88 Rebecca, I have made a similar comment about the incestuous nature of the ads for coconut oil appearing along with the article touting its benefits; mine is also “in moderation.” Some nut named “Free People” on NaturalNews recommended I try it for my “dementia.” Of course, she/he also discusses chemtrails, so.

@squirrelelite #75

I hadn’t heard about the measles case. As a regular commuter in BART with a parent undergoing some heeeeeavy chemo (leukemia, bah) I need to know this. Thanks!

@ palindrom:

Of course.
HOWEVER Mikey seems more concerned about *other* metals than arsenic. He has a petition up about those ( @ Natural News).

He would have you believe that NO ONE looks at levels of lead et al in foods. He’s the ONLY one concerned about public health ( Don’t trust governmental agencies or universities) and he ISN’T being paid off by Big Farmer. He praises small concerns- like a rice company founded by nice Swedish people in California- which is surprising as he usually writes how toxins in the wind from massive, polluting industrialisation in China and radiation from Fukushima settle in the agricultural valleys of that state.

Mikey’s greatest concern is about how these metals show up in rice protein products like those that he and his followers consume several times a day as many of them shun meat and/ or dairy- so rice protein it is!

Interesting how natural food gurus ™ ingest mountains of dried vegetable and fruit powders and vegan proteins from rice or soy in order to get “back to Nature’.

You’re welcome, Johanna.
I just happened to notice that news on msn.com. It will be interesting to see if many measles cases turn up in the next few months.

@palindrom
Arsenic in drinking water is a concern in some areas including here in Albuquerque. Until recently, virtually all of the city’s water was pumped from underground sources.
These have been augmented with water transferred from the Colorado River into the Rio Grande.

http://www.abcwua.org/Arsenic_Compliance_and_Health_Effects.aspx
The water is now being treated at a pilot plant that started in 2007.
One source I saw noted arsenic as a risk factor for cancer. I also noted alpha radiation from the water and radon gas in various areas of the city as concerns.
On windy days like today, I don’t worry about the radon concentration too much.

He praises small concerns- like a rice company founded by nice Swedish people in California

Sure enough, it’s Lundberg. They’re not all that small.

The bit about the “secret phone meeting” is a riot, though. And I’m sure Lundberg would be fascinated to know that Mikey’s “tests” yielded results for arsenic that are drastically elevated compared with their own, particularly given the amount of effort they’ve already put into establishing credibility with consumers on this subject.

Perhaps he didn’t have any money left over to test other brands.

Perhaps he didn’t have any money left over to test other brands.

He probably spent it all on quality assurance.

At the risk of inflating Gurg’s already delusional sense of self-importance, I must say that “hee hee” makes me mental. I had a secretary for a few years who was fabulously competent and organized. That said, she would do this sort of little girl voice and would say “hee hee” whenver she thought something was cute or funny. Not actually laughing, but just saying it. I think it was totally unconscious and I knew if I said anything about it I’d be the bad guy. So I let it slide until I was two or three “hee hees” away from exploding when she announced that she was moving to a new company. Saved by a competitor.

^ The results from Mike-o and the Magic Massy Machine* are here, for comparison. The multipler from micrograms per serving to ppm is 0.022.

* See here for the reference. It’s fairly obscure even in the U.S.

I must say that Olmsted may have something of a talent for puzzling attempts at metaphor. In today’s “Weekly Wrong Wank Wrap,” the lede is

Mainstream medical and media types have decided to kick Andy Wakefield in the terminal ilium [sic] again.

Does this mean Wakefraud’s already down on the mat? The slot must have loathed him when he worked as a reporter: “Yong [sic*] is a junior fellow at Emory University [beg pardon?] in Atlanta, a virtual [sic] assisted living facility for emeriti [double sic] CDC vaccine officials like [sic] Walt Orenstein and Robert Chen [whoops]. I’m sure they cabled [sic] their approval.”

* He actually gets the name wrong all four times.

Wasn’t it Olmsted that the father of one of the Wakefield case children wrote to and told him that Wakefield’s paper was a “complete fabrication”?

Sounds like evidence to me.

@ Narad:

He tested a US product in contradistinction to those from
China ((shudder)): he seems to really loathe their products esp supplements so I guess rice should also be a polluted monstrosiity.

I believe that he has business concerns with the *other* China.

I think that MIkey’s Meister plan is to serve as an altie FDA for the woo-centric: he’ll tell you which woo is the better woo as that is not the business of a governmental organisation.
So previously, he “educated” his followers about how miserably deficient *standard* foods are and NOW he’ll “enlighten” them about the pitfalls of *other* people’s woo/ product lines.

Perhaps he’ll discover that several rice protein powders utilise Chinese rice.

Wait’ll he gets to green tea.

@ lilady:

I saw that!
Perhaps he should re-name his blog “Blaxill Investigated’ or “Where the Loons Come Home to Roost”.

Oddly enough, Mikey( and Food Babe) attack/s companies that sell ‘toxin-laced’ rice protein whilst he himself sells Rejuvenate Plus – green or red- which both list ‘rice protein’ as the protein ingredient.
Must be pure as the driven snow.

Someone should give Dan a lesson in basic human anatomy

I doubt that he realized he was also invoking this, but yah, you’d think he would at least have figured out where it is by this point.

Uh-oh, Danny Boy extends his ignorance and telescopes his game plan to boot (emphasis added):

Now, as his libel case against Deer twists in the jurisdictional wind in Texas, where an appeals court is taking a suspiciously long time to make up its mind on this simple issue….

Maybe he should try hanging around here sometime. Of course, the notion that the issue is “simple” kind of overlooks the nature of the contortionism on the part of the plaintiff-appellant.

Ooh, Jenny Allan is even more clueless:

Yes- This IS suspicious. To recap, the three judges in Texas are NOT judging the Wakefield V BMJ Godlee and Deer litigation

Well, to the extent that he’s already lost, sure.

but are deliberating over whether or not this action should be heard in a Texas Court.

Apparently, the whole of the case record has sailed over Ms. Allan’s head. Wakefraud is hanging his hat on the notion that the jurisdictional claim was waived by virtue of the filing of the anti-SLAPP. It’s not really about the long-arm statute any more, but whether Wakefraud can make an end run around it.

Godlee, Deer & Co are trying to convince the judges this is an ENGLISH issue and should be decided in the UK.

Not even close.

Dr Wakefield has lived in Texas for the past twelve years and has brought up his family there. The BMJ article was published Jan 2011, and was available in both online and hard copy form in Texas at that time. Non BMJ subscribers worldwide could access the article free via the internet.

You don’t understand that you just shot yourself in the foot, do you, Jenny?

There are several legal precedents. In theory at least, all Dr Wakefield has to prove to the court is that Deer’s BMJ article was available and delivered to Texas subscibers.

You might actually want to read those precedents, which, y’know, state the opposite.

Judge Amy Meacham took only a few hours to ‘throw out’ the Wakefield case, stating this did not come under the ‘jurisdiction’ of the Texas Courts.

This is apparently a novel definition of “hours,” given that it took eight months from start to finish.

Dr Wakefield’s faith in ‘Texas Justice’ appears to have been misplaced, from my side of the Atlantic. I pray I am wrong!!

If you mean you hope he wins the appeal, so does everybody on the sidelines, Jenny, because that anti-SLAPP would leave a mark in more than one place.

The last time I corrected copy on AoA, ~ 10 days ago, our Ilium-Kissing Troll sped over to AoA to inform the editor about the broken link.

Where’s Kent Heckenlively? He’s an attorney and could be checking the status of the Texas lawsuit for Dan.

Where’s Kent Heckenlively? He’s an attorney and could be checking the status of the Texas lawsuit for Dan.

I wouldn’t leap to assumptions; he’s only an ‘attorney’ if he’s actually representing someone. There’s not really anything to check about the Wakefield suit: Wakers seems to be getting antsy, so they submitted a postsubmission brief and exhibits with no sign of having been asked for anything, in which case a good bet is that the net effect will be simply to annoy the court.

One legacy of disease promoters, stimulated by Wakefraud amongst others, is outlined in this article from the Sunday Times (UK). The article discusses spikes in the incidence of measles worldwide.

Unfortunately, you need a subscription to read the full article but I was pleased that in the print version reproduced in The Australian newspaper, Wakers was consistently referred to as “Mr” Wakefield, having been struck off by the GMC (General Medical Council UK).

http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/news/uk_news/Health/article1376354.ece

He may have been struck off, but they cannot remove his medical qualification, so he remains a doctor, unfortunately.

I see the Times article has 5 comments so far (but cannot view). What’s the bet at least 2 or 3 of them are from John Stone, Wakefraud apologist?

Lilady, I can’t find any recent comments over there – they all seem to be 5 or 6 days old at the most recent. I have posted a few comments – all in moderation.

dingo 199: Go back to see the oldest comments on top where I and some other posters have commented back at Parker…and she keeps on posting back at us.

Our Ileum-Kissing Troll just posted a comment at Parker, complementing her for her carpet bombing strafing remarks on the CNN site.

He may have been struck off, but they cannot remove his medical qualification, so he remains a doctor, unfortunately.

Not in the U.S., if he’s referring to himself. Use of the title is regulated by state law; as I often point out, in Maine he can’t even append “M.D.” to his name.

Sure, he can’t practice, but he can still call himself a doctor.

The degree of the restriction varies by state, but broadly speaking, no, he cannot safely use the title as a professional asset.

Antivaxers are undoubtedly stamping their little cultish feet in frustration over publicity for the new C. difficile vaccine. Recruitment is underway for 200 clinical trials around the world:

http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2014/Feb/03/cdiff-vaccine-san-diego/

What a great thing this will be if susceptible people have a way to protect themselves against life-threatening C. diff colitis. If I fit the study criteria I’d definitely sign up for a trial in my area.

Antivaxers are undoubtedly stamping their little cultish feet in frustration over publicity for the new C. difficile vaccine.

The objection is already set up:

“A healthy human gut contains a wide variety of bacteria. Though we tend to define some as ‘good’—probacteria—and others as ‘bad’—pathogens—the reality is more complex. What’s important is the right balance, which is far more complex. Any bacteria can become problematic in excess, meaning that even so-called good bacteria can cause problems if they’re in too great abundance. Therefore, even so-called bad bacteria, like C. bolteae’s cousin, C. difficile, which can be life-threatening, has a place in the healthy gut of many people. In fact, C. difficile is not necessarily an invasive pathogen. It’s often found in the gut of perfectly healthy people. It’s only when it’s out of balance that there’s a problem.”

I note from the Dachelbot’s latest “Media Review” that it was unable to “post a comment” here. I wonder if it’s just been banned on this site or if Disqustink has an overarching reputation system.

Re: use of the title, “Dr”

In the UK, where Wakers qualified, the basic medical degree is a bachelor, not a doctorate. Only a minority go on to obtain a higher degree, eg PhD, MD etc. Technically, therefore, the appellation “Dr” is an honorary title for most UK qualified
physicians. I don’t know if Wakefraud obtained a PhD or similar. If not, it is perfectly correct to refer to him as “Mr”.

In the Texas appellate proceedings, he styles himself as “Dr. Andrew J. Wakefield, MB, BS.”

“Yog Hurt!” is the Lovecraft equivalent of Stan Lee’s “Hulk Smash!”

‘Nuff said.

@Dangerous Bacon

Considering that C. diff infections can kill 14,000 in the US alone, I’d say a vaccine against this would be welcome. Also, the spores are difficult to kill

Also, considering the isolation procedures that a patient at the hospital with C. diff infection has to go through, as well as the horrible diarrhea that goes with it, I don’t think anyone would want to suffer through that.

@DrBollocks, I understand that Wakefield has the basic medical degree, not a doctorate. He therefore is not entitled to the honourific.

In the UK, where Wakers qualified, the basic medical degree is a bachelor, not a doctorate. Only a minority go on to obtain a higher degree, eg PhD, MD etc. Technically, therefore, the appellation “Dr” is an honorary title for most UK qualified
physicians. I don’t know if Wakefraud obtained a PhD or similar. If not, it is perfectly correct to refer to him as “Mr”.

In deference to “Doctor” Wakefield, and his advanced degree and current status, I, speaking only for my self, shall refer to him as “Doctor” Wakefield, scare quotes and all.

@ Narad

C. difficile, which can be life-threatening, has a place in the healthy gut of many people. In fact, C. difficile is not necessarily an invasive pathogen.

I would be interested to know if the original writer thinks the same thing of Candida albicans. You know, this awful fungus (yeah, I know), source of all ills.

@lilady; It seems Angus Files, AKA Gus the Fuss is back as well, and off his medication / back on the booze again.

decided to kick Andy Wakefield in the terminal ilium

When I was younger (and not held back by a sense of decency and decorum) my business card proclaimed me to be a representative of the ‘Topless Towers of Ilium’, a novelty tow-truck company.

DrBollocks,

In the UK, where Wakers qualified, the basic medical degree is a bachelor, not a doctorate. Only a minority go on to obtain a higher degree, eg PhD, MD etc. Technically, therefore, the appellation “Dr” is an honorary title for most UK qualified physicians.

It’s funny how often this comes up. I know what you mean (and if I recall correctly you are a UK doctor), but I wouldn’t say that ‘Dr’ is exactly an honorary title in the UK, it’s just you don’t need a doctorate to be a doctor, you need a Bachelor of Medicine and Bachelor of Surgery (MBBS or MBChB) degree instead. From an educational standpoint, a US MD and a UK MBBS are accepted as equivalent by both countries. My point is it isn’t an honorary doctorate of the sort given to Prince Charles for, er, whatever it is he does to deserve them. I wouldn’t want anyone thinking we let people with nothing but a Bachelor of Science degree loose on patients.

Anyway, more to the point, Wakefield still has his MBBS so I suppose he could argue he is still entitled to be called ‘Dr’.

To complicate matters, Wakefield was a member of the Royal College of Surgeons, so he would traditionally have been called ‘Mr’ in the UK anyway, just as dentists and obstetricians are here, because they are surgeons too. Since he is no longer a member of the RCS, having been stripped of his membership, he is no longer entitled to call himself ‘Mr Wakefield’*, either.

I suggest he should be referred to as ‘Struck-off Doctor Wakefield’, just so everyone is clear.

* In the weird UK sense of being a surgeon, I mean. I don’t think anyone can be stripped of their right to be called ‘Mr’, though it’s an interesting concept.

Off topic, sorry, but relates to the Cia Parker CNN post earlier of Lilady.
I see Cia has left 1300 antivaccine comments on the CNN board Impressive. Doesn’t she have a child to care for, or something?

Krebiozen

Good points, well made. Personally, it provides me with a small amount of amusement to refer to the odious git as “Mr Wakefield.” Unfortunately, my sense of outrage at the damage he has wrought usually overwhelms the shred of amusement.

One minor clarification: I am indeed a UK trained doctor, but I now practise in Australia.

I see Cia has left 1300 antivaccine comments on the CNN board Impressive. Doesn’t she have a child to care for, or something?

Seriously? All that to make what, a few fringe friends for AoA?

Alain

I usually refer to the creature as AJW, Andy or Wakefield because using ‘Mr” implies respect or that he’a surgeon; ‘Dr’ implies that he’s either a physician or a scholar- which is why the alties afix that title frequently even if they acquire their degrees by mail-order.

I DO however like the sound of ‘Wakefraud’- nice ring to it.

I see Cia has left 1300 antivaccine comments on the CNN board Impressive.

According to Parker, her daughter was deprived of oxygen before birth by what Parker termed “a true knot” in the umbilical cord that necessitated an emergency C-section. (She wrote, “So my baby was asphyxiating both during and between contractions, and probably would have died without the C-section.”) This can only mean that her daughter’s developmental problems have nothing to do with being deprived of oxygen before birth via emergency C-section: it’s the vaccines!

According to Parker, she and her brother have autism, her brother’s son is autistic, and her daughter is autistic. Since Parker denies that autism has a substantial genetic component. this can mean only one thing: it’s the vaccines! This is similar to AoA editor Kim Stagliano’s claim that since her two older, vaccinated daughters have autism and her third, unvaccinated daughter is autistic, it can mean only one thing: it’s the vaccines!

@brian – that’s a new one on me. I hadn’t seen Ms. Parker’s claim that her baby was oxygen-deprived during birth….her entire story just doesn’t make sense (and never has).

Brian: Since Cia’s claim of autism is a really recent thing, and she is known to lie like a rug, I’d take the claim of her ‘autism’ with a salt lick. It’s extremely possible that she made it up to score sympathy points. I find this lie especially disgusting given her known hatred of people with autism.

But wait…
if SHE has autism isn’t she one of those people who Dachel says doesn’t exist ( over age 30)?
So how can they use her comments if she does’t exist?

@ Lawrence,

Yes, it’s weird that Parker chooses to blame vaccines for her daughter’s autism, while ignoring both the genetics and the the risks associated with her daughter’s difficult birth (e.g., abnormal presentation, umbilical-cord complications, fetal distress. [Pediatrics Vol. 128 No. 2 August 1, 2011: 344 -355])

It’s weird, too, that Parker bangs on about HepB vaccine-induced (Parker-diagnosed) “encephalitis,” while ignoring that hypoxia (such as caused by a “true knot” in the umbilical cord) is a common cause of neonatal encephalopathy.

But it’s always the vaccines.

Has Big Pharma done a study of prenatal hypoxia and then vaccines tipping it over the edge? I think not.

@brian – and unless her obstetrician was a complete idiot (and woefully negligent) everything she says happened would have been caught either at the delivery or before she left the hospital…..

According to Parker her mother was diagnosed with an ASD…and was diagnosed with Alzheimer disease…all caused by teh ebil vaccines.

Parker also claims that there are older people on her family tree that have been diagnosed with severe/profound developmental disabilities…who were institutionalized. (Anne Dachel take note)

Parker posted a comment about her own history of measles contracted in 1963, when she was six years old; she’s 56 years old, according to her claim and she was 43 years old when her only child was born.

Wouldn’t a prudent person, with her family history and at her age, (and her partner), undergone genetic counseling, to determine the risks of having a child with an ASD/developmental disability?

Parker’s latest “theory” about her own ASD and her family members’ ASDs/developmental disabilities, is that they have a gene…which cannot handle any vaccine. It’s the anti-vaccine gene, folks.

@lilady – her family would make for a great genetic research project, if it was actually true…..

I know a woman whose nephew supposedly died from an MMR vaccine. She always goes on about how vaccines are evil and how her four youngest kids are all unvaccinated. The youngest three are triplets… who are also all autistic.

@ dedicated lurker: You could ask that woman for the name of her nephew who supposedly died from an MMR vaccine, google the child’s name and add “United States Court of Federal Claims”, to see if a claim was file in the Vaccine Court, for that MMR vaccine death.

The perfect example of an totally unvaccinated child being diagnosed with autism is Kim Stagliano’s youngest child. She did not have her third child vaccinated, yet her youngest child is the child most severely impacted by autism, according to her.

@lilady,

A good blog post.
I saw your comment and added a couple of my own to the fray.

I’m not a reader of Mother Jones, but I am impressed that the writers managed to piss off some of the anti-vax people who are!

Lilady, I know they were never compensated for it. The family is apparently trying to sue whoever made the vaccine. I asked why they didn’t go through the vaccine court. Guess what, they tried and were denied. (The boy died months after the vaccine, so I’m not surprised.)

notation & dedicated lurker: I never ask a troll about claims for vaccine injuries, unless I have researched the U.S. Court of Federal Claims website.

Go back to Mother Jones…”Wynena” never made a claim for her infant’s death.

That doesn’t necessarily means she’s lying, Lilady. She comes across as not particularly sophisticated, and her claim of being unaware of NVICP is plausible. I’m willing to accept her story. That doesn’t make anything she says about vaccines accurate.

Dorit…I don’t know whether or not her infant died. I do know that she’s lying, when she stated that her doctor and the “coroner” told her that her baby died as a result of the vaccine(s) she received.

When did you count Parker’s 1,300 comments on the CNN board?

There are fewer than 1700 comments total. The 1300 figure seems improbable, and Disqustink does not provide any convenient method that I’m aware of to extract such numbers. (D’stink lives in a JavaStink wrapper, so there’s no indexing by search engines.)

Dorit: “That doesn’t necessarily means she’s lying, Lilady. She comes across as not particularly sophisticated, and her claim of being unaware of NVICP is plausible.”

She was a lawyer, plus she has a PhD in Spanish. Unfortunately something has happened to her that has nothing to do with vaccines. I have seen it in our extended family. Something that happens to at least one in a hundred in the population, and no one knows why.

Our relative did spend several weeks in our county’s psyche ward. When she was released after treatment from real doctors she reverted back to quacks, and deteriorated. But due to state laws her family could not help her.

The resolution was not pretty. Yes, I can now visit her a few blocks away. But that is just because that is where the local Catholic cemetery is located. She is under an incredibly beautiful rhododendron next to her step-father. A site chosen for him because he was a wonderful gardener.

This is why I beg her and her sock puppets to get real help. Not for herself, but for her family.

(Narad, I doubt she posted over a thousand comments, but when she does post she is very prolific. It is much like our relative during her manic stage. While I spent almost an hour scrolling quickly through the comments this morning, Ms. Parker actually posted several… the site’s website notified me there were more comments, most were from her.)

@ Chris: Dorit and I were discussing “Wynena” who is posting on the Mother Jones blog. (Yeah, I know it’s late for you…but it is 4 AM for me) 🙂

Wynena just posted a vicious post at me i.e., “you don’t walk in my shoes” and claims that her older child just received the separate H1N1 vaccine which caused narcolepsy, while swearing that she gets all her information about vaccines from the WHO and the CDC.

Drug Pushers,

How is everything going in ‘autism denialism land’? My pals over at AoA are sensing a shift in your time tested strategy of denying that there has been a real increase in autism, to now admitting it, but explaining that it is due to other environment factors and not vaccines. Anyway, just curious: Is the no real increase argument officially dead? Or, will you continue to make use of it now and again, and even if it contradicts the new argument of other environmental factors causing an increase except vaccines?

Your ‘friend’, Greg

Glug. You need to get a basic education. Because you were never able to accomplish that, there is too much that you don’t understand.

You may think it is somehow funny to make your points, or that, for all your lack of knowledge, you are somehow, deep down, very smart. But you are not. People here pity you.

Lilady, I generally assume people are telling what they believe is the truth until I have strong evidence otherwise. The human mind is an amazing thing, and I think – and hope – most people don’t consciously lie. I’m going to give Wynena the benefit of the doubt on her child’s story.
Not on the misinformation about vaccines, though. That needs correction.

Greg: so now you and your buddies are to the point of inventing arguments for the other side? I suppose it saves you the bother of actually listening to the other side, though one has to wonder what point your arguments have, then, other than your own self-aggrandizement.

Dorit: “The human mind is an amazing thing, and I think – and hope – most people don’t consciously lie.”

And that is the problem when the human mind goes haywire. The young man in the link I gave sincerely believed he was being chased by zombies.

As always, Dreg mistakes being argumentative for having a meaningful argument. I’m deconstructing this ‘effort’ of his less because there’s anything there to deconstruct, and more because the work I’m avoiding is actually (if you can believe it) more brain-stultifying than Dreg’s idiocies.

Humans are suggestible. Let someone say, “hey, don’t those three spots in the marble floor look like eyes and a smile?” and we will see a face there forever – even though there is no face, only random veins in stone. Even when common sense tells us “faces belong to organic creatures; that is not a face in that inert marble”, we still see that pattern.

And we see other patterns that aren’t there, just as readily as we see faces. We see cause-and-effect patterns that don’t exist – between our wearing of ‘lucky shirts’ and the victories of our sports teams, between what our horoscope predicted our day would hold and what actually happened, between our violation of social taboos and natural disasters that feel like the wrath of angry deities. And worst of all, if you are trying to figure out what’s real and what’s just the illusion of our perceptual systems – merely being aware of this tendency to see patterns where they are not, does not prevent it from happening.

So where does this leave us? Helpless? No. Because sometimes, when you can’t stop your own nature from fighting against you, you can still even the odds, by figuring out a way to make it fight for you as well.

Which brings us to the null hypothesis. When we think we see a pattern in data and we want to be sure, we instead put our over-eager pattern-matching imagination to work, searching for evidence that matches the pattern of our starting hypothesis being false (and its opposite, the null hpothesis, being true.) If what we think we’ll see is test scores going up after everyone studies with the new flash cards, the pattern we look for is test scores staying the same overall or even going down.

When we look for evidence that matches what we already believe, it paradoxically is not very strong evidence – because we are so prone to seeing evidence that matches what we believe, whether it’s there or not. When we look instead for evidence that counters what we believe, and can’t find it, the evidence it provides is much stronger.

The problem for Dreg is that he desperately wants to believe the hypothesis vaccines are causing autism, so desperately that he will grab at anything and try to spin it as support for that hypothesis. “They’re changing their story!” he screeches. “They used to say the apparent increase in autism rates was only an illusion caused by changing diagnostic criteria! Now they’re saying there may be an actual increase after all! That’s massive support for the idea that vaccines are causing a huge epidemic of autism!”

But every effort Dreg and his crowd have made to show more evidence for their hypothesis than for the null hypothesis has failed. Dreg talks a huge game about the rise in autism corresponding “precisely” with an increase in vaccinations, but ask him how that “precision” is measured and he won’t answer. Dreg will assert loudly that “autism is an immune-mediated condition” and that this somehow supports his crowd’s hypothesis, but ask him point-blank how it supports his hypothesis better than the hypothesis that vaccines protect against autism and he has no resort except to change the subject.

So whether the null hypothesis is there is no actual rise in autism or whatever actual rise in autism there is has no connection to vaccines, it actually makes zero difference to the hypothesis Dreg’s crowd has staked all their dignity on, because they still can’t support it.

Dorit: The human mind is an amazing thing, and I think – and hope – most people don’t consciously lie.

You’re too smart to be that naive. Humans lie all the time.

I know I am behind on this but I wanted to thank you for this article. It is true, it is a major cult. As a mom, I am happy you are reporting on this and I hope “new” moms tread carefully.

#87 -Lillady, you are absolutely correct!! They will NEVER, EVER credit therapies, school, or just the fact the child matures. NEVER. You will meet parents that go on about their list of biomedical treatments and how it is “recovering” the child but fail to mention the child is doing 30 hours a week of ABA! Worse, I’ve met many who DID NOT pursue Early Intervention, etc, and rely 100% on this quackery!!! These groups like AoA, AIM and Thinking Moms Revolution are dangerous, in my opinion. Furthermore, you have mentioned AIM is lead by nurses. How can they dispense medical advice without losing ther license? Parents are vulnerable and these people are persistent.

Wynena just posted a vicious post at me i.e., “you don’t walk in my shoes” and claims that her older child just received the separate H1N1 vaccine which caused narcolepsy

Pandemrix, which was never used in the U.S.?

My pals over at AoA are sensing a shift in your time tested strategy of denying that there has been a real increase in autism, to now admitting it, but explaining that it is due to other environment factors and not vaccines.

You do not get any reboots. Go back to your previous mess and start answering questions.

In any event, allow me to guess: They’ve glommed onto Grandjean & Landrigan’s sequel. I’m not aware of G&L’s having adequately addressed the original objections, not that they would be of any help to AoA if that’s what they’re carping about.

@ Narad…

“Pandemrix, which was never used in the U.S.?”

Yup. There was a separate H1N1 pandemic influenza vaccine that was developed and only available in the United States, during the 2009-2010 flu season and it was never implicated in the onset of narcolepsy, in the United States.

The H1N1 strain of pandemic flu, has been incorporated in every trivalent and quadrivalent seasonal flu vaccine for use in the Northern Hemisphere during the 2010-2011, 2011-2012, 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 seasonal influenza seasons:

http://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/Concerns/h1n1_narcolepsy_pandemrix.html

^ Yup, Gerg is channeling the utterly deranged “ottoschnaut.” Since he’s cackling about “silence,” Gerg, perhaps you’d like to ask him why his long-standing Schnautlove for Pattimmy has suddenly disappeared.

Re Wynena on Mother Jones:
I have no reason to think she did not have a child who died after vaccination – i is possible, though such events are extremely rare. I too sense her frustration and I think english may not be her mother tongue, so some things may get a bit lost in translation.
But there are gaping holes in some parts of her narrative:
1. “H1N1 vaccine given last year causing narcolepsy in her daughter” (She lives in the US; and Pandemrix was only used in Europe, and single H1N1 vaccine has not been given since 2009 during the swine flu epidemic)
2. “Doctors saying if her child had not been brought to hospital it would have been classed as a SIDS death” (This a child with among other things projectile vomiting and seizures – features quite incompatable with SIDS/”cot death”)
3. Her repeated assertions she went to a library and copied down the contents of a paper from the Harvard Medical Journal, in order to tell us about it (the text in question is a commonly encountered one in the online antivaxosphere, and very easy to track down. Are we to believe she could not find this online, or that the libary she visited did not have a photocopier for her use?

Pretty implausible.
Rather like Cia Parker, the more she reveals of the web she has spun, the larger the holes become.

btw, have you seen how the vaccine came to cause narcolepsy? Fascinating. All to do with molecular mimicry and autoimmune destruction of hypocretin producing cells in the brainstem. Haven’t the reference just now, but its quite elegant an explanation.

Our lilady has quite the reputation among the anti-vax community (and I assume, earned a place in whatever hell they’ve conjured up for the pro-vaccine folks) – if I could only be enough of a thorn in their side to earn a spot as well…….maybe someday.

Greg: so now you and your buddies are to the point of inventing arguments for the other side? I suppose it saves you the bother of actually listening to the other side

The point of trolling is to provoke the other side into maximum effort while investing as little of one’s own effort as possible. If the giggler broke a sweat reading arguments, or staying consistent, he’d have failed in trolldom.

PGP: everyone lies occasionally, I agree. But I think only few people can or will consciously live a lie all the time. There are enough studies on the effects of cognitive biases to suggest that many (most) of our anti-vaccine interlocutors may well sincerely believe what they say – in the face of all the evidence brought again, and again, and again.

I’m going to keep working on the assumption that most of them are sincere. Just dangerously, very dangerously, wrong. Again, I maybe totally wrong.

@ dingo 199: I stated that I do know if her infant died following immunization(s)…but her posts about SIDS (later changed to myocarditis) and the claim that a physician and a “coroner” told her that her child’s death was caused by a vaccine/vaccines, convinced me that she is a b.s. artist.

http://www.chop.edu/service/cardiac-center/heart-conditions/myocarditis.html

@ Lawrence:

“Our lilady has quite the reputation among the anti-vax community (and I assume, earned a place in whatever hell they’ve conjured up for the pro-vaccine folks) – if I could only be enough of a thorn in their side to earn a spot as well…….maybe someday”.

You’re well on your way Lawrence. 🙂

Dorit: But I think only few people can or will consciously live a lie all the time.

Trust me, as someone who *is* living a lie all the time, it really isn’t that hard. I’ll elaborate on that tomorrow; I really need sleep.

@ notation

The “hee hee hee” makes Dreg appear to be 13.

I have had more enriching conversations with some really smart 13-year-old teenagers than with a few “thinking-to-be-smart” adults.

For some reason, when reading the troll’s prose, I’m seeing a slimy slug.

i thought science was supposed to be objective now really i don’t get shots like that im grown i could honestly care less
but …
i have looked into it a little and learned there is in fact mercury in these shots, which i find a bit disturbing
so are we here denying that there is mercury or
accepting that is ok if so let me ask
if i put a little mercury on a spoon swirled it around let it slide off
then told you to put that spoon in your mouth and swallow who here would be willing to put thier mouth were there money is ?

@will motil, it’s thimerosal, not mercury. Thimerosal is a compound that has mercury as a constituent.
So if you put thimerosal on a spoon, swirled it around let it slide off then told meu to put that spoon in your mouth and swallow, I would.

C`mon guys — what`s with you drug pushers and not answering straight questions? Is the ‘no real increase’ meme officially dead? Again, just a simple ‘yes’ or ‘no’ will suffice.

@Helianthus
“For some reason, when reading the troll’s prose, I’m seeing a slimy slug”

But you are still reading! What a perverse fixation. Perhaps that old saying that likes attract applies. (Hee hee hee.)

@herr doktor bimler

I did recall you referring to us somewhere as a ‘dirt-bag’, sir. We do consider that sinking to such base insults is unbecoming of a wise old sage. Confucius would have definitely known better.

Anyway, sir, I recall we did humbly request something of you that you have been negligent in providing. Again, kind sir, let’s have no further delays. We ask that you fulfill our request.

will motil:

if i put a little mercury on a spoon swirled it around let it slide off
then told you to put that spoon in your mouth and swallow who here would be willing to put thier mouth were there money is ?

Metallic mercury? Why yes, I would do that. You mentioned money. How much are you offering?

Let’s see if Dreg can construct a syllogism or a sorites in which one of the premises is the answer to the question he keeps badgering for a one-word answer to, and the conclusion is “Therefore, there is an actual increase in autism AND vaccines must be the cause.”

If he can’t perform that feat, which should be simple for one who “excels in logic,” then there is no point in answering his “simple question” (not that anyone really expected there was.)

@Gregger #200:

My pals over at AoA are sensing a shift in your time tested strategy of denying that there has been a real increase in autism, to now admitting it, but explaining that it is due to other environment factors and not vaccines.

AoA has a propensity to see what they want to see, regardless of what the evidence actually says. So I’m going to need supporting evidence for the claim that someone has admitted that the ratio of autistics to neurotypicals is increasing.

Is the no real increase argument officially dead?

Until you stump up the evidence I asked for above, no.

@Lawrence

Our lilady has quite the reputation among the anti-vax community (and I assume, earned a place in whatever hell they’ve conjured up for the pro-vaccine folks) – if I could only be enough of a thorn in their side to earn a spot as well…….maybe someday.
——————————————————————————-
(Julian’s blockquote tip didn’t work. Bad Julian — bad!)

Hey Lawrence, I think you are giving Lilady a little too much praise there. The anti-vaxx community simply regards Lilady as a repugnant shill that should not be taken seriously. Further, it appears that even fence-sitters are starting to find her offensive style a turn-off, and to the point that she is becoming a liability to you guys. She is desperately in need of a make-over, turning her into a softer, more approachable Lilady.

Lawrence, Dorit better fits the billing as your big-gun. She is persistent, knowledgeable, and can sometimes come across as surprisingly personable (and even if it’s all a charade).

Hey, and Lawrence, don’t worry about not being an inspiration. In some ways, you are a hero to me. I will leave it to you to guess why.

He thinks people here are like Wakefield: they know the answer in advance of research.

Thanks. I appreciate that, Lillady. I try to keep track on here as much as I can but it can be hit and miss some weeks. ;). Thanks for the link and reminder of the disgust I feel for how this group interfered in that boy’s life and how they glorify murderers. I’ve noticed Orac has been threaded about his conflict of interest (I don’t see any) with writing this blog, I am amazed no one sees a big issue with people with nursing degrees recommending doctors and treatment options. Crazy world.

Oh Dreg, it must be that I am the proud father of two fully vaccinated (on schedule) boys who both excel at school and sports, with a wide social circle of friends – all of whom have been vaccinated on schedule as well & are doing great.

It must also be that I am part of a community that embraces Science and Education – where community vaccination drives are extremely well attended, in a state with one of the highest vaccination rates in the country.

I’m glad that you idolize me Dreg – perhaps with a bit of jealously, that you too want to be part of such a community as well – too bad your stuck with those guys over at AoA – such venom and self-pity, especially aimed at their own children & those with autism in general.

Maybe one day Dreg, you might just be as happy as me – if only you can get past your own childish insecurities.

I’m not entirely sure where to add this as Orac’s newest also involves involves the resurrection of dead theories….
and I’m not in the mood to write up an OT but ™

Jake @ Autism Investigated writes of Brian Hooker’s delving into FOI material about mercury ( what else?)
but here’s a new twist in an old skein of yarns- he has a new sponsor/ site, courtesy of Focus Autism ( i.e. Barry Segal).

Thus Jake and other anti-Blaxillites have a new hero to worship at Autism One.

@Denise – now that Jake has his own forum, it does highlight his “one track” thinking about vaccines – it is always about the mercury, all the time….and he has certainly collected an interesting group of followers as well – they Godwin every single post within one or two comments.

@Lawrence
‘Proud father of vaccinated on schedule boys’?
Whose schedule — Sears’ or Gordon’s?

Dingo199: At mother Jones, after being pushed to explain why she claims to have some familial predisposition to vaccine damage in her family history, Parker has finally announced they have the “NRXN1 gene deletion”.

Is that actually a thing, or is it something else Parker made up? At this point, if she said the sky was blue, I’d break out the fact-check.

@PGP – nothing I am seeing about this “gene deletion” has anything to do with vaccines…..

@ Lawrence:

You are correct.
Wasn’t it your ‘alter-ego’, BD, who noted that anti-vaccinationists are divided into 3 parts ( like Gaul) with the Mercury Mavens being the most outlying of this outre assemblage- welcome to Jake’s outer limits.

I find it intriguing that Barry’s money has found a new home. AND a few of these creatures will be swanning around at AutismOne. It should be interesting. Don’t we have a highly esteemed minion ( Narad) who lives near that woo-fest?
Heh.

@ PGP:

Perhaps this is a minor step towards belief that genes are implicated in the causation of ASDs ALTHOUGH she still needs the intervening external causation of vaccines in order to ‘save face’.

Can’t these people see that if several family members have similar qualities genetics just might possibly be involved?
My father’s family are all white like friggin’ sheets but we don’t blame it on toxins or the moist atmosphere. It’s who we are- we deal with it and make jokes about it.

@Dorit – so am I. If she does in fact have that condition – it does blow huge holes in her already swiss-cheeselike story.

Glerg says: “Hey, and Lawrence, don’t worry about not being an inspiration. In some ways, you are a hero to me. I will leave it to you to guess why.”

I just threw up a little in my mouth.

will motil: “i have looked into it a little and learned there is in fact mercury in these shots, which i find a bit disturbing”

Do tell. So when you looked into it a “little” what vaccine on the American pediatric schedule only comes with thimerosal. Be specific and provide link.

-btw- Hooker’s website is called ( wait for it)…….
‘A Shot of Truth’
And they address vaccines contaminated by mercury.

I reckon Parker just plucked that particular “genetic” problem out of her backside.
She had said on several occasions that there was a family history of “problems” she ascribes to vaccines – her own “MS”, her father’s schizophrenia, her child’s autism and so on. She then said there was a genetic defect in the family which explained the “susceptibility to vaccine reactions” causing the problem.
Then, when repeatedly asked what it was, she eventually came out with the NRXN1 deletion concept. I think she “borrowed it from Age of Autism” where Blaxhill had been pretending to be a genetic expert.

But now she has said that, it throws even more water on her idea that her child has vaccine induced damage.

We have the intrapartum hypoxia secondary to umbilical cord problems, now we have genetic syndromes…whatever next? I can’t wait to see what pops up next.

Dorit: People think I’m a good person. I’m not, I merely pretend to be one. I mean, I don’t harm anyone or go on crime sprees, but I’m not fond of people, I’m an incurable pessimist, and I tend to get caught up in *my* or my family’s issues to the exclusion of everything else. The only reason I have friends is that they think I’m a good listener.

@ Lawrence:

I think that Dorit is referring to what PGP said about herself @ # 223.
Although what PGP says might be- in some sense- true for everyone who lives in society and doesn’t want to rock the
boat- we all don’t reveal everything about what we think or feel to anyone we happen to meet. I wouldn’t necessarily call that ‘living a lie’- it’s social aplomb or caution..
If I spoke about my politics or some other beliefs, I’m sure I’d get into many pointless, unproductive arguments. And I live in Leftie-Land.

(Whiny voice) Excuse me — excuse me, but can I say something here? Aren’t the ‘cranks’ and ‘quacks’ right in arguing the basic scientific fact that there is no such thing as a genetic epidemic? Shouldn’t thus also be obvious to you guys?

@notation
I see you shadowing me of late. Perhaps in another time and place we could’ve been soulmates. If only truth didn’t have to intercede.

@ PGP:

And who gets to define ‘good person’?
What’s wrong with being ‘not fond of people’ or a pessimist?
What makes their set of beliefs or how they behave COUNT more than your own or what you do?
Do you think that that’s the only reason that people tolerate you? Maybe you need to meet other people.

I find you very interesting and would enjoy talking with you.

@Dreg – you are still too funny…..why the hell would I put my kids at risk by following a schedule (like Sears or Gordon’s) that has no basis in scientific fact or supported by any evidence whatsoever?

My wife and I have the type of relationship with our pediatrician that we can discuss any and all issues or concerns we might have (not that we’ve had any) – and the only change we had to make was when my oldest got the flu (at 3 months old – to young to vaccinate) which meant we pushed the 3 month vaccines to 6 months.

Again, I’m glad that you idolize me Dreg – perhaps one day you’ll be able to act like a normal human being and not a complete douchebag.

“I did recall you referring to us somewhere as a ‘dirt-bag’, sir We, blah, blah, ….”

Methinks someone is channeling Garth of Izar

To expand on my earlier point, mostly out of boredom on the morning commute:

Suppose that we all agreed for some reason that the Dalai Lama was the ultimate arbiter of scientific truth (this is simply for the sake of argument; in the real world, his virtues as a spiritual leader don’t give him scientific credibility.)

It would then be possible to construct a syllogism in the following form:

1) Anything the Dalai Lama says about scientific matters must be true.
2)
3) Therefore, vaccines cause autism.

What goes in that blank space for premise 2? In this case, there’s only one thing that can go in there and make a valid syllogism: “The Dalai Lama says that vaccines cause autism”. (“Valid” means that the form is correct, so that if the two premises are true, the conclusion must be as well.)

If we tried putting in instead something like “The Dalai Lama said ‘autism appears to be an immune-mediated condition'” and called it a syllogism, it wouldn’t be. The form would be as follows (substituting letters for entities such as “the set of all scientific declarations that the Dalai Lama makes”):

1) All A are true.
2) B is a A.
3) Therefore C is true.

B is “autism appears to be an immune-mediated condition” and C is “vaccines cause autism”. They are not the same statement. You cannot construct a syllogism around B and then swap in C at the last moment.

Which brings us to the sorites. Technically a sorites has a structure more specific than “a set of syllogisms, some of which prove conclusions that will be used as premises in the other syllogisms”, but let’s just keep things simple. Our “syllogism” which swaps out B for C at the last moment is not a syllogism; however, it could be the conclusion of a valid sorites if we introduced a second syllogism, the conclusion of which was “Every case in which B is true, is a case in which C is true as well.”

So, putting things together, and still accepting for the sake of argument premises we’d have no reason to accept in the real world, we could construct the following sorites:

1) stipulated for sake of argument
2) stipulated for sake of argument
3) Therefore: If autism is an immune-mediated condition, then vaccines must cause autism.
4) The Dalai Lama says autism is an immune-mediated condition.
5) Therefore: The Dalai Lama says vaccines must cause autism.
6) Any statement the Dalai Lama makes on scientific issues is true.
7) Therefore: “Vaccines must cause autism” is true.

Now that is a valid sorites, meaning its form is correct. If a sorites is valid, and all its premises are correct as well, then it is not just valid but sound, and its conclusion must be correct as well. Of course, here the premises are not correct (we have no reason to think the Dalai Lama’s scientific pronouncements are always correct, as previously said.)

Now Dreg has previously told us that he “excels at logic” in his own opinion. If that were true, why has he never shown any ability to put together even a single simple syllogism, much less anything more sophisticated? He’s harassed us endlessly, badgering for one-word answers to his Procrustean questions (and twisting the answers when he gets them) but … why? What does the ‘master logician’ think he’s proving, or would prove if he actually got the answers he wanted? “One word, do you believe vaccines can cause autism, yes or no” – well, f%ck, does he think I’m the f%cking Dalai Lama whose word determines scientific truth? Does he think me believing that vaccines cause autism proves anything, other than “someone has the belief that vaccines cause autism”? Why is someone who ‘excels in logic’ diddling off on what people “believe” and other such irrelevancies?

If Dreg is the expert logician he claims, he will have no trouble putting forward his arguments in syllogism/sorites form. If he is in reality just a mealy-mouthed crap artist, I predict hilarity in one of two forms: either he’ll try to produce syllogisms of his own and fail miserably and hysterically, showing he doesn’t still grasp what a syllogism is and how things are actually proven; alternately, he could opt for the bravura fail we’ve seen from others, trying to assert that the test of logic is not “can it be expressed as a sound syllogism/sorites?” but “does the person advancing it make puerile comparisons between himself and Einstein?” and other worthless criteria that I wouldn’t even try to guess at. Either way, it should be an impressive display of incompetence on Dreg’s part.

Julian’s blockquote tip didn’t work. Bad Julian — bad!

So you’re too stupid to follow the explicit instructions you required for a trivially simple task, and it’s Julian’s fault?

Lawrence: My wife and I have the type of relationship with our pediatrician that we can discuss any and all concerns.

Definitely went with Sears!

Politicalguineapig: from the viewpoint of the rest of the world, it doesn’t matter whether you refrain from attacking people because you don’t want to hurt them, because you believe doing so would be wrong, or because you’re afraid of getting caught and punished. What matters is that you do not attack people. Similarly, if someone does attack their neighbors, “I didn’t want to, but the voices in my head told me to” doesn’t do their victims any good; it might mean the attacker gets locked up in a mental hospital instead of a regular prison.

What you’ve described doesn’t make you a bad person; it may make you an unhappy person, which is unfortunate but in different ways.

PGP: I’m with Vicky. I am sorry, if your worse faking is that you keep your mouth shut in order not to distress and hurt others, I wouldn’t call that living a lie.

1) Anything the Dalai Lama says about scientific matters must be true.

In practice he’s doing reasonably well — his pronouncements about scientific matters seem to be limited to (a) quantum theory has nothing to do with mysticism, and (b) if scientific discoveries come into conflict with the tenets of Buddhism, then Buddhism must adapt to reality. But this could change.

LOL – what a maroon……

I don’t listen to idiots that design vaccine schedules (like Sears or Gordon) that don’t have the first clue about actual Science…..

Come to think of it, only someone like Derg would give them the time of day…..

will motil,

i have looked into it a little and learned there is in fact mercury in these shots, which i find a bit disturbing
so are we here denying that there is mercury or
accepting that is ok

Perhaps you are not aware of how little mercury there is in any vaccine shot. There is 50 micrograms of thimerosal, a mercury-containing compound, in some (but not all) flu shots, which is the same as 0.05 milligrams. A teaspoon* of water weighs 5,000 milligrams, and a single drop of water weighs about 35 milligrams, or 35,000 micrograms. You should now have a better idea of just how vanishingly tiny the amount of mercury in that flu shot is.

Put simply, the thimerosal in 700 flu shots weighs as much as a single drop of water. That is too little mercury to hurt a mouse, much less a human (I estimate the lethal dose of thimerosal in a human to be in excess of 5 million micrograms)

* More or less. It’s not my fault that teaspoons (and drops of water) are not always the same size.

quantum theory has nothing to do with mysticism

Too bad the Lamaists can’t get to “mysticism has nothing to do with Buddhism.”

“For example, he refused to accept that we cannot know which path a photon takes in a two-path quantum interference experiment. Zeilinger notes that continuity of existence is very important to Buddhists because it leads to reincarnation.”

Yah. Maybe if you’re running a syncretic franchise based on reincarnation.

@Narad
I executed the blockquote trick exactly as Julian explained. Nothing happened except the prompt going missing from the text when I posted.

I have to laugh at all the fear of mercury. I remember reading, back in the days we all had mercury thermometers, that a woman tried to kill herself with it. She broke some thermometers and injected the mercury into her arm. Not only did she NOT die, she wasn’t even very ill. Some time later, she had plastic surgery to remove the area where she had injected the mercury because she it was confined by scar tissue to the area in which she had injected it.

If pure, elemental mercury can’t kill you, the tiny amount in thimerosal iwas of no risk. And, of course, I’m of the age where we used Mercurochrome on everything…

Greg still is ridiculous.

Derg is completely ridiculous – I find him to be a great case study, a stereotypical anti-science anti-vaxxer.

Hi Antaeus,

You sucked me in… here is the basic syllogism that I have in my head.

A) Autism appears to be an immune mediated condition (at least in a subset of individuals)

B) Vaccines can modulate the infant immune system, including the innate arm of the immune system.

C) The immune system is a critical component of normal brain development.

D) Immune system dysfunction/disturbances during this critical period can have long lasting effects on behavior and cognitive functioning.

E) Therefore, we should explore the possibility of vaccines contributing to both the prevention and etiology of autism within this conceptual framework.

Since you have a strong grasp on syllogisms and the like, would you be able to comment as to the validity of the above. ( I probably screwed something up)

Thanks much,

Skeptiquette

First, one would need to explain how a vaccine that has not yet been given can “create” an over-abundance of neurons found in autistic brains, in infants, in the womb?

“A) Autism appears to be an immune mediated condition (at least in a subset of individuals)”

Why, and how?

Though, if one tried to find out “how” vaccines cause autism, they first need to show that there is a correlation between vaccines and autism. So far that has not been shown.

And the answer to “why and how” should not be: “The Dalai Lama says autism is an immune-mediated condition.”

The fact that the Dalai Lama is nasty anti-homosexual bigot has no bearing on his qualifications to pronounce judgement on the causes of autism.

MI Dawn, as kids, we were e allowed to actually play with the mercury from a broken thermometer for a little while, rolling it around in our hands and marveling at its silvery liquid beauty. Horrors!

@Glurp: “I see you shadowing me of late. Perhaps in another time and place we could’ve been soulmates. If only truth didn’t have to intercede.”

Yeah, sure, if only you weren’t a complete asshole who is sickeningly moronic.

So how many minions has the creature already imagined as possible friends, drinking pals, heart-to-heart confidantes, soulmates, lunch dates et al?

Ok, Narad, lilady, Dawn, Kreb…

Denice: I made certain that The Troll would never imagine me as his friend, drinking pal, heart-to-heart confidante, soul mate or lunch date, shortly after the wretched refuse from AoA arrived here, ten months ago.

There was a pediatrician who tried to connect with me right here on RI. Somehow, I managed to turn him off//sigh.

Aren’t the ‘cranks’ and ‘quacks’ right in arguing the basic scientific fact that there is no such thing as a genetic epidemic?

No, but that’s neither here nor there.

BYW, since you idiotically decided to mention Confuscious again, were they right in arguing that 2009 H1N1 wasn’t pandemic?

Are you familiar with the Rectification of Names yet? It might come in handy here.

@ lilady:

Now how could I mix up a contrarian with Dr Jay?
Silly me!

At any rate, perhaps he thinks RI is a social meet-up.
I KNOW we’re all intriguingly brilliant conversationalists and gorgeous but that’s not what we’re here for.

-btw- there are a few more on my above list ( me- tennis, PGP, maybe Antaeus..)

@Denice

So how many minions has the creature already imagined as possible friends, drinking pals, heart-to-heart confidantes, soulmates, lunch dates et al?

Ok, Narad, lilady, Dawn, Kreb…
——————————————————————————-

I see you hinting that you may need some attention there, so maybe I will throw you a bone and pay you a little visit.

I don’t know how to say this Denice, but it’s over between us. O-V-E-R!

Yes, at one time I found it quite interesting that we both studied psychology (even though you have your Masters, and I only have a piss-ass Bachelors); as well, we both like tennis. At one time, I got thinking that maybe we may even be kindred souls. With summer approaching, I was even thinking of inviting you as my partner for our annual mixed-doubles tourney.

And then Denice, everything went sour. You went on with your ‘woo-meister this’, ‘woo-meister that’ comments, and how the loser ‘quack’ moms are all just jealous of you intellectual elites. You went on with this non-sense over, and over, and over. And, I got thinking that I could never last playing tennis with this woman. I would probably dump the water cooler over her head during the change-overs. And, I realize that this wouldn’t be a very nice thing to do to a lady, so I had to call off your tennis invite. It’s over Denice! OVER!

So, is there any female VCADODer –other than Denice– who knows how to play tennis? Vicki, do you know how to play? C’mon Khani –what about you? How about Heliantus? Anyone but Denice! Heck — Lilady do you know how to play tennis?

Now Lilady, if all goes well (and you are not actually a dude in drag as the librarian type) maybe we could grab a bite after the game. I know Lilady — who am I kidding?- it would never work out between us! We would be like oil and water: I am a staunch anti-vaxxer, and you are a vaccine zealot. We would probably start shouting over the topic during our restaurant date and get kicked-out.

Even if by the oddest chance, it things proceeded further, imagine gift exchanges between us. It would be an absolute disaster. I would give you the latest DVD movie exonerating Wakefield –you would give me Offit’s book collection. And God forbid if there were kids in the picture, Lilady. Imagine the fun we would have at the pediatrician’s office around vaccination time.

Anyway, I got off topic there. Yes Denice, you bore me, so I am no longer paying you any mind.

Reading Kreb’s post at #264, I am absolutely shocked. I thought only the flu vaccine contains mercury. Now you are conceding it’s in all vaccines. Oooohhh you guys are so evil! Orac, you are the head drug pusher, what do you have to say about this?

I strongly suspect Greg doesn’t have any friends, not since grade school, back when he could get away with being a bully without fear of arrest or harassment suit. But everyone else grew up, saw him for what he is, leaving him behind, a pathetic sadistic bully with nothing left for him but trolling what few sites haven’t banned him for life.

Greg:

Aren’t the ‘cranks’ and ‘quacks’ right in arguing the basic scientific fact that there is no such thing as a genetic epidemic?

Narad has already pointed out this is wrong, but I want to dogpile on the rabbit, so…
The comment above assumes that the proportion of autistics in the general population is increasing. I believe that this premise as false.
I don’t know why the blockquote doesn’t seem to work for you. It works fine for me.
<blockquote>

Text to be blockquoted

</blockquote>

By the way, thank you skepiquette for the syllogism in #271. It describes things excellently.

@Antaeus

Ok Freddo –ahem Antaeus!- let me offer this syllogism as it pertains to the vaccine debate and tell me what you think.

1) If ‘experts’ that defend vaccines, denying that they cause autism, do personally believe that vaccines cause autism then this is a very good reason for others (including laypersons) to also believe that vaccines cause autism.

2) Some of you are ‘experts’ and it appears that you do believe that vaccines do cause autism.

3) I and other laypersons then have this good reason (premise 2) then to also suspect that vaccines do cause autism

Ok, thanks Julian, let’s try this blockquote trick again.

Testing 1-2-3…..
Shills, drug pushers, pharma whores –oh my!
Testing 1-2-3…..
Shills, drug pushers, pharma whores — oh my!

Greg: First of all, there’s no way you have a Bachelor’s. Secondly, you are the only person who believes vaccines cause autism. The rest of us know they don’t.

@PGP,

Trust me, there are professional dumbasses everywhere with a bachelor degree in something but who don’t even know a scientific publications from an editorial by the health deranger. I know, I was one before my brother taught me how to use ProQuest. Essentially, I owe my brother my career.

Now, given the uncomfortable position of not knowing anything scientific, I turned around and swore that I’d become an expert; thus my scientific work (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21833294).

I’m still far from an expert but I work toward that goal; which is nowhere near what Dreg can do.

Alain

The fact that the Dalai Lama is nasty anti-homosexual bigot has no bearing on his qualifications to pronounce judgement on the causes of autism.

That he is a nasty all of the above is immaterial in this case* — I’m still not going to pay attention until he qualifies as an immunologist.

(*although I’d think twice about inviting him to dinner)

Thank you, Antaeus, for provoking Dreg’s hilarious response at #287.

Greg, in your own words, what is a syllogism?

You fail again, Gregger.

1) If ‘experts’ that defend vaccines, denying that they cause autism, do personally believe that vaccines cause autism then this is a very good reason for others (including laypersons) to also believe that vaccines cause autism.
2) Some of you are ‘experts’ and it appears that you do believe that vaccines do cause autism.

There is a difference between “appear to believe” and “believe”. The fact that you think that we believe something despite our denials does not mean we believe it, no matter what you think.

re the above;
My fellow and sister minions may now understand why I was once hired to interview people… I bring out interesting material.
And I hereby rest my case.

( Oh and -btw- now lilady is also a dude- along with Chris and myself -courtesy of *other* visitors- if there’s another maybe we could play golf!)

Y’know, I’d be all for an RI regulars meetup. The big question would be where to have it! 😉

May I suggest a regular meetup (say once every 2 month) with one occurring in Montreal. I know some excellent brewpub 🙂

Alain

The conclusion of a syllogism is only guaranteed to be true if the form is valid and both premises are true.

We have no reason to believe there is any truth to the conclusion of the syllogism at #287, because this premise of it:

2) … it appears that [some of] you do believe that vaccines do cause autism

is hippo turds. Anyone who wants to argue otherwise is invited to spell out their syllogism to that effect.

Darn – been wanting to get together with everyone in the DC area for a while now……maybe at some point.

@PGP
You’re so predictable. You won’t provoke me. I’ll have nothing to do with you.

Oh, please, please, extend that offer to the rest of us.

Greg: First of all, there’s no way you have a Bachelor’s.

I stated this previously, but will repeat: If Griggles does in fact have a bachelor’s degree, both he and the college he graduated from should be ashamed.

It is certainly interesting to see him wallow in his own ignorance….and sad, really.

Chris quotes and asks:

“A) Autism appears to be an immune mediated condition (at least in a subset of individuals)”
Why, and how?

Well, statement A is a reflection of the multiple lines of evidence pointing towards immune system abnormalities in autism, including clinical studies, epidemiological studies, multiple different animal models, etc. all of which collectively support the notion that autism appears to be an immune mediated condition in a subset of individuals.

In order to offer support for the above and to help answer the how part of the question I will (heavily) reference this recent mini-review paper:

Converging pathways in autism spectrum disorders: interplay between synaptic dysfunction and immune responses.

By Irina Voineagu and Valsamma Eapen, who recently performed a genome-wide assessment of gene expression in multiple brain regions, which further validated previous findings from diverse research groups situated around the world.

What are the molecular pathways that mediate the phenotypic expression of this myriad of genetic variants into a recognizable triad of symptoms? Here we review recent studies demonstrating a convergence of ASD genetic changes toward two main biological processes: synaptic function and immune responses, and discuss their functional interplay, with a focus on immune modulation of neuronal synapses.

We found that the neuronal genes downregulated in ASD, but not the immune/inflammatory genes, showed an enrichment for genetic association, as measured by a large ASD GWAS study(Wang et al., 2009). These results supported the heritability of synaptic gene dysfunction in ASD and suggested that the upregulation of immune and inflammatory genes is likely environmentally mediated or secondary to the synaptic dysfunction.

Although gene expression analyses of ASD brain are just beginning to emerge, several studies have evaluated gene expression in readily available peripheral tissues (blood and lymphoblast cell lines) from ASD patients (Hu et al., 2006, 2009; Gregg et al., 2008; Enstrom et al., 2009). A common result of these studies was the demonstration of increased expression of immune and inflammatory genes in ASD. Moreover, a comparison of gene expression studies of peripheral tissues in idiopathic autism and related neurodevelopmental disorders showed a convergence of gene expression abnormalities on genes involved in immune responses (Lintas et al., 2012).

The involvement of synaptic dysfunction and immune responses in ASD had been demonstrated by multiple approaches (Betancur et al., 2009; Pizzarelli and Cherubini, 2011; Wright and Washbourne, 2011; Grabrucker, 2012; Onore et al., 2012; Zoghbi and Bear, 2012; Ebert and Greenberg, 2013), but it was not until largescale genomic studies that these biological processes could be regarded as points of convergence of the heterogeneous genetic variants underlying ASD.

It has also been proposed that a second wave of microglia, originating from blood monocytes, may populate the CNS during the early postnatal period, a period particularly important for neurodevelopment (Davis and Carson, 2013). Microglia actively survey the brain parenchyma, constantly extending their processes to survey their microenvironment every few hours (Nimmerjahn et al., 2005). Importantly, microglia are required for synaptic pruning during postnatal neurodevelopment (Paolicelli et al., 2011)

Thus immune cells could affect neuronal synaptic function either as a result of their activation during immune responses, or due to a failure of their non-immune roles in the brain (Figure 1). Recent evidence supports the potential involvement of both of these mechanisms in ASD pathogenesis.

While it is not clear what is the cause of microglial activation in ASD brain, the cytokines produced by activated microglia have been demonstrated to affect neuronal synaptic function (Onore et al., 2012). TNF-a regulates neuronal cell proliferation and synaptic pruning (Cacci et al.,2005), and modulates synaptic scaling (i.e., the adjustment of synaptic strength for all synapses on a neuronal cell in response to prolonged changes in electrical activity) (Stellwagen and Malenka,2006). IL-1b regulates long-term potentiation and alters synaptic plasticity (Schneider et al., 1998)

Unlike peripheral macrophages, microglia are long-lived, and thus it has been hypothesized that they could maintain an “immunological memory” of an early immune insult, leading to long-term neuronal deficits (Davis and Carson, 2013).

At the same time, understanding the role of immune cells in regulating synaptic function is also a newly developing field. As discussed above, accumulating evidence supports the notion that immune cells play important roles in normal brain function, outside of neuroinflammation. Of particular relevance to ASD is the role of microglia in synaptic pruning during postnatal brain development, a period that coincides with the onset of ASD symptoms. While it has been demonstrated that increased numbers of activated microglia are present in brain parenchyma of ASD patients (Vargas et al., 2005; Morgan et al., 2010; Suzuki et al., 2013), these studies have not captured the early postnatal development window.

Since microglia and astrocytes have been shown to play a role in synaptic formation and maturation, and mutations in neuronal cell adhesion molecules have been associated with ASD, it is also tempting to speculate that ASD neurons might be particularly vulnerable to immune cell dysfunction in the brain. Given the large amount of data supporting the role of immune responses in ASD and other neuropsychiatric disorders, advances in deciphering the functional interplay between immune cells and neuronal synaptic function will likely provide vital insights into the mechanisms and potential therapy of neurodevelopmental disorders.

I know I blocked out quite a few paragraphs there, but I wanted to make sure that your question was adequately answered and if you need any clarifications or further support for statemnent (A) that I made above, I would be happy to provide you with further relevant references.

So, based on my familiarity and understanding of the relevant literature, I feel comfortable endorsing that statement.

Oops, the last two paragraphs are my writing.

Though, if one tried to find out “how” vaccines cause autism, they first need to show that there is a correlation between vaccines and autism. So far that has not been shown.

I think the better approach would be to assess all the relevant information and research, i.e. consider the entirety of the evidence.

Based on the syllogism I formed above, I would consider information such as I presented above to be both important and relevant to assessing the question and design rational approaches to interrogating the question.

Im pretty sure that most scientists regard epidemiological studies as starting points, circumstantial evidence and if there is more relevant information and evidence from different disciplines to consider, then the diligent course is to consider and weave it into a better understanding.

I would be curious to know why others feel that it is not important to consider?

First, one would need to explain how a vaccine that has not yet been given can “create” an over-abundance of neurons found in autistic brains, in infants, in the womb?

I am certainly not discounting a prenatal origin or contribution to autism.

What research are you referring to regarding the over-abundance of neurons? Courchesne (2011)?

if so, that was a preliminary study and specific criticisms that were levied pointed out that those findings couldn’t be extrapolated to the entire population of autistics.

I think it is more prudent to consider that a multi-factorial disorder could also have post-natal contributions, seeing as both language and social skills are acquired during these early and critical months of development.

Why do you see it differently?

Thanks,

Skeptiquette

Skeptiquette,

Could you produce a thesis of all the publications wrt immune system activation in ASD that you have read? I, for one, am having a hard time digesting individual publications into a coherent whole and such a thesis would be helpful.

Alain

Hi Alain,

A thesis or a list?

I would like to, but I really don’t have the time to write a thesis ( I have a full time job and I am starting to dabble in real estate investment, which is eating up my time).
A list is another story.

I would be happy to email you publications. skeptiquette at yahoo.com

There are a lot of diverse findings wrt immune/autism and integrating into a whole is obviously the next step. I have been keeping up on advances in how the immune system is involved in normal brain development, which has certainly offered more insight into how the findings are implicated and interconnected.

I really think this is the next frontier for autism research (IMHO.) I was actually just thinking that you would probably be really intrigued and find interest in all of this as well.

Cheers,

Skeptiquette

Woo hoo! The weekend is here and I am outta here. Must say I am shocked though to find out that mercury is still in other vaccines. Maybe I did criticise my ‘quack’ friends too much for always harping on about mercury. Perhaps we will have time to discuss the matter when I return.

Hi Antaeus,

You sucked me in… here is the basic syllogism that I have in my head.

All right! ^_^ Let’s look at the premises and the form, and see where we agree and where we may differ… (Forewarning, though: my reply ended up being really long, so I’m posting part one first, and later tonight hopefully I’ll follow up with part two.)

A) Autism appears to be an immune mediated condition (at least in a subset of individuals)

To be honest, I do not feel I’m qualified to say how true this premise is. (I’ve seen it asserted many times, but then again you can find people asserting just about anything about autism.)

However, I’m willing to stipulate it for purposes of argument.

B) Vaccines can modulate the infant immune system, including the innate arm of the immune system.

C) The immune system is a critical component of normal brain development.

D) Immune system dysfunction/disturbances during this critical period can have long lasting effects on behavior and cognitive functioning.

Others have already pointed out some problems with these premises, such as there being evidence that neurological features of autism are formed pre-natally (thus before “this critical [post-natal] period” during which vaccines are administered.) But for purposes of argument, let’s stipulate those premises and move on.

E) Therefore, we should explore the possibility of vaccines contributing to both the prevention and etiology of autism within this conceptual framework.

Here is actually where the big problems come on. You may remember, when I was explaining syllogisms earlier, I said that we could substitute letters for the entities that we were talking about (for instance, “all statements by the Dalai Lama are true statements” becoming “all A are B”, where A = “statements by the Dalai Lama” and B = “true statements”)? Well, if we did that substitution here, this conclusion would suddenly introduce new letters that weren’t used anywhere in our premises, which means we don’t have a syllogism that links our premises together with irrefutable logic.

Let me try to rework it a bit, so that it fits proper syllogism form. Let’s start with the conclusion:

1)
2)
3) Therefore, vaccines are something that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.

And let’s take all the premises we stipulated above for sake of argument, and combine them into one:

1) Vaccines have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development.
2)
3) Therefore, vaccines are something that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.

If we tried letter substitution at this point, we’d find that our syllogism so far follows this form:

1) A (vaccines) is a B (things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development).
2)
3) Therefore, A is a C (things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism).

The only premise that makes sense to put into 2, which completes the form of the syllogism and makes it valid, is “All Bs are Cs”: that is, “all things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism”.

So here’s our complete, valid syllogism:

1) Vaccines are a thing that has an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development.
2) All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.
3) Therefore, vaccines are a thing that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.

Now, it might seem to you like it was a waste of time to go spelling out premise 2; doesn’t it go without saying?

And that’s exactly why it is NOT a waste of time to spell out syllogisms and state the unstated premises. Because even if I stipulate all of premise 1 for the sake of argument, I do not agree with premise 2. I do not think it makes sense that “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.”

@skeptiquette – I’m sure the rest of us would like to know what papers you consider to indicate that autism is caused by immune system issues, so please share.

Both vaccines and exposure to fully potent pathogens generate an immune system response. Do these papers also associate autism with immune system response from exposure to pathogens? If not, why not?

Thanks!

@Skeptiquette,

A thesis indeed; or at least, a resume written by you of each finding in the publications you have read. The reasoning behind that is that no one share your perception of each studies and no one can share the finding of your studies better than yourself according to your perception.

In my case, I would very likely have a different perception of the studies involved. That is the strength of the scientific method; it allow different perceptual mechanism to come to a similar set of conclusion according to the data.

Alain

Antaeus,

Thanks for the response, that helps clarify things more.

And, I would agree with you that:

I do not think it makes sense that “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.”

How do we qualify what is important to look at though?

I will think about this more and I await part two.

Thanks again,

Skeptiquette

MOB and Alain,

I will do my best to provide a reference list with a brief statement of findings (this is basically what the abstract is for) or as you wish, the importance of findings from my perspective.

I’ll try to pump out a short list tonight and add to it as I have time.

Time for lilady’s Media Update And A Warning:

There’s an “opinion piece” up on the Liberty Guardian that is full of false information about vaccines and autism. Many of the RI Regulars posted comments, which were removed by the author.

The author removed at least five of my comments, yet the bot’s Spamming comments replete with links, are posted.

Take a look at the top comment from the owner of the Liberty Guardian, Dr. Durig…who is a publicizing his book. It’s a gem.

Do Not Post There…your comments will be moderated and removed:

http://guardianlv.com/2014/02/what-is-the-true-cause-of-autism/

Skeptiquette:

I am trying to understand the motivation to come up with a causal explanation of a phenomenon that does not occur. There is absolutely no correlation between autism and vaccination, therefore trying to dream up causative mechanisms to explain this nonexistent correlation is a complete waste of brainpower. Isn’t there something, anything, that you could exercise you brain cells with that would be more productive? Sudoku? Angry Birds?

tVRBoK,

I think you have misunderstood my intentions. Im not trying to come up with any causal mechanism. Ive told you guys, I don’t have a dog in this fight, at all… seriously. Who cares if I find it a hobby to read scientific literature.

I definitely don’t find it a waste of brainpower to look at the literature relating autism and the immune system. In fact, I see it quite the opposite.

As someone trained in immunology and microbiology, I am intrigued by the neuroimmunological connections to autism. I am also intrigued by some of the paradigm shifts in immunology wrt innate immunology and the microbiome that have been evolving over the past several years. It just so happens that all of this intersects in very important ways with autism research (another thing that i am interested in.)

I don’t waste my time other places than RI and SBM because Im not looking for an echo chamber, Im looking to better my understanding of science and hone my critical thinking skills.

So, I used to play video games, like mario bros. when I was 8-10 yrs old.

I recently played flappy birds and oh boy is that an addicting sink hole of brain power! I had to give it up (after only 1 day), I swear it sucks you into the obstacles…

Thanks for your concern.

Skeptiquette

Alain: I assume education requirements are somewhat different in your neck of the woods. I can only include that Greggers and his merry band either skipped a dozen or so classes or worked hard at completely misunderstanding every biology and health class they ever took.

Dreg sez: “Perhaps we will have time to discuss the matter when I return.”

Perhaps your plane will take a nose-dive into a pile of manure.

@PGP,

It depend. Most French university go with a specialized bachelor with 84-87 credit in the same stream (bachelors are 90 degree here due to Cegep which are at least 2 years up to 3 years of intermediary schooling between high school and university) while most English university follow the same standards as US school but McGill and Concordia offer a mix of both systems and Montreal University offer major and minor in some basic domain beside their specialized bachelors.

Another thing, you can apply to med school after Cegep and don’t need to do a bachelor to do it though it is often recommended but the alternative is that they offer a pre-med program of 41 credits done in the first year of med school (making it a 5 years program instead of 4 in the US).

Alain

skeptiquette,

I think the better approach would be to assess all the relevant information and research, i.e. consider the entirety of the evidence.

Why focus on vaccines out of all the very many things that affect the immune system? If autism is mediated by immune dysfunction (which is itself a questionable premise, as any unusual immune function seen in autism may not be a cause of the autism, but due to common developmental causes), why would anyone expect vaccines to have anything at all to do with it when they simply stimulate the immune system in much the same way as a million antigens in our environments?

If antigenic challenge by vaccination at a specific age is a cause of autism, why wouldn’t exposure to pathogens at that age also cause autism? I find it hard to believe that we can detect the effect of prenatal valproate or rubella, but not postnatal infection or vaccination.

Antigenic challenges do not generally cause immune dysfunction or dysregulation; they are part of normal immune function. Why not instead point the finger at one of the many substances in our environments that are immunomodulators, broccoli for example? I often joke about broccoli, but I have a serious point too. It contains 3,3′-Diindolylmethane which according to Wikipedia “is a potent modulator of the innate immune response system”. Between 1970 and 2010 US consumption of broccoli tripled, and over the same period the reported incidence of autism greatly increased.

Is it impossible that DIM ingested during pregnancy, or passed to a child in breast milk could not have some modulatory effect on the developing immune system, preventing, perhaps, the usual trimming of neurones that happens in the neurotypical at a crucial moment? I think this is a logical possibility, along with a million others. The mere fact that something is not impossible does not make it a good candidate for investigation. We need a great deal more than that.

It seems to me that not only do we we have no plausible mechanism for vaccines causing autism, we have no epidemiological evidence that this is the case, and in fact a considerable amount of epidemiological evidence that contradicts the idea.

If I had to find areas of research into autism worth spending money on, vaccines wouldn’t even make it onto my list. I think the only possible purpose of further research in this area would be to convince those who are at all persuaded by the anti-vaccine lunatic fringe (who themselves are clearly, like Greg, beyond rational persuasion).

Glerg sez: “Anyway, I got off topic there. Yes Denice, you bore me, so I am no longer paying you any mind.”

I hope, Denice, that you are giving alms to whatever gods blessed you with this reprieve from idiocy.

@ notation:

Whilst I don’t have any gods to thank for this marvelous good fortune, I do intend to take a drive to the sea side as an early rite of spring tomorrow and drink something, gather branches, light a fire, whatever.
Does that sound pagan enough? I hope so.

@Krebiozen –

why would anyone expect vaccines to have anything at all to do with it when they simply stimulate the immune system in much the same way as a million antigens in our environments?

Well, for one, vaccines seem to initiate an innate immune response up and above ‘a million antigens in our environment’.

If vaccines are just like ‘a million things’ why does the DTaP cause a fever in 1/3 of recipients? I’m not sure how many infants you have been around, but I’m here to tell you, most of them don’t have a fever one in three days, but the CDC schedule tells us that DTAP causes an fever in 1/3 recipients. What should we make of this paradox if vaccines are the same as ‘a million other antigens’?

I wonder, why do we add adjuvants to vaccines? After all, if antigens are just like eating broccoli, why bother? What a complete waste of resources, spending all those dollars and researcher hours to develop and study adjuvants when they are completely not necessary to insuring a robust immune response. Those crazy scientists adding all those unnecessary things to our vaccines. Why not just add broccoli?

If antigenic challenge by vaccination at a specific age is a cause of autism, why wouldn’t exposure to pathogens at that age also cause autism?

It certainly could have the same effect, if the timeframe is the same.

Antigenic challenges do not generally cause immune dysfunction or dysregulation; they are part of normal immune function.

Your assertion is at odds with a great amount of literature when developmental timeframe is taken into consideration.

Here is an example of this:

Acute neonatal infections ‘lock-in’ a suboptimal CD8+ T cell repertoire with impaired recall responses (PLoS Pathog. 2013 Sep;9(9):e1003572. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1003572. Epub 2013 Sep 12.)

Here we report that neonatal memory CD8+ T cells mediate poor recall responses compared to adults and are comprised of a repertoire of lower avidity T cells. During a later infectious challenge the neonatal memory CD8+ T cells compete poorly with the fully diverse repertoire of naïve adult CD8+ T cells and are outgrown by the adult primary response. This has important implications for the timing of vaccination in early life.

What might account for the fact that only the treatment group showed differential immune capacities in adulthood, if, indeed, antigenic exposure was not causing persistent immune dysregulation? Do you suppose the treatment group also got broccoli.

Or, alternatively

Postnatal inflammation increases seizure susceptibility in adult rats (J Neurosci. 2008 Jul 2;28(27):6904-13. doi: 10.1523/JNEUROSCI.1901-08.2008.)

The most exciting finding of the present study is that a mild inflammatory response evoked by LPS during a critical period of development causes a long-lasting increase in hippocampal excitability in vitro, and enhanced seizure susceptibility to the convulsants LI-PILO, KA, and PTZ in vivo. The latter effect was observed over a range of mildly inflammatory doses of LPS and was only evident if administered during the second postnatal week (P7 and P14), and not before (P1) or after (P20) this time.

What might account for the differences observed based on timeframe?

The key here is that the challenge occurs in early life. Lots of our ‘systems’ seem to be susceptible to this, including energy metabolism, stress response, microbiome, and immune.

The facts are that our vaccine schedule is heavily clustered in the first few months of life; that is the timeframe during which persistent dysregulation can occur..

It seems to me that not only do we we have no plausible mechanism for vaccines causing autism, we have no epidemiological evidence that this is the case, and in fact a considerable amount of epidemiological evidence that contradicts the idea.

The critical component is timeframe of exposure; that is the *blind spot* in our ‘considerable evidence’.

I’ve made a simple graphic to demonstrate why this is important regarding our existing research suite:

http://imgur.com/XIm92DZ

Can you, or anyone, detect a difference in timeframes between when the MMR is given and the Hib/DTaP/polio/Hep B? Is there a difference between a two month old infant and a year old toddler? I wonder if there are differences neurodevelopmentally between the two? Probably not.

If you, or anyone, has some studies that contradict this, why not post the links, instead of just insisting that the answer is out there in google scholar? Show me a study that demonstrates 200 kids that got nothing in the first six months and 200 kids that got vaccinated and then the children were evaluated for autism or other developmental issues?

When SBM and Orac and others went over the data on vitamin usage not helping, and in fact, potentially hurting, life expectancy, the cohort size was in the tens of thousands. Now either the people running those studies were overshooting their necessary number of participants by a *lot*, or ‘considerable’ evidence means that you need *big* populations to study for differences. If there actually is ‘considerable’ evidence with those effect sizes, providing a link to said evidence should be a rudimentary task.

Why not instead point the finger at one of the many substances in our environments that are immunomodulators, broccoli for example?

Well, do mothers who breastfeed and eat brocolli report their child has fevers subsequently at rates similar to vaccination? If so, your idea is an interesting one. What percent of two month olds eat brocoli? Is that percentage over our vaccination rate, > 90%?

@ The Reverend BattleAxe –

There is absolutely no correlation between autism and vaccination, therefore trying to dream up causative mechanisms to explain this nonexistent correlation is a complete waste of brainpower

Please see the link I posted above for Krebiozen regarding the MMR and *the rest* of our vaccine schedule. If *you* have some links to demonstrate analysis on autism in regard the vaccine schedule excluding the MMR, why not post it?

@Mephistopoles O’Brien –

Do these papers also associate autism with immune system response from exposure to pathogens?

Well, you might consider:

Association of hospitalization for infection in childhood with diagnosis of autism spectrum disorders: a Danish cohort study (Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2010 May;164(5):470-7. doi: 10.1001/archpediatrics.2010.9.)

A total of 7379 children were diagnosed as having ASDs. Children admitted to the hospital for any infectious disease displayed an increased rate of ASD diagnoses (HR, 1.38 [95% confidence interval, 1.31-1.45]). This association was found to be similar for infectious diseases of bacterial and viral origin. Furthermore, children admitted to the hospital for noninfectious disease also displayed an increased rate of ASD diagnoses (HR, 1.76 [95% confidence interval, 1.68-1.86]), and admissions for infection increased the rate of mental retardation (2.18 [2.06-2.31]).

The authors note that *because* both viral and bacterial assocations were both observed, it is unlikely the infection was responsible, however, if a disturbance in the *innate immune* system is capable of disturbing neurodevelopment (see above studies), then it doesn’t really matter *what* caused the initial reaction, does it?

@AF –

To be honest, I do not feel I’m qualified to say how true this premise is. (I’ve seen it asserted many times, but then again you can find people asserting just about anything about autism.)

Well, do you trust researchers at Yale, the editors at Pediatrics and the people at the NIH who funded a big study?

Macrophage Migration Inhibitory Factor and Stereotypical Behavior in Autism Spectrum Disorders (Pediatrics 2008, August 122)

Thus, the central hypothesis underlying this research was that a genetic predisposition to a particular level of MIF production, may lead to a pro-inflammatory profile of cell activation that, if present during a neurodevelopmentally sensitive period, might contribute to the etiopathogenesis of autism.

This was a study that genotyped hundreds children with autism, measured their behaviors as well as plasma draws. That is an *expensive ass* study to perform. It was funded, in part, by the NIH. Do you have any idea why these researchers, editors of Pediatrics, and people providing the dollars for this study would have bothered if an immune mediated mechansim of action was just a shot in the dark? Why would they do this if an immune mediated mechanism of action was not justified from the literature? You should seriously consider this question; I get it if you don’t trust me, but one would think the sheer volume of hits based on ‘autism immune’ in pubmed might raise you interest. But perhaps not.

I do not think it makes sense that “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.”

Well, if you are interested in learning things, you might consider looking at the growing literature set on the role that the brain immune cells, the microglia, are playing in forming the structure of the brain. Here is a good one to get you started

Microglia during development and aging (Pharmacol Ther. 2013 Sep;139(3):313-26.)

Microglia are critical nervous system-specific cells influencing brain development, maintenance of the neural environment, response to injury, and repair. They contribute to neuronal proliferation and differentiation, pruning of dying neurons, synaptic remodeling and clearance of debris and aberrant proteins. Colonization of the brain occurs during gestation with an expansion following birth with localization stimulated by programmed neuronal death, synaptic pruning, and axonal degeneration. Changes in microglia phenotype relate to cellular processes including specific neurotransmitter, pattern recognition, or immune-related receptor activation. Upon activation, microglia cells have the capacity to release a number of substances, e.g., cytokines, chemokines, nitric oxide, and reactive oxygen species, which could be detrimental or beneficial to the surrounding cells. With aging, microglia shift their morphology and may display diminished capacity for normal functions related to migration, clearance, and the ability to shift from a pro-inflammatory to an anti-inflammatory state to regulate injury and repair. This shift in microglia potentially contributes to increased susceptibility and neurodegeneration as a function of age. In the current review, information is provided on the colonization of the brain by microglia, the expression of various pattern recognition receptors to regulate migration and phagocytosis, and the shift in related functions that occur in normal aging.

There are probably two dozen articles on how microglia affect the structural development of the brain by this point. Take them for a spin; it is brand new knowledge, post dating the expansion of our vaccine schedule by about two decades.

But here’s the pisser. Microglia change phenotype after systemic immune challenge. That’s right, the cells that are *actively participating in synaptic pruning* have a different morphology under conditions of immune activation. Think about that for a little while. Then, think about the fact that children with autism consistently show biomarkers consistent with *exaggeration* of the innate immune response/problems regulating the immune response (see MIF paper above) [many more available maybe when I don’t have a drink in hand.]

If you don’t think we should be investigating things that interact with the immune system during critical brain development timeframes, you haven’t been reading the same things I have (and probably, skeptiquette has).

Food for thought.

@Everyone –

Good luck!

– pD

@Denise: all my best wishes for your early spring celebration. Can you perhaps find a way to create an effigy of the Glerg to burn as a token of thanks for the blessing of his being absent from your life today and always? It would be only right to do so.

Alain: Thing is, at least in the university I went to, taking at least one general science course was required, even if the student majored in a different field. And you’d expect someone in psychology to at least have a nodding acquaintance with biology; neither Greg or Ms. Conrick, who claim to have degrees and work in the field, demonstrate that they have learned any biology at all- not even high school level!

Also, lilady, your comments are still up, though you’re right that the author seems to be arguing from an anti-vaccine point. I say ‘seem to’ because the art of the coherent argument appears to have eluded her.

Most of my comments are gone from the Liberty Guardian website.

I posted several times about the author’s source, Dr Bob Sears’ “The Vaccine Book”, Sears’ “Alternative Vaccine Book”, Sears’ telling parents to “hide in the herd” and Sears’ deliberately unvaccinated 7-year-old patient who was identified as the “index case” for the 2008 San Diego measles outbreak.

As soon as I read that the author was quoting “Dr. Carley”, I knew it was an anti-vaccine “opinion” piece.

Dachel included the article in tonights “Media Update”.

Wow. Look at the long periods of time that the suspect measles case spent in the emergency room.

Sad, that the measles outbreak in the Philippines, has resulted in so many deaths:

“In San Diego, this is the first diagnosed case of measles in the county since July 2013. Health officials say there is an ongoing measles outbreak in the Philippines responsible for 1,700 cases of the disease and 21 measles-related deaths in 2013.”

For you newbies here, the 2008 measles index case identified after trace back investigation, was Dr. Bob Sears deliberately unvaccinated patient:

http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5708a3.htm

Somewhat unrelated question, but it’s going unanswered in the other thread (where Orac needs a day off from blogging) and I am SO curious what the answer is… Are there any penalties/repercussions for an MD (albeit a quacky one) incorrectly citing a study and manipulating it to her own benefit? This appalls me, and being a layperson I have no idea if this is common of quacks, or of I’ve stumbled onto something genuinely worth bringing to the attention of some higher authority…

Perhaps we will have time to discuss the matter when I return.

I see that Gerg’s Colonel Blimp routine continues unabated. One might wonder how many times he’s flounced with such utterances only to forget all about them when he slinks back in, but one would have to give a rat’s ass. Of course, given that it’s transparently obvious that he continues to skulk around despite such bold declamations as “Woo hoo! The weekend is here and I am outta here,” perhaps I’ll get back around to his profoundly stupid suggestion that the magic “vax/unvax” study can be swapped out for some sort of animal study to evade the “ethical problems” that he now hides behind for lack of being able to say anything in the absence of this deflection.

Lilady @336 : I posted without realizing you’d mentioned the 2008 outbreak in the previous comment.
Here is a link to the 2010 Pediatrics article about the earlier outbreak, which includes a cost analysis: “Measles Outbreak in a Highly Vaccinated Population, San Diego, 2008: Role of the Intentionally Undervaccinated”
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/125/4/747.full

We don’t need to go through this again.

Chemmomo: *** Do you remember the discussion I had with Dr. Bob Sears on the Ho-Po?

https://www.respectfulinsolence.com/2012/03/27/dr-bob-sears-vs-seth-mnookin-measles-out/

@ AC: IMO, doctors who deliberately misinterpret or lie about studies for financial gain, face no repercussions…unless you think that bloggers such as Orac and Seth Mnookin mete out those repercussions to celebrity doctor/authors.

*** I seem to have problems with pediatricians whose practices are located in California.

@ lilady – Thanks! Damn. That seems horribly unfair. The more I read about Dr. Tenpenny, the more I wish Orac would rip apart her website in a way I’m not capable of. She is a despicable human being.

Thanks for the link Chemmomo.it was really interesting/scary to read about how quickly the infection vectors spread. Without a decent herd immunity that could have been a true disaster.

Most of my comments are gone from the Liberty Guardian website.

Well, did they say whose liberty they were guarding? (I note that Christina Waldman has had a dalliance with the “Liberty Beacon” and even appears to have checked in at the very sad “Dr Wakefield’s Work Must Continue” FB page* within the last month.)

Arranga softcore, etc.

* “Supported” in part by Alan Golding’s “CryShame,” .co.uk address dead, .com not far behind.

The more I read about Dr. Tenpenny, the more I wish Orac would rip apart her website in a way I’m not capable of.

You might find something in here to slake that a bit.

@Narad – I searched this blog with “Tenpenny”, and 13 blog posts came up. None directly ripping apart her shoddy website bit-by-bit, unless I somehow missed one. I’ll go back and double check. And try Google.

@lilady – Thank you 🙂 I’ve read posts by other scientific bloggers, which were very good.

Sorry for not being clear; it’s not material on her I was expressing interest in, but an actual deconstruction of her entire website. I don’t actually expect anyone to take the time to do this…

pD,

If vaccines are just like ‘a million things’ why does the DTaP cause a fever in 1/3 of recipients? I’m not sure how many infants you have been around, but I’m here to tell you, most of them don’t have a fever one in three days, but the CDC schedule tells us that DTAP causes an fever in 1/3 recipients.

I’m not sure what your point is, as DTaP isn’t given every day, and neither is any other vaccine. DTaP causes high fever, greater than 105 degrees Fahrenheit in about 1 child out of 16,000, by the way. What child in the pre-vaccine era did not experience a few of those?

Many viruses cause a fever in more than one in three children that get them. I’ve been around enough infants to know that they get plenty of viral infections, especially after they start daycare or school. Infants get on average 5-8 infections such as colds, ear and GI infections every year, and are more likely to suffer fevers than adults. These, and other assorted infections, are likely to provoke a more robust immune reaction than any vaccine on the schedule.

What should we make of this paradox if vaccines are the same as ‘a million other antigens’?

I didn’t say they are the same, but from our immune system’s point of view they are just another challenge. Why vaccines should provoke a qualitatively different response isn’t clear to me.

I wonder, why do we add adjuvants to vaccines?

I hope you know perfectly well why by now. The idea is to provoke an adaptive immune response with the minimum possible risk.

After all, if antigens are just like eating broccoli, why bother?

Antigens and broccoli are in the same class of ‘things that can affect the immune system’. Since there is evidence that ‘autism might have something to do with the immune system’, I don’t see why vaccines are a more plausible culprit than broccoli or a number of other things that can affect the immune system.

What a complete waste of resources, spending all those dollars and researcher hours to develop and study adjuvants when they are completely not necessary to insuring a robust immune response. Those crazy scientists adding all those unnecessary things to our vaccines. Why not just add broccoli?

That’s a rather silly strawman. Cut to the chase: why is your vaccine-autism hypothesis more compelling than my broccoli-autism hypothesis?

Antigenic challenges do not generally cause immune dysfunction or dysregulation; they are part of normal immune function.

Your assertion is at odds with a great amount of literature when developmental timeframe is taken into consideration.

Here is an example of this:

Acute neonatal infections ‘lock-in’ a suboptimal CD8+ T cell repertoire […]

That’s not an example of an antigenic challenge causing immune dysfunction, it’s an example of a less robust immune response by neonatal primary CD8+ T cells to an acute infection (not a vaccine) as compared to adult memory T cells, in mice. This less robust neonatal response is “outgrown by the adult primary response”.

What might account for the fact that only the treatment group showed differential immune capacities in adulthood, if, indeed, antigenic exposure was not causing persistent immune dysregulation? Do you suppose the treatment group also got broccoli.

A less robust response to a specific antigen that neonatal primary CD8+ T cells were previously exposed to does not constitute, “persistent immune dysregulation”. I fail to see even a tenuous connection to your hypothesis.

Or, alternatively; Postnatal inflammation increases seizure susceptibility in adult rats […]

So, injecting bacterial endotoxins into newborn rats increases their future risk of seizures. Is this really surprising? Head injuries in newborn, infant and adult humans increases their risk of seizures. Specific windows of development are interesting, I agree, but they aren’t in any evidence that vaccines are causing autism. Yes it’s possible, yes here’s a vague possible mechanism. Where’s your evidence that this is actually happening?

The facts are that our vaccine schedule is heavily clustered in the first few months of life; that is the timeframe during which persistent dysregulation can occur..

It is also historically the period when infants have been exposed to a much wider range of pathogens than today, though this range has been dramatically reduced by vaccination. As I pointed out above, the number of fevers you might expect to be induced in a child by vaccines is far smaller than the number induced by natural, mostly viral, infections.

Vaccination has markedly reduced the amount of time children spend fighting off (or succumbing to) infections, as well as the severity of their immune responses in general. I don’t buy this idea that fewer and less severe immune responses somehow damage the developing immune system less than more frequent and more severe ones.

It wasn’t so long ago that half of all children died of contagious diseases, and many still do in the developing world. If autism was the result of an immune insult during childhood I would expect there to have been far more cases in those that survived childhood diseases, and far more cases in the developing world than in the developed.

We do see some increased risk of autism with early infection (I see you cited the Danish study that found this), but I think this supports the idea that vaccination reduces the risk of autism by reducing the frequency and severity of infections.

Show me a study that demonstrates 200 kids that got nothing in the first six months and 200 kids that got vaccinated and then the children were evaluated for autism or other developmental issues?

You must know that a prospective study would be unethical, and that a retrospective one would be riddled with bias.

If you are suggesting that vaccination during the first six months of life causes autism, that is a testable hypothesis. It can’t be MMR as that is given too late, and has been around since 1968 in the US anyway. DTaP perhaps? That or the DTP have been around for far longer than the increase in autism incidence, so it can’t be them. If you compare other countries’ schedules, I think you quickly run out of possible culprits. Do you have a specific window and a specific vaccine in mind?

When SBM and Orac and others went over the data on vitamin usage not helping, and in fact, potentially hurting, life expectancy, the cohort size was in the tens of thousands. Now either the people running those studies were overshooting their necessary number of participants by a *lot*, or ‘considerable’ evidence means that you need *big* populations to study for differences. If there actually is ‘considerable’ evidence with those effect sizes, providing a link to said evidence should be a rudimentary task.

You need to educate yourself about statistics some more, especially about statistical power and sample sizes. You can calculate how large a sample of a population you need to detect a specific effect size with a specific degree of confidence. That means you can also calculate how small an effect would have to be for it not to be detected in a specific study. The larger the effect you are looking for the smaller the required sample size.

The vitamin studies were looking for very small effects, and needed large samples sizes. The effect sizes claimed for vaccines on autism are very much larger, with many anti-vaccine activists claiming that most or even all autism is caused by vaccination.

However, if you look at the epidemiological studies on vaccines, you can’t rule out a small effect, but it seems very clear there isn’t a large one.

I do understand where you are coming from. It isn’t impossible that autism is sometimes caused or exacerbated by a robust immune challenge at a moment of neurodevelopmental vulnerability. That would appear to be the mechanism by which prenatal rubella greatly increases the risk of autism, for example – infection before or after that window period does not cause autism or CRS. It isn’t impossible that there might be more than one window of vulnerability like this. However, lots of things are not impossible.

Let me put this a little differently. What evidence is better explained by your hypothesis than my hypothesis that there is no connection whatsoever between vaccines and autism apart from, perhaps, a modest preventive effect?

Sigh, “this idea that fewer and less severe immune responses somehow damage the developing immune system more than more frequent and more severe ones”.

@ notation:

I appreciate your kind words.
My father always told me that delivery is key.
Oh, wait you can’t actually hear me.

Unfortunately, I think that my ‘bonefire’ must remain only an ardent wish because everything is wet and disgusting but I’ll still take one of my cohorts to the waterside to see how much storm damage has occured over the past few months and then get Thai food. Ancient European ritual.

But effigies are ALWAYS a good idea. Instead of Burning Man, it’ll have to be Soggy Man.

@ PGP:

Conrick too? Holy crap. Let’s see: Ginger Taylor, Alison MacNeil, Katie Wright, TMR’s Saint, CONRICK – all have degrees in psychology or related areas and/ or work as counsellors / therapists.

I somehow doubt that they have much bio/ physio background- there are ways to get a Master’s degree without physio in psych – but it may be a degree requirement for a doctorate as are lots of statistics/ research design but more recently, there be alternative doctoral requirements in certain locales. I split my degrees Clinical/ Experimental so I do have a wider background than most. Social work degree requirements may focus on aspects other than medical/ psychological systems.

Thus, these anti-vax creatures do upset me when they parade their job titles and speak as it were *ex cathedra* but I always remember that there are woo-drenched doctors and nurses as well.

@Kreb – I’m still waiting on someone to come up with sound biological mechanism whereas vaccines could cause the changes that we see in autistic brains….swelling and encephalitis are fairly easy to spot & leave extremely prominent indications that they occurred…..since we don’t see that – what exactly is the mechanism that is being blamed?

Saying vaccines doesn’t mean anything unless you can point to whatever “thing” is supposed to be taking place to cause the effect….and I’m not seeing it – from anyone on the anti-vax militia side.

@ Lawrence:

Same here.
I’d like to know how a minuscule amount of mercury can utterly transform brain development :
does it induce time travel, reaching back two years to affect and change pre-natal development, adding cells, moving neural pathways around, re-arranging them and all the while evading detection by CAT scan, MRI, EEG, video and trained observers?

Also if there is no correlation between vaccination and autism why postulate mechanisms?
Immunological difference may be due to whatever causes autism not a cause of autism mediated by vaccines.

Diagramming possible causation can sometimes provoke eye-opening revelations.

Katie Wright has a background in psychology or therapy? But she’s one of the most foul-mouthed abusers of the lot of them.

Altho’ I can’t look it up right now- my computer is a-fussing and unhappy- IIRC she didn’t have a degree in psych but had some sort of training and did rape counselling.
Yeah. I know.

To be honest, I do not feel I’m qualified to say how true this premise is. (I’ve seen it asserted many times, but then again you can find people asserting just about anything about autism.)

Well, do you trust researchers at Yale, the editors at Pediatrics and the people at the NIH who funded a big study?

It’s funny, I don’t think I ever said anything about “gee, I would be completely qualified to assert that autism is an immune-mediated condition, if only someone noted for having an ax to grind cherry-picked an impressive-sounding paper or two that asserted that!”

pD, you sneer real well at people who supposedly haven’t read enough, or understood enough of what they’ve read.

So what’s your excuse? What part did you not understand, when I said I was willing to stipulate that autism was an immune-mediated condition for the sake of argument? Are you too stupid to understand that I’m talking about “if these assertions were true, would these often-said conclusions actually follow as an automatic consequence?” instead of begging you to come and insist for the four thousandth time how true those assertions are? Or are you just so arrogant and self-centered that any time discussion does not center around your favorite hobby-horse, you feel entitle to step in and force it off-topic and back onto your obsession?

I do not think it makes sense that “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.”

Well, if you are interested in learning things …

Take the beam out of your own eye first, pD. You just jumped into a discussion about syllogistic logic and instead of asking, “hmmm, curious, why do you not think all things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism?” – which, you know, could run the risk of you learning something – you just saw it as an opportunity for you to spout off – on a point that, let me emphasize this one more time, was already being accepted for the sake of argument.

If you don’t think we should be investigating things that interact with the immune system during critical brain development timeframes, you haven’t been reading the same things I have (and probably, skeptiquette has).

Or maybe, just maybe, I am doing what you apparently cannot do, and thinking beyond that single point, where you are fixated to the point where you feel entitled to hijack any conversation which doesn’t center on that question.

Here we go- from Safe Minds-
she has an *undergraduate degree* from Boston U ( doesn’t say in what) and a Master’s in Ed from Columbia U and a *certificate* in counselling psych ( doesn’t say from where/ could be somehwere else); she was the director of a sexual assault crisis centre and resigned to take care of her child with autism.

Re: Katie Wright…from Ginger Taylor’s blog:

http://adventuresinautism.blogspot.com/2007/04/katie-wright-joins-naa-board.html

“Katie is the mother of two boys, Mathias, age 3 and 5 year-old Christian. Christian regressed into autism at 2 ½ years old. Katie completed her under-graduate studies at Boston University and received a Masters in Education from Columbia University. Studying counseling psychology, she received her professional license in 2000 and was the Clinical Director of the Sexual Assault Crisis Center in Stamford, CT providing free and confidential counseling services to male and female survivors of rape and sexual assaults. Katie resigned her position when Christian became ill and now, with her husband Andreas, is dedicated to working to improve the lives of children and families affected by Autism. Watch for Katie on Thursday’s episode of The Oprah Winfrey Show!”

Unbelievable. It would be hard to think of a more hate-filled individual ever to expose themselves in this autism thing.

Ugh, it always turns my stomach that such a nasty person was ever let near rape victims. She must have been the worst, most victim-blaming counselor ever.

Oh my. Don’t I feel stupid. Sorry, blushing now…

That wasn’t my intention; I just thought the Craig Egan–Tenpenny interaction, which resulted in her FB page completely disappearing for a while, might provide some alternative entertainment.

Oh, look, I just got scolded for making fun of Parker because she couldn’t manage to post a comment and bitched about it. Some other chucklehead came along and barked about my being from a generation born with a phone in an ear and an iPad in hand. I’m almost 60. I can’t tell you how hard I laughed.

+Krebiozen
thanks i actually had just looked that up

in total im going to have to say
sorry i have to lean to the side of caution and say the effective damaging dose for mercury on a young child is unknown

some facts i found
thiomersal is 50% mercury by weight
mercury affects the brain as a neurotoxin , which IS the most dangerous thing about it but it is fairly dangerous to a few other organs as well
mercury is a very heavy metal
there are alternatives to thiomersal ?

here’s some excerpts i found from different places

* (1 part in 10,000) has been shown to be effective in clearing a broad spectrum of pathogens. A vaccine containing 0.01% thimerosal as a preservative contains 50 micrograms of thimerosal per 0.5 mL dose or approximately 25 micrograms of mercury per 0.5 mL dose.*

so some small examples were civilization became a mass test group experiment to mercury exposure

*The toxicity of methylmercury was first recognized during the late 1950s and early 1960s when industrial discharge of mercury into Minimata Bay, Japan led to the widespread consumption of mercury-contaminated fish (Harada 1995). Epidemics of methylmercury poisoning also occurred in Iraq during the 1970s when seed grain treated with a methylmercury fungicide was accidentally used to make bread (Bakir et al. 1973). During these epidemics, fetuses were found to be more sensitive to the effects of methylmercury than adults. Maternal exposure to high levels of methylmercury resulted in infants exhibiting severe neurologic injury including a condition resembling cerebral palsy, while their mothers showed little or no symptoms. Sensory and motor neurologic dysfunction and developmental delays were observed among some children who were exposed in utero to lower levels of methylmercury. *

source for the above the FDA
http://www.fda.gov/BiologicsBloodVaccines/SafetyAvailability/VaccineSafety/UCM096228

so is the mercury component in thiomersal provable inert if it were i think it wouldn’t be killing fungi and bacteria right

now i know that holding or eating mercury in fish is not the same as injecting it into directly into your blood.
so if we say its not inert and we are injecting it into the blood it is a minute away from the brain on injection right

to me this seems like russian rulet with a infants brain
maybe it hits a important target in development maybe it doesn’t

well that was my train of thought which makes me very skeptical for the idea of “tiny bit of mercury + baby” = ok

so my question is do we have no alternative ?
why is it so important to remain in the damn shots ?

my point is your concerned for disease so you immunize
if you concerned for edge case’s of neurological damage from mercury remove the mercury seems pretty simple to me

problem solved , so what am i missing ?

@ will

I believe you mean ethyl mercury not methyl mercury, they are not the same. The regulars here can correct me if I’m wrong but most (all??) immunizations are given as intramuscular shots. Someone far more skilled than I can address the rest of your post.

@ will
let me correct that, you are assuming that methyl mercury is a component of thiomersal when it is actually ethyl mercury. They are not the same.

I really wish there was an edit button or preview function, ugh.

Not all vaccines are given via the IM (intramuscular) route. Some are administered via the SC (subcutaneous) route, other are given via the ID (intradermal) route, some are oral vaccines and the LAIV (Live Attenuated Influenza Vaccine) is given via intranasal spray. None are administered IV (intravenous) route directly into the bloodstream.

http://www.immunize.org/catg.d/p3085.pdf

Thimerosal was formerly used in multi-dose of vaccines, as a preservative. All childhood vaccines are now in single dose vials or preloaded single dose syringes and more than half of the available seasonal influenza vaccines are available without mercury (single doses).

Thimerosal was removed from childhood vaccines, based only on methyl mercury research. In the intervening years the organomercury compound Thimerosal which contains ethyl mercury has be thoroughly researched and found to be a safe, non-toxic preservative.

Here’s a recent statement from the AAP in support of Thimerosal preservative in multi-dose vaccine vials:

http://www.healio.com/pediatrics/vaccine-preventable-diseases/news/print/infectious-diseases-in-children/%7B99e7f569-7e2e-4981-8960-45f4549a1f53%7D/aap-experts-in-pediatrics-support-who-statement-on-thimerosal-in-vaccines

Thank you lilady, for saying it much better than I ever could. The technical details don’t stick in my head as well as they should, which tends to make me generalize things a lot more than I want to. A few more years of reading this kind of stuff over and over again and some of it might take hold enough for me to rattle off the correct details (like all the wonderful regulars here).

shadow1458, unless you are administering vaccines frequently, you do tend to forget. I’ve been retired for eight years and I often have to look up the information about vaccines/vaccines administration.

“Thimerosal was removed from childhood vaccines, based only on methyl mercury research.” – lilady [sorry, I don’t know how to italicize]

I thought it was removed after the EPA directed that all government departments review the presence of mercury, and that in vaccines it was removed after AAP and PHS raised a purely theoretical risk, rather than any specific research.

Jeff1971: I thought I had stated that it was a purely theoretical risk, based only on the available research of methyl mercury. See my second link above to the AAP Statement in support of the WHO policy to continue to use multi-dose vials of vaccine with Thimerosal.

See also the Thimerosal information from the Vaccine Education Center at CHOP, which details the history of using Thimerosal in vaccines and medicines as a preservative, the removal of Thimerosal because of the “theoretical risk” and the recent multiple research studies which show Thimerosal to be a safe and effective vaccine preservative:

http://www.chop.edu/service/vaccine-education-center/vaccine-safety/vaccine-ingredients/thimerosal.html

BTW, Jeff 1971: IMO, the original AAP Statement about removing Thimerosal, “disappeared” from the AAP Policy Statements page just a few short years after Thimerosal was removed from multi-dose vials and the switchover to only single dose vials/single dose preloaded syringes.

My personal belief is that the AAP could have (should have) issued an additional (Interim?) Statement about the completed research studies showing safety of Thimerosal, as they were reported in the science and medical journals, before the AAP finally issued the Statement (December, 2012) in support of the Who policy for the use of multi-dose vials.

Mr. Motill,

Which vaccine on the American pediatric schedule is only available thimerosal? Do not include influenza since half approved for children are thimersal free. Do not mention DTaP, since most are thimerosal free.

Also do you understand that elemental mercury, methylmercury and ethylmercury are all completely different things?

And what is safer for a baby, getting a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection? Provide scientific documentation from reputable qualified researchers to support your answer.

@ motil some facts i found
thiomersal is 50% mercury by weight

Table salt is 50% sodium ( In pure elemental form -sodium is explosive when mixed with water)
Table salt is 50% chloride ( In pure elemental form as chlorine gas, will turn to corrosive acid when mixed with water)
So why doesn’t my mouth dissolve or explode off my face when I eat salt?

Because the compound sodium chloride has completely different properties than it’s components alone.

Elemental Hydrogen will explode when ignited.
Elemental Oxygen will give a huge flame when ignited.
So why can I throw H2O on a fire and not create a crater from the explosion?

Because the compound H2O – water – has completely different properties from that of it’s components alone.
See where I’m going with this?

Just like thimerosal (ethyl mercury) has completely different properties from elemental mercury AND methyl mercury.

Now that this has been pointed out to you I can assume there will be no more pesky wilful ignorance.

sorry to play devil’s advocate
but i cant conscientiously get past mercury as a sound means of a quote “preservative”

re:
“I believe you mean ethyl mercury not methyl mercury, they are not the same”

…sorry i suppose so…
looking into the above however didn’t make me feel better as they are not so very different either , one is a ch3 group the other is a ch3 group + ch2… group

the above statements are of no reassurance at best
quote
“Thimerosal was removed from childhood vaccines, based only on methyl mercury research”
…not so good they tested the wrong thing the first time ?
quote
“Thimerosal which contains ethyl mercury has be thoroughly researched and found to be a safe”
….great in extremely small amounts….
quote
“Here’s a recent statement from the AAP in support of Thimerosal preservative in … Multi-dose” ?
…wait are they recommending upping the amount taken in at one time ?

the tone of that article above pointed out is also not very reassuring
http://www.healio.com/pediatrics/vaccine-preventable-diseases/news/print/infectious-diseases-in-children/%7B99e7f569-7e2e-4981-8960-45f4549a1f53%7D/aap-experts-in-pediatrics-support-who-statement-on-thimerosal-in-vaccines
with statements like
“for low- and middle-income countries”
…as opposed to ?
“Future research and partnerships can make our vaccine supplies more accessible, secure, affordable and safe”
… we talking about health or business here ?

if these shot no longer contain it then, it is after all a mute point

but i don’t see any proof that it Thimerosal itself is in fact safe by definition

chemically as a stand alone substance it clearly is not simply due to its mercury component
it is not a preservative
it is in fact a toxic anti-bacterial component that is its purpose and action and that is accomplished by the mercury component directly

@Narad – Oh, it most definitely will! Sorry, I misunderstood initially then. I thought you were taking the piss with the link ..

So, for a newbie such as myself – safe to say the following is correlation and not causation, right?

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21623535

And anything mentioning VAERS is a write-off I assume, yes?

or am i wrong that is not its purpose ?
cause i seem to remember that there is some live bacteria in these vaccines ??? so now im really getting confused

ok damn you guys post fast lol

sorry chris
i can only look stuff up so fast if you would post the answer that would be good

ill stop being a pest

@Will – if you take a look at this series of studies, I believe all of your questions will be answered:

http://www2.aap.org/immunization/families/faq/vaccinestudies.pdf

Also, Thimerasol has been removed from all US Pediatric Vaccines, with the exception of some Flu Vaccines….so the issue is really moot at this point (especially in light of all of the evidence that the initial concern was proven to be false).

“Here’s a recent statement from the AAP in support of Thimerosal preservative in … Multi-dose” ?
…wait are they recommending upping the amount taken in at one time ?

No, one vial with enough doses for multiple people. Packaging that way is more efficient than packaging each dose by itself. 

“Future research and partnerships can make our vaccine supplies more accessible, secure, affordable and safe”
… we talking about health or business here ?

Both. Health care costs money just as food costs money, just as housing costs money, just as everything that requires human effort to supply costs money. Many nations have very few resources to spare for health care, so reducing the costs for them allows more people to receive care, in this case vaccines. There are also areas that are difficult to get into and lack reliable refrigeration, and thimerasol can keep vaccines safer under those conditions.

will motill,

so is the mercury component in thiomersal provable inert if it were i think it wouldn’t be killing fungi and bacteria right

Thimerosal is a very effective microbicide at very low concentrations and is very cheap. It has been in use for many decades and there are no reports of any health problems in doses hundreds or even thousands of times higher than those in vaccines – it has been used to preserve immunoglobulins and plasma for transfusions for example. Patients have been given up to 1,800 mg of thimerosal intravenously without noticeable ill effects (the infamous Eli Lily experiments with terminal meningococcal meningitis patients in 1930), that’s 36,000 times as much thimerosal as there ever was in any vaccine.

now i know that holding or eating mercury in fish is not the same as injecting it into directly into your blood.

True, since Ingested methylmercury in fish is rapidly and completely absorbed into the blood stream, while thimerosal iin a vaccine injected into muscle or under the skin is slowly absorbed into the blood stream and quite quickly excreted in urine and feces. Eating fish results in more rapid absorption of the more dangerous methylmercury which is also excreted more slowly.

Someone eating a 50 gram tin of tuna every week might legally ingest (and absorb) 2,600 micrograms of methylmercury over the course of a year*, while in the era before thimerosal removal an infant might have been exposed to 187.5 micrograms of thimerosal, given over the course of 7 months.

so if we say its not inert and we are injecting it into the blood it is a minute away from the brain on injection right

It is most certainly safe in the doses used – the concentration of 50 micrograms thimerosal in 0.5 ml of vaccine is 100,000 micrograms per liter in the vial. The highest blood concentration of ethylmercury measured after a thimerosal-containing vaccine was children post vaccination 5.7 micrograms per liter the day after vaccination, dropping to baseline levels after 30 days. Isn’t it perfect possible that a substance can be safe in children at 6 micrograms per liter while effectively killing microbes at a concentration of 100,000 micrograms per liter?

to me this seems like russian rulet with a infants brain
maybe it hits a important target in development maybe it doesn’t

We have evidence from places like the Seychelles and the Faroes where people eat lots of fish, and have far higher levels of mercury than children from non-fish-eating places who have been vaccinated. Even children who were exposed to high levels of mercury in the womb and afterwards show no clear signs of neurodevelopmental problems**. They certainly don’t have epidemics of autism.

well that was my train of thought which makes me very skeptical for the idea of “tiny bit of mercury + baby” = ok

There is a tiny bit of mercury in the air we breath, the water we drink and the food we eat. It’s always a trade off between the benefits and risks of these things. Burning coal to generate electricity results in mercury exposure. Is it worth the risk? That’s arguable, but I think the minuscule theoretical risk of exposure to the the tiny amounts of thimerosal in some vaccines is greatly outweighed by its benefits.

so my question is do we have no alternative ?
why is it so important to remain in the damn shots ?

There are alternatives but they have not been as thoroughly tested for safety, they may not be as effective and they are more expensive. Thiimerosal is only in use in multi-use vials, that a nurse or doctor will repeatedly stick a needle into to withdraw multiple doses for multiple patients. This makes contamination possible, and the thimerosal prevents any microbes introduced from multiplying. This is particularly important in the developing world where the cheapest options are needed, and where a lack of refrigeration means a contaminated vaccine can go bad very quickly.

The effects of injecting people with contaminated vaccines are very, very nasty indeed. I would much rather my children were injected with a tiny amount of mercury that could not possibly hurt anyone, than exposed to a risk of infection like this.

Why stop using a preservative that is highly effective, and that we know is extremely safe as it has been used for over a century? The only reason seems to be the ignorance of the facts about thimerosal and mercury in vaccines.

You also wrote:

looking into the above however didn’t make me feel better as they are not so very different either , one is a ch3 group the other is a ch3 group + ch2… group

I think you mean one has one carbon (methylmercury) and the other has two carbons (ethylmercury). There is a similar difference between vodka (ethanol) and wood alcohol (methanol). One has two carbons, the other has two. That’s the only difference, just as in methyl and ethylmercury. When ingested one will get you drunk, the other can blind and kill you.

* EPA limit is 1,000 micrograms per kg, 1 microgram per gram, 50 micrograms per 50 grams (approx 2 ounces).
** In the Seychelles no effects were seen in women exposed to 0.5 microgram/kg of methylmercury each and every day. In a 66 kg woman that’s over 9,000 micrograms over the course of a 9 month pregnancy.

I hope the scattering of typos in the above are obvious, “one has one carbon, the other has two”, for example.

Also, thimerosal was patented, as merthiolate, in 1927, so it has been in use for almost a century, not more than a century as I stated. Sunday morning brain fuzz, sorry.

So, for a newbie such as myself – safe to say the following is correlation and not causation, right?

Yes, it’s correlation. Which might be a reason to investigate, and see if causation is behind the correlation, except that in this case the correlation was produced by juggling data, as Orac describes here: https://www.respectfulinsolence.com/2011/06/08/more-bad-science-in-the-service-of-the-discredited-idea/ . The author adds speech impediments which have no relation to autism to autism, and then draws a correlation between that artificial Frankencategory and vaccines – and that’s just the start of the mistakes which make the paper pointless.

And anything mentioning VAERS is a write-off I assume, yes?

I don’t know if I’d go so far as to say that any paper mentioning VAERS is a write-off – but VAERS is only one component of our vaccine safety surveillance program, and it’s the component that deliberately casts the widest net, accepting a high rate of what will almost certainly be false positives in order to make sure true positives aren’t missed.

So one would have to wonder, on encountering a paper that cited VAERS data, why they’d be looking there instead of at more reliable endpoints. It’s as if a paper on criminology insisted on using figures on “incidents that set off burglar alarms” rather than “actual confirmed break-ins”; you’d wonder why.

If someone uses VAERS exclusively to try to prove anything, that is a huge problem – since it is merely a reporting mechanism & we have no idea if the reports are true (since the follow-up investigation results are not appended) – and by looking at a number of the most salacious reports (Gardisil Deaths, for instance), we find that many of them consist of:

“Respondent saw on the Internet that someone died after receiving the Gardisil Vaccine. Same respondent made multiple, identical reports.”

Because of reports like this, the anti-vax militia is “stacking the deck” against vaccines, because their tendency to look at reports in total, without considering the actual meat of the individual reports (or merits). So, using the reports in any sort of statistical analysis yields false results (true garbage in / garbage out).

Also, if you look at a good number of the rest of the serious reaction (or death) reports, you find situations where the vaccine has no plausible effect (like a girl who was killed in a car accident, months after receiving a vaccine or drownings, for instance).

Of course, it was also VAERS reports that led to a re-examination of the original Rotavirus vaccine – so legitimate reports are followed up and acted upon.

Again, the anti-vax militia does a disservice to everyone by misusing the VAERS system (both by quoting it as gospel & encouraging others to make what are false reports to inflate the overall numbers).

That’s why we consider VAERS to be a problem….if you rely on it exclusively for anything (hence, we don’t use VAERS as the sole means of saying vaccines are safe either).

I’m thinking someone is playing at being dense. I’d hate to think that someone’s reading comprehension level is at such a low level.

DESPITE all of the material cited by my esteemed colleagues above about mercury we still have a coterie of denialists who are fixated upon it-
of course I’m talking about Jake and his merry band of enablers ( @ Autism Investigated).

This splinter group became very unhappy with the AoA/ Canary Party move away from mercury-laced hypotheses towards more generic environmental toxin hypotheses and thus formed its own orbit, revolving about mercury.

Jake has had quite a few partisans gravitate into his field of influence and he himself is attracted to the work of Brian Hooker as well as the Geiers and Haley.
Right now, it seems that Hooker has a press release about his investigation into the cover-up. I understand that both he and Jake will present at Autism One.

I took note of Jake’s latest rant and one of the posters (who is, himself an anti-vaccine crank-Paul G. King, PhD, is correcting the obvious mistakes Jake made in reading the Hooker FOIA “find”.

Jake is presenting at the Quackfest. He’s on the “Keynote Speaker Panel”. There’s mention at the A1-Gen Rescue website that they will have a “surprise Keynote Speaker”. Another congressman bought by Jennifer Larson, perhaps?

There are new comments up on Christina Waldman’s libelous post, with references to this article, where the AoA groupies are posting their comments. (note the Godwin posts). I don’t think the committing platform accepts links. I’m getting lonely there:

http://denver.cbslocal.com/2014/02/20/kids-vaccines-spotlight-state-capitol/#comments

so if we say its not inert and we are injecting it into the blood it is a minute away from the brain on injection right

Not really. Neonatal tight junctions are functionally intact. Methylmercury enters the brain by mimicking methionine. So, you need a transporter; hydrophilic EtHg isn’t just going to diffuse willy-nilly from brain capillaries. If it’s the “L system,” as MtHg, the question is whether the transport is as effective, and one might well ask how much is sequestered in the choroid plexus.

to me this seems like russian rulet with a infants brain
maybe it hits a important target in development maybe it doesn’t

There’s no question of “hitting” random “targets,” as one’s brain isn’t swimming in blood. The question, again, is the point of entry.

Mr. Motill: “sorry chris
i can only look stuff up so fast if you would post the answer that would be good ”

No, it does not work that way. I asked a question, you need to answer it. The answer to the first one was in the link you posted in comment #363. I suggest you go and read that FDA article in full, and look at the table instead of cutting and pasting from another website.

Here are my questions again, hopefully with the proper bold and a missing word restored:

Which vaccine on the American pediatric schedule is only available with thimerosal?

Do not include influenza since half approved for children are thimersal free. Do not mention DTaP, since most are thimerosal free.

Also do you understand that elemental mercury, methylmercury and ethylmercury are all completely different things?

And what is safer for a baby, getting a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection? Provide scientific documentation from reputable qualified researchers to support your answer.

I believe we have a troll on our hands. Repeating the same old tropes…including the “injected into the bloodstream” lies. You all are more patient, responding to him.

will motif @375

they are not so very different either, one is a ch3 group the other is a ch3 group + ch2… group

Well, actually methyl and ethyl are very different, especially inside the human body.
Do you know anyone who drinks methanol (CH3OH) instead of ethanol (CH3CH2OH)?

This one of your agruments also always bugs me:

thiomersal is 50% mercury by weight

While mercury may be 50% of the compound by weight, it is only 1 out of the 23 atoms, but that does not sound nearly as scary, does it?

Finally:

it is not a preservative

It preserves the vaccine from bacterial growth. I suggest looking up the term preservative in a dictionary.

Will Motill:
so let me ask
if i put a little mercury on a spoon swirled it around let it slide off then told you to put that spoon in your mouth and swallow who here would be willing to put thier mouth were there money is ?

You got some answers to that earlier question but didn’t respond to them. Weren’t they the answers you wanted?

thiomersal is 50% mercury by weight
What percentage weight of mercury should it be? Is there any non-zero percentage of mercury which would make it non-scary, or is this statement just a way of expressing your primal fear?

looking into the above however didn’t make me feel better as they are not so very different either , one is a ch3 group the other is a ch3 group + ch2… group

Methanol, with its CH3 group, will blind you. Ethanol, with a CH3 and CH2, won’t. That’s a significant difference for me.
So you along with your concerns about mercury; the toxicologists patiently explained the difference between elemental and organic mercury, and between ethyl and methyl mercury; your response is that you’re simply going to ignore the toxicologists because their answers don’t match your intuition.

I’m beginning to suspect that Will Motill doesn’t really come here for the hunting.

Chemmomo
Procrastination without Preview

I procrastinated 30 seconds more than Chemmomo’s comment.

@Krebiozen –

What child in the pre-vaccine era did not experience a few of those?

Child, or 2 month old infant?

Infants get on average 5-8 infections such as colds, ear and GI infections every year, and are more likely to suffer fevers than adults.

Once again, the concept of infancy is ellusive in this discussion. From the paper you reference:

Mothers reported the frequency of infections in the past 3 months at every data collection between age 1½ and 8 years.

Do you know the difference between 18 months and 2 months? Do you think there might be differences in neurodevelopment or immune system functioning between the two? These children are in daycare, a well known breeding ground for infection.

Why vaccines should provoke a qualitatively different response isn’t clear to me.

TIMEFRAME It isn’t about the immune response, it is about what is happening in the bodies environment when that immune response occurs.

I hope you know perfectly well why by now. The idea is to provoke an adaptive immune response with the minimum possible risk.

So you think that the immune response generated from alum salts isn’t qualitatively different than from infection? It does bear striking resemblance to how we evolved alongside entire bacteria.

why is your vaccine-autism hypothesis more compelling than my broccoli-autism hypothesis?

Because infants aren’t eating broccoli. Because we have no evidence that eating broccoli results in stimulation of the innate immune response sufficient to create a fever. Because broccoli traverses the gut and vaccines do not.

A less robust response to a specific antigen that neonatal primary CD8+ T cells were previously exposed to does not constitute, “persistent immune dysregulation”. I fail to see even a tenuous connection to your hypothesis.

It is an example of vaccination resulting in different immune characteristics in ways *other than* generation of immunological memory. Anyone who has seen a TV commercial (in the US) for a pharmaceutical knows that the list of ‘also’ effects is quite large; for whatever reason, people seem to have the idea that the *only* change to the immune system from vaccination is antibody creation. It’s the one medical invention of all time that is *only* doing what we want. I find this supposition unlikely, possible, but not likely.

Where’s your evidence that this is actually happening?

You are the one responsible for providing some data if we are to believe there is ‘considerable epidemiological evidence’. I’m the one saying that said evidence is unable to discriminate time dependencies because it is based on the MMR.

It is also historically the period when infants have been exposed to a much wider range of pathogens than today, though this range has been dramatically reduced by vaccination.

It has *not* been dramatically reduced by vaccination. First you want to tell me that children get 8 infections a year; that’s roughly the total number of diseases we vaccinate against in total. So, unless you want to tell me that most infants got hep-b, polio, diptheria, pertussis, tetanus, the flu, and pcv by the time they were two months old, then your statement doesn’t even agree with what you have earlier in this thread. We vaccinate against *vey dangerous* pathogens,but considering the totality of pathogens out there, eight pathogens doesn’t seem like a large percentage.

Vaccination has markedly reduced the amount of time children spend fighting off (or succumbing to) infections, as well as the severity of their immune responses in general.

[citation required] Also, please replace ‘children’ with ‘infants’. We start vaccinating at two months of age.

Is this really surprising?

I think it was surprizing that the same effect could ablated by tnf-alpha antibodies, or that direct injection of tnf-alpha could create the same imbalances. The issue is that it points for the ability of an immune challenge *in early life* to persistently modify how the brain works *for forever*. Here is a more recent study I ran into that utilized a real infection model that you might find of interest.

Respiratory viral infection in neonatal piglets causes marked microglia activation in the hippocampus and deficits in spatial learning (J Neurosci. 2014 Feb 5;34(6):2120-9)

Of course, this could be seen as an indication to vaccinate against RSV. What a lot of our Poly:IC/LPS studies tell us, however, is that the triggering mechanism is not as important as whether or not the innate immune system got triggered or not.

It wasn’t so long ago that half of all children died of contagious diseases, and many still do in the developing world.

I do not disagree. I am not arguing that vaccines don’t work. I am arguing that our understanding of the interconnected ties of the immune system and CNS is insufficient to know that we aren’t having unintended effects with our vaccination program.

You must know that a prospective study would be unethical, and that a retrospective one would be riddled with bias.

OK. But then the problem with your ‘considerable evidence’ mantra becomes clear. There is no considerable evidence, just people saying that until they are actually asked to provide said evidence.

I do understand where you are coming from.

Wow!

It isn’t impossible that autism is sometimes caused or exacerbated by a robust immune challenge at a moment of neurodevelopmental vulnerability. That would appear to be the mechanism by which prenatal rubella greatly increases the risk of autism, for example – infection before or after that window period does not cause autism or CRS.

Indeed. You might also be interested in this study, which found a dose relationship between maternal CRP levels and autism diagnosis.

Elevated maternal C-reactive protein and autism in a national birth cohort (Mol Psychiatry. 2014 Feb;19(2):259-64)

It would seem that a moderate, but consistent increase in inflammation *could also be* a risk factor. And again, we can see that acute insults are not the only possible agents of change.

It isn’t impossible that there might be more than one window of vulnerability like this.

We are in agreement once again. My concerns are that we are only now beginning to investigate these.

What evidence is better explained by your hypothesis than my hypothesis that there is no connection whatsoever between vaccines and autism apart from, perhaps, a modest preventive effect?

As I have stated, there is very little evidence looking at this one way or the other excluding the MMR and thimerosal. My concern is not available evidence, but rather, ramifications of being wrong. Even if the likelyhood is small, the magnitude of the change is very, very large.

@AF –

Earlier you said this:

(I’ve seen it asserted many times, but then again you can find people asserting just about anything about autism.)

I felt that lurkers might take your ‘just about anything’ line seriously and felt like a (somewhat sarcastic) example of the literature to this regard might help anyone on the fence have a more concise understanding of what the data actually says. The reality of the dataset in this regard cares not for syllogisms.

Or are you just so arrogant and self-centered that any time discussion does not center around your favorite hobby-horse, you feel entitle to step in and force it off-topic and back onto your obsession?

LOL. You guys seemed to bored blasting away at Greg and I figured I’d give you a (slighly) harder target. In any case, I’m not sure if you have noticed or not, but this discussion is focussed on mechanisms by which vaccination could contribute to autism risk.

Or maybe, just maybe, I am doing what you apparently cannot do, and thinking beyond that single point, where you are fixated to the point where you feel entitled to hijack any conversation which doesn’t center on that question.

Maybe.

Listen, I felt you were genuinely curious as to whether or not there was evidence that *some cases* of autism were immune mediated. Of course, you couldn’t be bothered to read the Pediatrics paper, you just assumed that it was ‘impressive sounding’ and that it constituted one of up to two papers based on similar themes, so I may have been wrong in that assumption.

I would still recommend you take a look at the microglia data; those agents are actively shaping the neural network and respond to signals from the periphery.

This is supposedly a place for critical analysis, if syllogisms are the extent of what you are interested in, then it was my mistake to engage you. As you can see, I’m not very good at them.

@pD: I do know the difference between an infant and a child. And I know many infants that came into the world with infections (beta strep, anyone?) and got injections, antibiotics, antifungals…all sorts of things. And many infants (my own 2 as examples) who had many infections within the year of infancy, starting very young. Yet, they didn’t develop autism. And all those children, as far as I know, were also fully vaccinated, starting with 2 month DPT and OPV (pre-Hep B vaccine era).

We *know* that most children who are later diagnosed with autism have an increase in neurons which occurs during development in the uterus. Are you postulating that vaccines worsen that? And why would vaccines be worse than the illness itself?

I’m trying to really understand where you are coming from, but I really don’t.

thanks for the reply’s everyone and your time

i can understand the point made, that it i am guessing it can be used without refrigeration in 3rd world country’s
and disease is a very serious reality there

as to chris– ok i take it back im not sorry —
quote ” I asked a question, you need to answer it””
1.)
No bud that’s not how it works you asked a question in the form of a order for me to answer Your question which i guaged to instigate a line of conversation
which may or may not have had anything to do with the point of my contention or the line of of my question,
which at best appeared coercive and at worst a troll attempt.
….now the way it doe’s work is like this if >>You<< want to site something make a statement or answer a question do so….if you want to answer a question with a question give at least a clue that's what it leads to ….

that said… i will pay you some more attention …

quote chris
"I suggest you go and read that FDA article in full, and look at the table instead of cutting and pasting from another website."
2)
…i suggest you read it … as that so called copy paste from another website ..IS the exact same website you are talking about me having not read in full, which i by your tone you are implying you did. but must have missed those full paragraphs …
3)
maybe you assume to much , or maybe you can post the answer to your own question so it doesn't take 3 posts back and forth for us to get to Your Point in your aggressive condition form

Table 1. Thimerosal Content of Vaccines Routinely Recommended for Children 6 Years of Age and Younger
Tripedia
(Sanofi Pasteur, Inc.) Trace(≤0.3 µg Hg/0.5mL dose) 03/07/01
– which coincidentally IS under DTaP

"Also do you understand that elemental mercury, methylmercury and ethylmercury are all completely different things?"
…scroll up much… ?

pretty sure that was all i was asking about in my posts
Hg / CH3Hg / C2H5Hg = CH3 + CH2 + HG

4) k im done

I’ve made a simple graphic to demonstrate why this is important regarding our existing research suite:

[http:][//imgur.com/XIm92DZ]
http://i.imgur.com/XIm92DZ.png

FTFY. Not everybody is using a phone. Do you really think IPV represents a “*blind spot*”?

The issue is that it points for the ability of an immune challenge *in early life* to persistently modify how the brain works *for forever*.

That reminds me of something.

no really not a troll
said right at the beginning it really doesn’t matter to me
but
if you think im a troll for questioning the wisdom of injecting any mercury into your body
then i have some u-235 to give you that is totally not dangerous in very small amounts just dont ask any questions about how much is safe

I was lead to believe that all these flu shots
had mercury in them
you guys are aware that the number of sites out there that say there is mercury in these shots
far outnumbers the others on any given search

when people were arguing that massive dose’s of mercury would not affect you , which is as wrong as saying immune shots cause autism so… pretty much now im done

any thoughts i had on that topic heir herman
were indeed no troll as well that was quite seriously how i see things on that matter which is of actual interest to me

oh ya heir douchler
i was fact checking before i reply
sorry if it wasn’t thoughtlessly quick for you

for some reason this thing put my detailed reply on pause

@AF –

Earlier you said this:

(I’ve seen it asserted many times, but then again you can find people asserting just about anything about autism.)

I felt that lurkers might take your ‘just about anything’ line seriously and felt like a (somewhat sarcastic) example of the literature to this regard might help anyone on the fence have a more concise understanding of what the data actually says. The reality of the dataset in this regard cares not for syllogisms.

WTF are you even trying to say? Seriously? “The reality of the dataset in this regard cares not for syllogisms”? Is that your ultra-pretentious version of the tired old “your scientific methods can’t measure my woo” trope?

I am a great believer in the principle of charity, but I cannot find a single possible interpretation of “The reality of the dataset in this regard cares not for syllogisms” that isn’t rock-f*cking-stupid. It’s like saying “the links of this chain are so g*ddamn strong, it doesn’t make any difference that none of them are connected to each other.” Yes it does, you moron, because without being linked together they don’t form a chain. And if you can’t put together a sound syllogism showing how the conclusion you’re obsessed with actually connects to “the reality of the dataset” then your dataset means nothing.

This may not be quite as stupid as when you pointed to obviously non-vaccine factors that increase the incidence of autism and claimed them as support for your unproven hypothesis of vaccine factors causing an increase in incidence of autism, but if you continue on your current course, I have no doubt you’ll top all your previous records for idiocy.

Or are you just so arrogant and self-centered that any time discussion does not center around your favorite hobby-horse, you feel entitle to step in and force it off-topic and back onto your obsession?

LOL. You guys seemed to bored blasting away at Greg and I figured I’d give you a (slighly) harder target. In any case, I’m not sure if you have noticed or not, but this discussion is focussed on mechanisms by which vaccination could contribute to autism risk.

Oh, do please tell us who the authority is who declared that to be the focus of the discussion. I realize that in your fanatic mind, all conversations worth having must be about mechanisms by which vaccination could contribute to autism risk. But guess what? You’re f*cking wrong, and you’re f*cking rude. You don’t get to step in and say “Hey, you’re not talking about my favored hobby-horse; we have to change the topic!”

Or maybe, just maybe, I am doing what you apparently cannot do, and thinking beyond that single point, where you are fixated to the point where you feel entitled to hijack any conversation which doesn’t center on that question.

Maybe.

You just confirmed it to be so. Or would you like us to take an impromptu poll, and find out if anyone here other than yourself viewed the discussion as proscriptively focused on “mechanisms by which vaccination could contribute to autism risk”?

Listen, I felt you were genuinely curious as to whether or not there was evidence that *some cases* of autism were immune mediated.

And the reason you felt that I felt that is because you have an immense and blinding tunnel vision, to the point where you can’t picture anything outside that tiny tunnel being worthy of discussion by anyone.

I will keep repeating this point, to hammer home just how rude and stupid your behavior is: I had agreed to stipulate for the sake of argument that autism was immune-mediated. If the multi-syllable word “stipulate” puzzles you, let me put it in one-syllable words: I had said from the start, ‘let us treat that point as true, for the length of this talk.’

Does it cross your tiny little mind now why it was rude and stupid for you to barge in and say ‘You shouldn’t just treat it as true for this talk! You should treat it as true everywhere and always! If you don’t already believe this, then you haven’t been reading the right things! And if you have any objection to me coming in and making this a discussion all about how true my favorite belief is at all times, then that means you’re clearly not interested in learning things!’?

Of course, you couldn’t be bothered to read the Pediatrics paper, you just assumed that it was ‘impressive sounding’ and that it constituted one of up to two papers based on similar themes, so I may have been wrong in that assumption.

I once assumed you had two brain cells to rub together. I may have been wrong in that assumption.

This is supposedly a place for critical analysis, if syllogisms are the extent of what you are interested in, then it was my mistake to engage you. As you can see, I’m not very good at them.

How have you gotten our positions so completely reversed? Everyone can see: the truth is not that “syllogisms are the extent of what [I am] interested in”, it’s that mechanisms-by-which-vaccines-could-be-causing-autism are the extent of what you’re interested in – to the degree that you actually come out and declare ‘this discussion is focused on the subject that interests me!’, just because it never occurs to you that the world at large might not share your single-minded obsession.

Narad @398.
Thanks to the link to his incoherent rambling over there.
I see they just ignored him and continued the discussion.

luckily i had it copy pasted
No i wasn’t trolling pretty much just kept going because when people make claims like oh you can inject massive amounts of mercury and be ok
after i just posted fda instances of results of mercury poisoning kinda makes you have to second guess the so called non quacks ???

well thanks for the reply’s everyone and your time

i can understand the point made, that it i am guessing it can be used without refrigeration in 3rd world country’s
and disease is a very serious reality there

as to chris– ok i take it back im not sorry —
quote ” I asked a question, you need to answer it””
1.)
No bud that’s not how it works you asked a question in the form of a order for me to answer Your question which i guaged to instigate a line of conversation
which may or may not have had anything to do with the point of my contention or the line of of my question,
which at best appeared coercive and at worst a troll attempt.
….now the way it doe’s work is like this if >>You<< want to site something make a statement or answer a question do so….if you want to answer a question with a question give at least a clue that's what it leads to ….

that said… i will pay you some more attention …

quote chris
"I suggest you go and read that FDA article in full, and look at the table instead of cutting and pasting from another website."
2)
…i suggest you read it … as that so called copy paste from another website ..IS the exact same website you are talking about me having not read in full, which i by your tone you are implying you did. but must have missed those full paragraphs …
3)
maybe you assume to much , or maybe you can post the answer to your own question so it doesn't take 3 posts back and forth for us to get to Your Point in your aggressive condition form

Table 1. Thimerosal Content of Vaccines Routinely Recommended for Children 6 Years of Age and Younger
Tripedia
(Sanofi Pasteur, Inc.) Trace(≤0.3 µg Hg/0.5mL dose) 03/07/01
– which coincidentally IS under DTaP

"Also do you understand that elemental mercury, methylmercury and ethylmercury are all completely different things?"
…scroll up much… ?

pretty sure that was all i was asking about in my posts
Hg / CH3Hg / C2H5Hg = CH3 + CH2 + HG

4) k im done

@lilady – Thank you for posting the news article about the measles. I appreciate all the links you post, in other threads as well. I’m currently advocating for my future stepson to be vaccinated, and as he lives in SoCal, the awareness is much appreciated!

@Antaeus Feldspar – thank you for the link to Orac’s previous blog! Much appreciated.

@Lawrence – Thanks for confirming my suspicions in a much more concise manner 🙂

Hope I’m not pestering you guys with all my questions. I admire your knowledge very, very much, and appreciate your generosity with it!

pD,

What child in the pre-vaccine era did not experience a few of those?

Child, or 2 month old infant?

A 2 month old infant is a child. Perhaps you are not familiar with standard terminology. A nenoate is aged up to 28 days, an infant is aged 1 month to 1 year (usually), a child is aged 1 year to 16 years (depending on local laws).

My point is that infections are common in children of all ages, and were much more common in the pre-vaccine era.

Infants get on average 5-8 infections such as colds, ear and GI infections every year, and are more likely to suffer fevers than adults.

Once again, the concept of infancy is ellusive in this discussion. From the paper you reference:

Mothers reported the frequency of infections in the past 3 months at every data collection between age 1½ and 8 years.

Do you know the difference between 18 months and 2 months? /blockquote>

Of course I know the difference. Why is it that whenever we start to focus on a specific time-frame or vaccine, you move the goalposts to a different age? Children are subject to frequent infections that are far more challenging to the immune system than vaccines, in terms of severity of illness and degree of fever.

Do you think there might be differences in neurodevelopment or immune system functioning between the two? These children are in daycare, a well known breeding ground for infection.

Are you suggesting that historically children were kept segregated in sterile pods? Anyway, they were not all in daycare. The conclusion of the paper is that children will experience this frequency of infections whenever they are first exposed to other children, at whatever age this happens to be.

In the pre-vaccine era infections were even more common and happened at all ages. A recent study in Guinea Bissau found that almost 10% of children had suffered a rotavirus infection by the age of 2 months, and almost 75% by the age of 2 years. That’s just rotavirus which, as anyone who has nursed a child through it as I have, knows is a nasty illness that must put quite a strain on a child’s immune system, far greater than any vaccine reaction I ever witnessed (and I have witnessed a few).

Why didn’t a considerable number of these infections in Africa or in pre-vaccine developed countries, occur during this alleged window of neurodevelopmental vulnerability to an immune system challenge? Why haven’t we seen a dramatic fall in autism incidence now far fewer children suffer infections like this?

TIMEFRAME It isn’t about the immune response, it is about what is happening in the bodies environment when that immune response occurs.

You still appear to completely miss my point that without vaccines children lurch from one infection to another. When I was young almost every child would get rotavirus, measles, mumps, rubella, chicken pox, pertussis, colds and flu, and many got worse infections.

You want to convince me that the enormous reduction in immune system stimulation today’s children have as compared with several decades ago has resulted in an increased effect on neurodevelopment because it is all focused in a smaller time frame.

I submit that whatever putative window of vulnerability you choose, an average child is exposed to far less immune activity in the current vaccine era than a few decades ago.

So you think that the immune response generated from alum salts isn’t qualitatively different than from infection? It does bear striking resemblance to how we evolved alongside entire bacteria.

If I fall over and graze my knee, getting soil into the wound, how is the immune response my body exhibits qualitatively different to its reaction to an aluminum-adjuvanted vaccine?

why is your vaccine-autism hypothesis more compelling than my broccoli-autism hypothesis?

Because infants aren’t eating broccoli.

Nonsense. Infants are often started on solid foods, such as pureed vegetables, at age 6 months or even before.

Because we have no evidence that eating broccoli results in stimulation of the innate immune response sufficient to create a fever.

Why is fever required to disrupt the immune system enough to cause autism in your hypothesis? It isn’t in my broccoli-autism hypothesis.

Because broccoli traverses the gut and vaccines do not.

Huh? There is very good evidence that 3,3′-diindolylmethane is absorbed from broccoli. There is ample evidence that it also affects the immune system, through “stimulation of the DNA damage response, including DNA repair, and activation of cell survival signaling through the transcription factor NF-κB” (see Wikipedia). Why couldn’t this prevent some microglial pruning at some crucial point? Why is this less plausible than vaccines doing something similar?

It is an example of vaccination resulting in different immune characteristics in ways *other than* generation of immunological memory.

That’s a stretch. Show me some normal neurodevelopment being persistently disrupted by a fever and I might be convinced, but even in mitochondrial disorders this is controversial. It even looks as if vaccine-induced encephalopathy is a myth.

Anyone who has seen a TV commercial (in the US) for a pharmaceutical knows that the list of ‘also’ effects is quite large; for whatever reason, people seem to have the idea that the *only* change to the immune system from vaccination is antibody creation.

Which people? No one who has had to spend a few years studying immunology and passing exams on the subject, I would wager. That’s why possible side-effects of vaccines are monitored so closely by the VSD etc..

It’s the one medical invention of all time that is *only* doing what we want. I find this supposition unlikely, possible, but not likely.

There is no such supposition! There are all sorts of unexpected consequences of vaccination, such as anaphylactic shock in some. One good example is the increase in congenital rubella syndrome in countries where MMR uptake was poor, as it just increased the average age at which young women contracted rubella into the child-bearing age range (the moral of the story is that vaccine uptake must be kept as high as possible). Despite this awareness, close surveillance and numerous studies, I see no evidence that neurodevelopmental delay is a consequence of vaccination.

Where’s your evidence that this is actually happening?

You are the one responsible for providing some data if we are to believe there is ‘considerable epidemiological evidence’.

Why do I have to provide evidence to contradict your unconventional hypothesis? I have agreed that it is theoretically possible, but I don’t see any evidence that it is actually happening. I would expect some of the epidemiological evidence to show a link between vaccines and autism, if there was a link, but there isn’t the faintest hint of a link. Look at the IoM paper on the subject, which looked at various vaccines (not just MMR), and autism, and found nothing to suggest a link.

I’m the one saying that said evidence is unable to discriminate time dependencies because it is based on the MMR.

Not just MMR. As the IoM concluded:

The committee did not identify literature reporting clinical, diagnostic, or experimental evidence of autism after the administration of vaccines containing diphtheria toxoid, tetanus toxoid, and acellular pertussis antigens alone or in combination.

We’re running out of vaccine culprits and windows of neurodevelopmental vulnerability here, I think. As far as I can see you have invented some very dubious excuses for the lack of any expected epidemiological evidence to support your hypothesis.

It is also historically the period when infants have been exposed to a much wider range of pathogens than today, though this range has been dramatically reduced by vaccination.

It has *not* been dramatically reduced by vaccination. First you want to tell me that children get 8 infections a year; that’s roughly the total number of diseases we vaccinate against in total.

I provided evidence that children get 5-8 infections either URTI, ear infections or GI infections, each year, that’s in the post-vaccine era. Children got those infections as well before vaccines.

So, unless you want to tell me that most infants got hep-b, polio, diptheria, pertussis, tetanus, the flu, and pcv by the time they were two months old, then your statement doesn’t even agree with what you have earlier in this thread.

Are you deliberately playing dumb? I am saying that the 5-8 infections that children get each year are likely to make them far sicker, and induce a far more or a fever than their scheduled vaccinations. In the era before vaccines that was even more likely to be true.

We vaccinate against *vey dangerous* pathogens,but considering the totality of pathogens out there, eight pathogens doesn’t seem like a large percentage.

I don’t see your point.

Vaccination has markedly reduced the amount of time children spend fighting off (or succumbing to) infections, as well as the severity of their immune responses in general.

[citation required]

Citation required for vaccinations having reduced the frequency and duration of illnesses children experience? Are you joking?

Also, please replace ‘children’ with ‘infants’. We start vaccinating at two months of age.

If you are going to correct someone’s use of technical terminology, particularly if it’s terminology that person has used professionally for decades, I suggest you try to get it right. As I explained above, ‘infants’ is a subgroup of ‘children’. All infants are children, some children are infants. We continue vaccinating children after they are infants.

More later.

i can understand the point made, that it i am guessing it can be used without refrigeration in 3rd world country’s
and disease is a very serious reality there

You guess wrong.

squirrelelite ya it paused my reply over there everything i guess here has to be put on hold for censoo ship checking

well im not gonna defend what i wrote on another topic in this topic
i would have edited it, if a science site actually had the incredibly new technology of a edit button …eh….

and considering the theory itself
whats not incoherent about the entire topic

@will – please quantify “massive amounts” of mercury….because I can’t see it.

Good grief. Is the incoherent Troll gone?

@ AC: No need to thank me. I’m a bit of a hard a$$er when it comes to kids and vaccines. I’ve experienced too much in my personal life and in my professional life to ever back down about kids’ health and safety.

Lilady: I also wanted to thank you for that article about the measles.
The recent news about California have been very depressing. We really should do something.

k im going to answer alot of the replys since we are approaching attack status here and i am annoyed
and now sucked back to this topic when i was about to leave

1) into the blood stream sorry i should have apologize for that earlier i had meant to
maybe it was indeed my fear of the thought of injecting a chemical with a highly toxic metal into my body sorry
2) one guy disses for “i hate the fact of saying it is 50 % mercury by weight”
but that is the way it is described by weight on quite a few of the sites ive read, what way would you prefer to describe it.
3) Narad says no that is wrong
yet that is what someone just implyed to me that was the reason to use thiormisil instead of just some other ok preserverate which also i looked up the definition and it doesn’t really match anti bacterial anti fungal fine thats wrong
4) when someone said they would eat a spoon dipped in thermosil yes i thought they were joking
oh wait they said they would put it in my mouth as in a cop out on the question
so i may have disregarded that persons comments

fair enough ?

3) Narad says no that is wrong
yet that is what someone just implyed to me that was the reason to use thiormisil instead of just some other ok preserverate which also i looked up the definition and it doesn’t really match anti bacterial anti fungal fine thats wrong

I don’t think you understood my reply.

4) when someone said they would eat a spoon dipped in thermosil yes i thought they were joking

Actually, you said “a little mercury on a spoon swirled it around let it slide off.” I, too, would take that deal in an instant, given that you were offering cash on the barrelhead.

oh wait they said they would put it in my mouth as in a cop out on the question
so i may have disregarded that persons comments

You want to put mercury into a spoon, pour it off, put the empty spoon in someone’s mouth, and have them swallow? No problem. Given that it’s your idea, you of course have to cover expenses in addition to escrowing the bounty.

and considering the theory itself
whats not incoherent about the entire topic

I see nothing incoherent in this topic. Thimerosal has been used safely for decades, even large doses of it IV have proven safe. Other mercury compounds like methylmercury are poisonous in large doses (Minimata*) but not in smaller doses (Faroes**) . Thimerosal is very safe indeed in the vanishingly minuscule doses present in some vaccines***. What’s incoherent about that?

* Cord blood about 216 micrograms per liter.
** Cord blood average about 32 micrograms per liter, maximum about 200 micrograms per liter.
*** Blood maximum about 7 micrograms per liter post vaccine.

Mr. Motill: “Tripedia
(Sanofi Pasteur, Inc.) Trace(≤0.3 µg Hg/0.5mL dose) 03/07/01
– which coincidentally IS under DTaP”

That was one brand of DTaP vaccine, what about the other two? Try reading the whole table again.

Again, read the question very carefully and take note of the words in bold: Which vaccine in the present American pediatric schedule is only available with thimerosal?

Try again.

Also, what is safer for a baby to get: the DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection? Provide scientific documentation to support your answer.

will,
Did you miss the part where I explained that people used to be given huge doses of thimerosal when it was used to preserve immunoglobulins and other blood products? Far larger amounts of these substances are used than vaccines, but with similar concentrations of thimerosal, leading to much higher doses. Why would we expect something that caused no harm when given in doses in excess of 1,800,000 micrograms intravenously to cause harm when injected at a dose of 50 micrograms intramuscularly?

BTW, the lethal dose of thimerosal is about 75 milligrams per kilogram of body weight, so perhaps 5 grams (5,000,000 micrograms) might kill an adult human. Why would a couple of milligrams left on a spoon frighten anyone? Like others I played with liquid mercury as a child. We had mercurochrome ointment in the medicine cupboard for cuts and grazes too. That contained 4% merbromin, with approximately 500 micrograms of mercury in every single drop, at least 1,000 micrograms in an average sized amount applied to an open wound, often more.

Krebiozen: “Did you miss the part where I explained that people used to be given huge doses of thimerosal when it was used to preserve immunoglobulins and other blood products?”

He is having trouble answering a simple question, even after being told that there was more than one DTaP vaccine.

So, yes, I would say he missed a great deal of what you said.

narad refer to post 225 and below
don’t refer to others flames

chris if you have something to say do you think you could just say it ? otherwise read 407 or ___ off.

i have only been talking to two people other then the trolls
Krebiozen and lawrence

Krebiozen
no that reply was not to you
412 was to 406

lawrence
im referring to a couple people putting fairly extreme examples to me of how much mercury the human body can take, which sort of also made it look like mercury poisoning wasn’t so bad
id have to scroll way up to find those posts there are quite a few thru out this entire topic

Mr. Motill, in Comment #407 you noted one of the three available DTaP vaccines. What about the other two? Go read the table carefully. I even told most of the DTaP vaccines are thimerosal free.

Try again, because your answer was wrong. Now I am giving you another chance. Answer these two simple questions:

Which vaccine in the present American pediatric schedule is only available with thimerosal?

What is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection? Support your answer with verifiable scientific documentation from reputable qualified researchers.

“i have only been talking to two people other then the trolls”

It doesn’t work that way here. This is a lightly moderated blog, and only Orac gets to decide who qualifies as a troll. I suggest you read more articles here and get familiar with its “culture.”

Now answer my questions.

narad refer to post 225 and below

Um, I quoted it, which, you know, presupposes this instruction. I take it that this was an utter waste of my time.

don’t refer to others flames

I haven’t the slightest idea what you’re attempting to refer to here.

will motill, I’m afraid that you do indeed appear to be a troll. Indeed you pose what look like questions, but you have no interest in the answers because you are convinced that you already know The Truth. 

I am curious about this behavior. Why do you come to a science blog and ask questions of the highly experienced and knowledgeable commenters*, with the intention of disregarding or disputing any answers?  What do you get out of this?  What causes you to come back?  It seems like a waste of time to me, but it’s your time to waste. 

* which does not include me. 

sorry ill address one person at a time
chris posts
248 chris i scratch head
264 i had just read it myself before i saw this post and converted it to ml on the metric system site converter
i was trying to put it into context of other things you might get mercury from and in what amounts
268 chris he got lost
373 chris i ignored on principal tone and bold a_h___ text
379 chris ignored again
381 i was looking into this, which was good enough for me
382 imply’s that in third world country’s lack of refrigeration
393 chris again and his freind’s ? to follow
407 to chris which he missed
i point out to him his b____t and go post his answer here
http://www.fda.gov/BiologicsBloodVaccines/SafetyAvailability/VaccineSafety/UCM096228
422 chris still dont get it you lost my respect a long time ago
if anyone want to know why they can read thru all that

nerad
382
411
418

ok you guys had me convinced by why if you guys understand this stuff can you not follow a simple topic conversation are you guys trying to peave me off into
just telling people ya its got stuff in it just out of spite or something or you guys seriously cannot scroll the ___ up

Krebiozen and lawrence thanks for your time im was pretty much sold about 383

i hope those idiots aren’t supposed to be respected people here cause they are more like children

anyone else like to say something stupid

Stupid is in the eyes of the beholder but I for one, did not see anything stupid, or vein, or presumptuous in the comment that LW made and I seriously doubt LW is an idiot.

Can you convince me that he is indeed, an idiot?

Alain

Mr. Motill, I know all about that link. I suggest you actually read with comprehension table, and tell me which vaccine on the present American pediatric schedule is only available with thimerosal.

These two rows is why you should not included DTaP;

Infanrix (GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals) Free Never contained more than a trace of thimerosal, approval date for thimerosal-free formulation 9/29/2000

Daptacel (Sanofi Pasteur, Ltd.) Free Never contained Thimerosal

Now try again to answer my question. Also tell us which is safer for a baby: getting a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection?

(also, someone who has no concept of English grammar has no place calling me out for one HTML blunder, especially since you have yet to use any)

Oh, Mr. Motill, should you choose to answer, you have 4 hours to answer. I don’t want you to feel out of breath answering questions here.

Alain

nerad
382
411
418

ok you guys had me convinced by why if you guys understand this stuff can you not follow a simple topic conversation are you guys trying to peave me off into
just telling people ya its got stuff in it just out of spite or something or you guys seriously cannot scroll the ___ up

Erm, Will, the point of my previous comment was that not only did I “scroll the ___ up,” I directly referred to the “___ up” in the first place.

Here’s a tip, man: It’s clear that you have some problems with composition. These might start to sort themselves out if you take the trouble to try to understand the replies that you have already received rather than simply having a public meltdown.

sure alain

“will motill, I’m afraid that you do indeed appear to be a troll.” ….ya ok join the crowd…. idiots are usually wrong

” Indeed you pose what look like questions,
…oooh do i wooo ?… do i … ask question that … look like questions too ?

but you have no interest in the answers because you are convinced that you already know The Truth

ya that you Presume to know my mind oh wait maybe your..> phycic right…

“I am curious about this behavior. Why do you come to a science blog and ask questions of the highly experienced and knowledgeable commenter s”
….
well maybe if he actually read the conversation entirely before you started making comments you would know
sound logical to you, ya me too
….

“*, with the intention of disregarding or disputing any answers? ”

wow he even knows my intentions
either hes wrong again or a really bad phycic
i dont disregard anything disputing actually i was have a discussion which was just about concluded

What do you get out of this?

i dont know i get to take your statements apart
guess thats gotta be worth nothing

What causes you to come back? It seems like a waste of time to me, but it’s your time to waste.

yep it is my time that is the only thing that you got correct

* which does not include me.

actually you included yourself
no one asked you in the first place

is that satisfactory Alain
actually i was really aggravated and i feel better

So Mr. Motill, what is better for a baby: to get a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection? Provide scientific documentation to support your answer.

Oh, and by the way, the answer to the other question is: None. All of the vaccines on the present American pediatric schedule have thimerosal free versions.

In fact, California has legislated that children and pregnant women get thimerosal free vaccines. That has not affected autism rates one bit, and it caused a severe shortage of a influenza vaccines when kids and pregnant women were dying from influenza a few years ago.

It is amazing the machinations anti-vax folks go through to avoid answering that simple question. What is funny is that Mr. Motill pointed to a webpage with the answer, yet did not understand the answer he gave was wrong, wrong, wrongety wrong.

sorry narad

but that was so far back
it had already been addressed to me
in post 264
that the levels were low i read all the links that they were posting
381 which was good enough for me and i felt pretty convinced that it was really low already
382 the next guy confused me a little though

your post at
392 i wanted to ask a bit about what the heck that really meant
(
but ill just say thanks for the input,
i think i had enough of this forum
)
but then at 393 i got jumped while reading up on that previous link

i do normally use spell check and edit but i wasn’t
now if anyone actually reads this
good for you

i was very skeptical about anything with mercury in it it
but finding your basic fish dinner probably has 2 to 4 x the amount of mercury makes it is sort of a mute point
and since they removed all the mercury based stuff out of the kids vaccines anyways then this also make it a mute point .

And let us not forget about diphtheria. We have all been watching the events in the Winter Olympics in Russia, plus the turmoil in the Ukraine. Also I just finished a book by Edward Frenkel, Love and Math: The Heart of Hidden Reality*, who does describe life in Russia in the 1980s. So these two papers are relevant:
Diphtheria in the former Soviet Union: reemergence of a pandemic disease.
Successful Control of Epidemic Diphtheria in the States of the Former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: Lessons Learned

So, Mr. Motill, how much more dangerous is the DTaP vaccine compared to a diphtheria infection? Which one would hurt a baby more?

* I was amazed how much I understood in that book. He did break it down to the bare minimum, but I could relate much of the applied math I used in engineering to the concepts he was explaining. And any book that pays homage to Euler’s Formula and Identity has my heart. 😉

then i have some u-235 to give you that is totally not dangerous in very small amounts just dont ask any questions about how much is safe

If you’re handled lead, that’s what handling U-235 is like. About as toxic as lead. It’s pretty boring stuff in sub-kilogram quantities.
Come to think of it, U-235 is a good example of a non-linear dose-response curve. Just because 15 kg gives you an explosion, this does not mean that 7.5 kg is going to result in half an explosion.

will, I’m having a difficult time reading your posts. Would you be so kind as to make sure your spelling and format are correct. Otherwise, a casual reader might simply dismiss your claims simply because you lack the ability to present them clearly.

Also, learn the basics of the subject you wish to comment on. For example, elemental mercury is an entirely different substance than thimerosal, and ethyl mercury is different than methyl mercury. This is basic chemistry, repeatedly ignoring it will only keep you further from the truth.

Also, please do not disregard our statements. We have told you repeatedly that every vaccine has a thimerosal-free alternative, and provided you evidence of that statement. Deceit of that sort cannot help you in any way.

chis
maybe i should sum you up but ill just say

i didn’t answer you because
i don’t like you

@Mr. Motill,

I went as far back as the first post of Mr. Krebiozen addressing passionlessDrone and I didn’t see anyone here making idiotic statements. Also, pointing at other and making character assassination (such as saying LW is an idiot) does not help your argument because all the other peoples which addressed you have been doing on the content of your post, not on your person or your characters displayed here. I recommend taking each of their post, reexamine them and address the substance of their post, not doing character assassination.

Alain

And I also recommend taking as much time as possible to answer their question fully. I asked for a delay in answering a question a few week ago and I fully took the delay needed to address the question which I half-answered.

Alain

Alain, I don’t recall that you answered the question. Could you link to the thread and the comment where you half-answered the question?

lol joke site
chris
pretend scientists copy paste master doesn’t read the links i.e. comment 407 major goof shows his ignorance
225 compare to my first statement admit i know little
he trys to act smart in actuality
he trys to hide the fact he is not

sorry narad

but that was so far back
it had already been addressed to me
in post 264

What? You instructed me to see an earlier comment, and now you’re bitching about my actually doing it?

Once again: Try figuring out what the replies to your half-baked comments actually say, and you might save yourself quite a bit of bother.

lol joke site

You’re not exactly doing yourself any favors, “Lightwave.” Howsabout you answer a simple question?

What, exactly, did you expect to happen when you chimed in?

lol you guys aren’t scientist your troll jokester’s
-make stuff up often-

character assassination now is it huh yar so dramatic

well guess what your my accomplice you told me to do it
Alain
“Can you convince me that he is indeed, an idiot?”
Alain
“Oh, Mr. Motill, should you choose to answer, you have 4 hours to answer. I don’t want you to feel out of breath answering questions here”

really you should re-qote what i said about him hind-sight is 20 20 and i think the analysis was spot on

hello narad

well lets see how about not trolled to death by about 5 or 6 guys at once at about were was it 393

and let me add constantly having my words twisted out of context like a childish gang of kids gone into a pack frenzy

how about some level intelligence to actually look to see if a person is actually trolling or he is just questioning and gathering information

how do you expect to convince anyone with this sort of behavior really i can see why it is so difficult but i cannot sympothize with this attitude around here

Alain: That comment linked to Michele Dawson’s opinion about ABA Therapy, which she claims is abusive and a violation of the Declaration of Helsinki.

Orac and I both asked you about your opinion of the Declaration of Helsinki as it applies to ABA Therapy, not your friend Michele’s opinion. Might I remind you that you initiated this dialogue about ABA and then made this statement on that thread?

“I’d like to bring out a point regarding ABA. Michelle Dawson (PhD…) carefully reviewed every publications and clinical trials of ABA for autistic. None of them was found out to be complying with the human research subject guideline of the declaration of Helsinki. None.

As long as the goals of such therapy are to render the autist indistinguishable from its peers (and lilady, I’ve seen you mention this in the past), such therapy won’t ever be compliant with the human research subject guideline of the declaration of Helsinki. And I’m not okay with it; autistics deserve better. Unfortunately, it is because of these lousy standard dating from the 60′s and 70′s that autistics have a bad reputation in research. Their right are being denied and I’ve been part of a research group who, for all of their failing, only do research according to the standard held by the declaration of Helsinki. Fully ethical research. And it should be a given.

Unfortunately, an ethical replacement of ABA is still in the work; and it couldn’t happen soon enough.”

Dawson is wrong Alain…and you are wrong to use Dawson’s opinion as your own.

Now tell us when you are going to provide your legal opinion about the Declaration of Helsinki as it applies to ABA Therapy.

actually narad
forget it
i dont even know what that was about in the first place

only reason i poped on here is cause i had heard about this so called conspiracy theory or whatever and wanted to know how to deny it or if any part of it was true and i did believe it was bad stuff
but
damn if you treat everyone like this you are gonna have tons of enemys and no one who believes this those that i was talking with excluded

Will, you were basically treated with kid gloves at the outset. You apparently did not so much as attempt to comprehend the responses.

You have now, I’m confident, exhausted your default reserve of charity. If you cannot or will not read, you are in no position to complain about “this attitude around here.”

I have to say that I thought people prematurely jumped to the conclusion that Will’s questions were in bad faith. Anybody who tries to research vaccine safety on the internet would come away with a bunch of strange ideas.

But whose fault is that? I got the impression Will is quite young and simply got misinformed along the way.

Will:

constantly having my words twisted out of context like a childish gang of kids gone into a pack frenzy

We have had no need to do anything Will – you done it all on your ownsome.

Orac and I both asked you about your opinion of the Declaration of Helsinki as it applies to ABA Therapy, not your friend Michele’s opinion

Orac asked for the original statement:

Will Alain explain or link to Michelle Dawson’s argument, in order to educate my readers?

As referenced by the aforementioned direct quote of Orac.

Now tell us when you are going to provide your legal opinion about the Declaration of Helsinki as it applies to ABA Therapy.

Whenever I have 2 days free which I don’t now as you can notice from my really infrequent posting and will definitely not have next month because I spend the month in Montreal driving up my business plan.

In other words, don’t expect it so soon.

Alain

Re Passionless drone
I for one have long ceased engagement with him.
His fixation for hunting down obscure articles that he imagines corroborate his view of what causes autism became too repetitive and intellectually unstimulating for me to bother trying to respond.
D-K rules!

Continuing my response to pD,

<blockquote<

Is this really surprising?

I think it was surprizing that the same effect could ablated by tnf-alpha antibodies, or that direct injection of tnf-alpha could create the same imbalances. The issue is that it points for the ability of an immune challenge *in early life* to persistently modify how the brain works *for forever*.
Is it really accurate to describe being injected intraperitoneally with LPS from E. coli, serotype O26:B6 at a dose of 25, 100, or 250 μg/kg as an immune challenge? According to this online Microbiology textbook:

The injection of living or killed Gram-negative cells or purified LPS into experimental animals causes a wide spectrum of nonspecific pathophysiological reactions, such as fever, changes in white blood cell counts, disseminated intravascular coagulation, hypotension, shock and death. Injection of fairly small doses of endotoxin results in death in most mammals. The sequence of events follows a regular pattern: (1) latent period; (2) physiological distress (diarrhea, prostration, shock); (3) death. How soon death occurs varies on the dose of the endotoxin, route of administration, and species of animal. Animals vary in their susceptibility to endotoxin.

That dose in a 5 kg child (infant, if you insist) would be up to 1.25 milligrams (1,250 micrograms) of LPS. How does that compare to the 23.4 micrograms of inactivated pertussis toxoids in a Tripedia DTaP shot?

So, is a small dose of LPS really analogous to a child being vaccinated? I don’t think so, but even if so, it is a very large leap from this to the idea that something similar causes autism.

Here is a more recent study I ran into that utilized a real infection model that you might find of interest.

You still appear to be trying to convince me that there are possible mechanisms for something I have no reason to believe actually occurs, but anyway…

Respiratory viral infection in neonatal piglets causes marked microglia activation in the hippocampus and deficits in spatial learning […]
Of course, this could be seen as an indication to vaccinate against RSV. What a lot of our Poly:IC/LPS studies tell us, however, is that the triggering mechanism is not as important as whether or not the innate immune system got triggered or not.

Again you appear to be trying to convince me that vaccination can cause immune activation sufficient to interfere with normal neurodevelopment, but this time by showing me evidence that a severe infection can do this. These 7-day-old pigs were infected with a disease that attacks the immune system, destroying macrophages in the lungs, causing respiratory distress and increased susceptibility to respiratory infections, that lasts for months or longer. They suffered fever, anorexia and weight loss. Are you seriously comparing this to the effects of scheduled vaccines that are barely distinguishable from placebo in large safety studies?

I do not disagree. I am not arguing that vaccines don’t work. I am arguing that our understanding of the interconnected ties of the immune system and CNS is insufficient to know that we aren’t having unintended effects with our vaccination program.

If you look at our understanding of immunology alone, perhaps this is true. However, this isn’t the only evidence available to us, is it? We can look at the various studies that have been done, and the epidemiological evidence. I’m convinced by this that MMR, thimerosal and DTaP have no effect on autism. I see no reason to believe that other vaccines do.

If your hypothesis were correct, I would expect to see signs of this in the data, and I don’t. If there was an elephant in my backyard last night, I would expect to see footprints, feces, half-eaten buns etc.. If I don’t see this evidence I feel safe in assuming that there was no elephant in my backyard. I don’t need to see CCTV footage of an empty backyard to convince me.

OK. But then the problem with your ‘considerable evidence’ mantra becomes clear. There is no considerable evidence, just people saying that until they are actually asked to provide said evidence.

No considerable evidence? Have you looked at the IoM report on vaccines? The individual pieces of evidence may not be of the highest quality, but when taken together they make a very compelling case. Add what we know from genetics and immunology about the causes of autism and it is clear to me this is a red herring.

I do understand where you are coming from.

Wow!

Is the sarcasm really necessary? Your argument isn’t difficult to understand, it just has close to zero evidence to support it .

You might also be interested in this study, which found a dose relationship between maternal CRP levels and autism diagnosis. […]

CRP is a non-specific inflammatory marker, and you see elevated levels for a very wide variety of reasons – maternal CRP normally increases during pregnancy. We know that infection and exposure to some drugs during pregnancy can increase risk of autism, and that there may be an association between inflammation and autism, so this isn’t in any way surprising. I’m not seeing this as even vaguely supporting the notion that post-natal vaccination causes autism.

It would seem that a moderate, but consistent increase in inflammation *could also be* a risk factor.

If you have enough “maybe”s and “could be”s you can make a case for almost anything, like broccoli causing autism. Picking a possible scenario, wedding yourself to it, then hunting for evidence to support it while ignoring or explaining away anything that doesn’t fit is a very popular route to self-deception.

I suggest you take a step back, reconsider what you actually know as opposed to what you think you know, look at what evidence might contradict your ideas, look at other explanations, look at what would also have to be true if you are right. Try to disprove your own hypotheses. Truth is what is left after you put your beliefs through the wringer like this (to paraphrase someone famous – Sagan perhaps?).

Back to inflammation – just because A is associated with B doesn’t make A a risk factor for B. B might be a risk factor for A, or there may be a factor C that independently causes both A and B. It’s an even further leap of faith to claiming that if D causes A, D must also cause B (another syllogism based on dodgy premises – inflammation is associated with autism, vaccines can cause inflammation, therefore vaccines cause autism).

And again, we can see that acute insults are not the only possible agents of change.

You don’t even know what the ‘insult’, if any, is in this case. We see elevated maternal CRP, which is evidence of inflammation in the mother. We also see this in Down’s Syndrome pregnancies, and know that Down’s Syndrome is associated with elevated levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines, interkeukin and TNF. Where’s the ‘insult’ in Down’s? All the inflammation arises from a genetic abnormality (an extra chromosome 21 to be precise).

What evidence is better explained by your hypothesis than my hypothesis that there is no connection whatsoever between vaccines and autism apart from, perhaps, a modest preventive effect?

As I have stated, there is very little evidence looking at this one way or the other excluding the MMR and thimerosal. My concern is not available evidence, but rather, ramifications of being wrong. Even if the likelyhood is small, the magnitude of the change is very, very large.

Isn’t that the logic of the lottery ticket buyer? The 13 million to one chance is worth playing because you might win a million? Why isn’t my broccoli hypothesis (or Fred’s cell phone hypothesis, or Jane’s androgens in the water hypothesis, or Fatima’s yoga mat toxicity hypothesis) equally worthy of attention? If any of these were true, the consequences would be serious. That’s why we narrow down what to spend time and money investigating through the medium of evidence and logic.

Anyway, if the magnitude of the unexpected and unintended effects of vaccines on neurodevelopment was really very, very large, we would be able to see its footprints in the data.

I have often seen this or a similar argument in the anti-vaccine world, from Greg not long ago. We are told the negative effects of vaccines are hugely damaging, but at the same time they are so tiny, or occur in such subtle ways, that scientific studies that have been specifically designed to detect them are unable to do so.

These effects don’t appear in the epidemiology either, for reasons I don’t understand. Devastating effects on people, unless they are in a clinical trial or being measured by an epidemiologist?

I’m reminded of David Carradine walking across rice paper without making a mark.

Listen, I felt you were genuinely curious as to whether or not there was evidence that *some cases* of autism were immune mediated.

I still don’t think you have made that case. I think it is becoming clear that our immune system has an important role in ontogeny, especially in neurodevelopment. This doesn’t mean that autism is “immune mediated”, it means that neurodevelopment is. Anything that disrupts our development at a vulnerable moment may have long-lasting consequences, of course. That’s one reason I think vaccination is so important, as we know that infections early in life can have devastating consequences.

I would still recommend you take a look at the microglia data; those agents are actively shaping the neural network and respond to signals from the periphery.

This is all very interesting, I agree, but I still fail to see why you have focused on vaccines out of the thousands of other things from and beyond the periphery that might affect neurodevelopment.

Jeff1971: “But whose fault is that? I got the impression Will is quite young and simply got misinformed along the way.”

I can usually gauge if someone wants to honestly engage in a discussion on vaccines and autism by if they can answer my question. If they, like Mr. Motill, try very very hard to avoid saying that all of the vaccines on the American pediatric schedule have thimerosal free versions, I know they want to ignore facts and evidence. Plus they are unwilling to learn.

Mr. Motill was proof that he did not care about the evidence, nor about learning. Especially with a reply like:

i didn’t answer you because
i don’t like you

More than likely he is someone who is very young and has a learning disability. But then there is this quote of his:

perfect place to troll just sayin….
eh cant resist

thiomersal is 50% mercury by weight”

Describing thimerosal as “50% mercury by weight” makes it sound like the molecule contains scary amounts of mercury, but chemical and biological reactions don’t occur as a function of the atomic weight of an element. If you really need to express the amount of mercury in thimerosal as a percentage, at least do so with respect to the total number of all atoms in the molecule–it’s almost meaningful that way.

The chemical formula for Thimerosal is C9H9HgNaO2S: 9 carbons, 9 hydrogens, 1 each mercury, sodium and sulphur, 2 oxygens. As mercury is one of 24 total atoms in the molecule, thimerosal is 4.167% (not 50%) mercury.

I know, I know–”But 4% won’t scare anyone!”

mercury affects the brain as a neurotoxin , which IS the most dangerous thing about it but it is fairly dangerous to a few other organs as well

It’s important to recall the fundamental principle of toxicology: The dose makes the poison. While at sufficiently high exposures mercury can be toxic the amount of mercury one would be exposed to as the result of being immunized with a vaccine incorporating thimerosal as a preservative is below the threshold at which toxic effects occur.

mercury is a very heavy metal

Also a planet. And my dad drove one back in the day.

A vaccine containing 0.01% thimerosal as a preservative contains 50 micrograms of thimerosal per 0.5 mL dose or approximately 25 micrograms of mercury per 0.5 mL dose.

In what form? Thimerosal doesn’t break down to generate 25 micrograms of inorganic mercury. Following injection it instead rapidly dissociates to form ethyl mercury which is rapidly eliminated from the body, primarily by fecal excretion. In infants following vaccination ethyl mercury has a half-life of less than 4 days and blood mercury levels return to pre-vaccination levels by 30 days after vaccination. (see Mercury Levels in Newborns and Infants After Receipt of Thimerosal-Containing Vaccines, Pichichero et al, Pediatrics Vol. 121 No. 2 February 1, 2008 pp. e208 -e214).

The toxicity of methylmercury was first recognized during the late 1950s and early 1960s when industrial discharge of mercury into Minimata Bay, Japan led to the widespread consumption of mercury-contaminated fish (Harada 1995).

But thimerosal doesn’t metabolize to produce methyl mercury—it produces ethyl mercury which is far, far less toxic.

one guy disses for “i hate the fact of saying it is 50 % mercury by weight” but that is the way it is described by weight on quite a few of the sites ive read, what way would you prefer to describe it.

And why is it described that way, when the percentage by weight has no biochemical relevance? To make the fact the molecule contains a single mercury atom sound as scary as possible and for no other reason.

Too bad Will is no longer here; it’s not mute point, it’s ‘moot point.’ Just sayin’.

I concluded will motil was merely trolling when he emitted this:

No i wasn’t trolling pretty much just kept going because when people make claims like oh you can inject massive amounts of mercury and be ok
after i just posted fda instances of results of mercury poisoning kinda makes you have to second guess the so called non quacks ???

Only a troll would claim that “people make claims like oh you can inject massive amounts of mercury and be ok” after numerous people have explained slowly and carefully, on several different ways and in great detail, that when vaccines do contain thimerosal, the amounts are tiny, are composed of a compound which is far less toxic than those in the examples he cited, and are demonstrably safe. 

Me too, dingo199 and Denice Walter.

But, I have to admire Krebiozen for fighting the good fight.

I had a brief thought about reconstructing the semi-conversations will referred to in 427 & 428 and contrasting his responses with those of a hypothetical Curious Reader (CR) who is scientifically somewhat literate but generally uninformed about the whole anti-vaccine controversy.

i.e.
will 225

i have looked into it a little and learned there is in fact mercury in these shots, which i find a bit disturbing

chris 248

Do tell. So when you looked into it a “little” what vaccine on the American pediatric schedule only comes with thimerosal. Be specific and provide link.

will 364 (3 days later)

my point is your concerned for disease so you immunize
if you concerned for edge case’s of neurological damage from mercury remove the mercury seems pretty simple to me

problem solved , so what am i missing ?

CR

Oh wow! So all the main vaccines given to children never had thimerosol in them or now have it taken out and even the few that still have it are generally available without it.
And, that change in the vaccines has had no effect on the incidence of autism? It seems like it should be a complete non-issue by now!

chris 373

Mr. Motill,

Which vaccine on the American pediatric schedule is only available thimerosal? Do not include influenza since half approved for children are thimersal free. Do not mention DTaP, since most are thimerosal free.

will 375

sorry to play devil’s advocate
but i cant conscientiously get past mercury as a sound means of a quote “preservative”
…
“for low- and middle-income countries”

CR

I already replied to the first part. It’s great that it’s available in low income countries like Zambia where my aunt worked as a nurse riding her motorcycle through the bush to isolated villages to treat the people living there. It would have been very hard for her to carry a working refrigerator on the back of her motorcycle and keep it powered and working for several days.

chris 373 (cont.)

Also do you understand that elemental mercury, methylmercury and ethylmercury are all completely different things?

will 375

looking into the above however didn’t make me feel better as they are not so very different either , one is a ch3 group the other is a ch3 group + ch2… group

CR

Oh! So, they’re really different chemicals that just have one atom in common. And they have different chemical characteristics like how toxic they are, how they are broken down or transferred inside the body, and how long it takes the body to get rid of them.
That completely makes sense in chemistry.
Comparing the two is like comparing apples and almonds.

chris 373(cont.)

And what is safer for a baby, getting a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection?

ASIDE I didn’t see where will ever really addressed this question, but I think these comments give the gist of his response.

will 379

sorry chris
i can only look stuff up so fast if you would post the answer that would be good

ill stop being a pest

will 401

maybe you assume to much , or maybe you can post the answer to your own question so it doesn’t take 3 posts back and forth for us to get to Your Point in your aggressive condition form

CR

Diptheria is a really nasty disease. My mother treated one case way back when she had just graduated from nursing school and was glad she never had to treat another case again. A sore arm or a mild fever seems much safer than risking diphtheria!
Tetanus is another bad disease. And you risk that every time you play barefoot in the yard and cut your feet or scrape your elbow! I would really want to protect against that.
Pertussis kills babies before they can get the shot. It’s too bad the vaccine isn’t quite as effective as we’d like and the protection doesn’t last longer.
I’m glad I got my TDaP booster a couple years ago. I certainly wouldn’t want to pass it on to one of my cute little nieces when I go to visit them!

Anyway, I’d better get back to some serious work.
TTFN

@ Alain: Why don’t you just admit that you haven’t yourself investigated ABA, are incapable of evaluating a young child’s intelligence level using the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, confuse Self Injurious Behaviors with Self-Stimming Behaviors (such as hands flapping), and just parrot the wrong information Michelle Dawson wrote in her “The Misbehaviors of the Behaviorists”?

You cherry picked a section of the Misbehaviors of the Behaviorists and stated that children who were untestable using the Wechsler Test were testable using the Ravens Scale. The Bayley Scale is the appropriate test for infants and toddlers, not the WISC and not the WPPSI…and certainly not the Ravens Scales. A large proportion of Dawson’s supposed “untestable” population were at the 50 percentile (ie. normal intelligence) according to the IQ distribution in the general population.

http://www.iupui.edu/~flip/wechsler.html

Dawson’s paper was not a legal opinion about the Declaration of Helsinki as applies to ABA, and no matter how much you want it to be, it does not change that fact.

My assumption is that will motill is not a native English speaker, so believe in charity in his many errors in grammar, spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and odd word choices.

After a lifetime spent (mostly) in public service, Mr. O’Brien, I would disagree with you. Respectfully.

M’O’B: I’ve known a few non-native English speakers, and my general experience is that they are very, very careful when writing. I’d expect to see some problems with homophones, but most of them have grammer skills far superior to Mr. Motill’s.
Also, I’ve yet to meet a ‘Will’ who doesn’t speak English. Yes, ‘Wilhelm’ is used as a Dutch/German/Swiss name, but I don’t believe the nickname is used in those areas.

Continuing my response to pD

You’re wasting your time. You are debating with a guy who has degrees in immunology, neurobiology, gastroenterology, genetics, metabolism, epigenetics, and other areas.
http://passionlessdrone.wordpress.com/about/

If you think you can go up against someone with that kind of education in a battle of wits, and win in the end, you are sadly mistaken.

/scarcasm

Johnny: “guy who has degrees”

From the University of Google. Which must teach that the immune response from a vaccine is always greater than the disease! So one DTaP injection stimulates more than three ear infections where the kid screams with pain, or two strep infections. I think that is the exchange rate.

/sarcasm (though I like “scarcasm”, because thinking about ear infections I took my oldest in when he complained of lots of pain, and there was a blister on the ear drum!)

My assumption is that will motill is not a native English speaker, so believe in charity in his many errors in grammar, spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and odd word choices.

Most nonnative speakers are at least able to keep their surnames straight.

@Mephistopholes O’Brien:

My assumption is that will motill is not a native English speaker, so believe in charity in his many errors in grammar, spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and odd word choices.

Sorry, but no. When he started throwing around insults and attacking the commenters he lost all rights to sympathy.

Julian Frost – I was charitable about his word choices; insults are another thing.

Shay – I’ve also known many people who are native English speakers but believe that the rules of grammar, spelling, punctuation, etc, are for others. So maybe my consideration is misguided. I work with a number of people who’s written English is quite poor, but who I’m sure write beautiful Hindi or Cantonese or French (much better than mine). Thus if someone, for example, refers to a company that buys from us as our “costumers” I merely chuckle; if they call me by my last name instead of first I forgive that; if they write nearly incomprehensible gibberish I try to parse it out, re-write it, and try to respond to what I think they mean.

But, I’ve been wrong before, I may be wrong now.

Incitatus: darned perverted homophones coming over here stealing our words.

I believe you won the thread for today.

The Troll “will” came here during the wee hours of this morning with very set opinions about the dangers of “methyl mercury” contained in vaccines and with that old trope about vaccines being injected into the bloodstream.

Spectator1458 and I were the first poster to respond to his two comments and to provide information about Thimerosal which is an organomerccury ethyl mercury compound and to explain that no vaccines are “injected into the bloodstream”.

After those early comments, he went off the rails…indicating he is an ignorant troll.

Re: pD and his tandem poster “skeptiquette”…I just ignore them.

Motill:

No i wasn’t trolling pretty much just kept going because when people make claims like oh you can inject massive amounts of mercury and be ok

LW @471:
Only a troll would claim that “people make claims like oh you can inject massive amounts of mercury and be ok”

I imagine that Motill was inspired by MI Dawn’s recollection (@271) “that a woman tried to kill herself with it. She broke some thermometers and injected the mercury into her arm. Not only did she NOT die, she wasn’t even very ill.”

So I turned to the University of Google, and as of 2004,

72 cases have been reported in the literature over the past 75 years. Of these 72 cases 46 were deliberate; most involved direct intravenous administration, usually with suicidal intent (Kayias 2003), or they were a complication of drug abuse. Bradberry et al. (1996) reported an attempted homicide by this means. Self-injection has also been reported in psychiatric patients (Soo et al. 2003), and accidental injections have been reported (Ellabban et al. 2003). Subcutaneous injection of mercury by accident (including injuries from broken thermometers), self-injection, and suicide attempts has been reported (Chodorowski et al. 1997; Ellabban et al. 2003; Smith et al. 1997; Soo et al. 2003).

No reports of death. Sometimes chelation therapy. Sometimes surgery to remove mercury causing local tissue damage.

Motill: 0. Reality: 1.

@ Chris:

re a “guy who has degrees”

Very, very seriously: I think that I am rather good at spotting those who mime degrees : and why is this?
– I listen to and read various poseurs on a near-daily basis and certain things stick out- like the obvious *effort* made to appear educated and/ or expert in a particular area- they pepper their speech/ writing with catch words and phrases to serve as calling cards, so to speak, to set themselves apart from their “lay” audience. Heh.
– I advise youngsters and adults who are trying to get real degrees
– I have degrees and have studied both arts and sciences- both natural ( primarily, life) and social .

I think I write as if I really have done so and that it ‘comes across’.
It appears to me that U of Google alumni/ae display an entirely different cast to their writing. It shows.It sure does.

Okay, obviously, I did not manage to finish part 2 of my comment, where I explained my statement

I do not think it makes sense that “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.”

as soon as I had hoped to, for various reasons. (Not least of those reasons were pD’s rude interruptions, which I will now be ignoring.) Another reason is that, frankly, it can be quite hard to work out “hmmm, this thing is so obvious to me … how can it not be obvious to someone else? What part actually needs to be explained?”

Let’s start by examining an unspoken assumption. It’s an assumption that would probably be invoked to support the conclusion “all things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism”: the assumption that “investigating harder” – searching down more avenues, asking more questions about anything that stirs a speculation – “will definitely make the information we get from investigating better.”

But this assumption is false. To understand why, we’ll examine what’s called the screening paradox.

Suppose there is a particular syndrome, called Crockett Syndrome, which affects 1% of Americans. There is a test for Crockett Syndrome, called the Tubbs Test; it is reasonably accurate, which means that 99% of people who have Crockett Syndrome will be correctly diagnosed, and only 1% will get a false negative, and 99% who do not have Crockett will be correctly told they are clear, with only 1% getting a false positive.

So what happens if we say “hey, since we have this test, why don’t we screen everyone in America for Crockett Syndrome?”?

If we screen one hundred million Americans (100,000,000) with the Tubbs test:

Out of the 1,000,000 who have Crockett, 990,000 will be correctly diagnosed.

Out of the 1,000,000 who have Crockett, 10,000 will receive false negatives.

Out of the 99,000,000 who do not have Crockett, 98,010,000 will be correctly cleared.

Out of the 99,000,000 who do not have Crockett, 990,000 will receive false positives.

Now if you’re like me the first time I encountered this paradox, those figures are startling. Out of 1,980,000 diagnoses made of Crockett Syndrome, half are wrong. How could that happen with the Tubbs Test that only has a 1% false diagnosis rate? The answer is, we made it happen, by ‘investigating too hard’ – by screening everyone, and not just the high-risk populations. We looked harder, but as a result the information we got was worse and not better.

So now that we’ve disproven that assumption, let’s switch to a different analogy to show why investigating autism harder may not result in our information being better.

We’re going to look at a small Western town which has decided to “improve” its law enforcement with the newest crime-solving technology: SheriffBot 3000. SheriffBot 3000 uses absolutely classic principles of law enforcement to approach its task, such as looking for “means, motive and opportunity” to identify murder suspects. Everyone’s expecting great things from SheriffBot 3000, or SB3K as it’s soon dubbed.

One of the first decisions SB3K makes is to arrest Abner Jenkins for the murder of his great-aunt Lavinia. Abner is a big, muscley guy, and he could easily have throttled poor Lavinia; it’s known that he’s her sole living relative and will inherit her fortune when she passes; finally, since the two of them live in the same house, he could have attacked Lavinia at any time, waiting until he caught her unawares.

Well, some people are actually convinced by SB3K’s reasoning – at least until Lavinia Jenkins shows up madder than a snake on an anthill and threatens to kick SB3K a new drive bay if he doesn’t stop harrassing her nephew and trying to arrest him for the murder of someone who ain’t dead.

SB3K goes back in the shop, where they manage to add to his logic units the very important principle: “If a person is alive, that means no one is guilty of murdering that person.”

But right after coming out of the shop, SB3K targets yet another person on a charge of murder. This time, Farley Finns is accused of murdering Chester Wingarde, the president of the bank that holds the mortgage on his livery stable. Finns could have choked Wingarde with a spare set of reins; his stable has plenty of those. Finns was known to be unhappy with how long his mortgage was taking to pay off. And Finns even admitted that Wingarde had come to see him Saturday night – and now it’s Sunday noon, and no one has seen Wingarde yet…

… until two PM, when Wingarde returns from the morning ride out he took to see his sister the next town over, and is flabbergasted to learn Finns is being held for his murder. SB3K still stands by its programming: if it is not proven that a person is alive, it is not proven that a suspect identified by means, motive and opportunity is innocent of that person’s murder.

What Jenkins and Finns went through, though, is mild compared to what Homer Dorsey faces. Dorsey’s the owner of the Grand Hotel, which, despite its name, is a small hotel that caters to … perhaps not the most upwardly-mobile clients, shall we say? Which means that it’s not unusual for one of Dorsey’s guests to skip out of town in the middle of the night, leaving an unpaid bill behind them. And each and every time this happens, SheriffBot sends deputies to arrest Dorsey – because until the missing person is found (which they don’t want to be) SB3K calculates “means; motive; opportunity; yes, until it’s proven there was no murder, Dorsey is our prime suspect.”

It may seem like I’ve spent too much time on the absurd tale of SheriffBot 3000, which points the finger at people and calls them murder suspects when there’s no evidence such a murder even occurred, but I had a point to make: just as absurd and illogical as what SB3K is doing, is pointing to vaccines and saying “there’s a suspect likely to have caused children to develop autism, children who would not otherwise have developed that disorder!”

Anyone who protests and says “Oh, no, that’s not the case at all, those two things are completely different” is going to have to spell that argument out: how are they different? They are both examples of people trying to fix the blame for something happening, when there’s no evidence that that thing even happened!

Let me be very clear about this: am I saying “there’s no evidence that any child has ever become autistic”? No, I am not saying anything so asinine. It’s very clear that children do become autistic. It was also very clear that Dorsey’s hotel guests were disappearing. But just as “this hotel guest disappeared” is not sufficient grounds to assume “this hotel guest was murdered”, the fact that children become autistic is not evidence that any children who would otherwise not have become autistic, became autistic due to some environmental factor such as vaccines.

When you first hear it, the premise “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism” sounds pretty reasonable. But it isn’t.

Now if the evidence that we have from epidemiological studies was exactly the opposite of what it is in the real world, the situation would be different. When epidemiological studies are done to ask the question “Do children who get more vaccines get autism at higher rates?” the answer keeps coming back “no.” If the answer was “yes,” then asking “is the reason for the correlation that vaccines cause autism?” would make sense. “All things which are correlated with an increased risk of autism should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism” – that’s not too unreasonable a proposition, as long as we add common-sense clauses like “with the investigation stopping at some point if it fails to turn up any evidence in support of the hypothesis.” But to keep investigating things which are not correlated with autism as possible causes of autism makes no sense!

One last point. Lots of people were sure that vaccines cause autism, and insisted that the epidemiological data would support that view – that it would show a big correlation between vaccination and autism. When it didn’t, rather than rethink their assumption that vaccines cause autism, they just modified their views on how much autism. They started introducing theories about how vaccines did cause autism, but only in children with (unspecified) rare genetic vulnerabilities. “Every epidemiological study,” they said, “has a threshold of what it can detect. Isn’t it possible that vaccines are causing autism, but just in such a small handful of children that the studies don’t detect it?”

Those people are following the same trajectory as SheriffBot 3000. SB3K made so many false accusations of murder because it asked questions in the wrong order: “does this person seem like one who’d commit murder?” before “has there even been a murder?” That approach, like an overzealous screening regimen, is practically a recipe for generating false positives by the boatload. And SheriffBot never corrected that immensely error-prone approach; all it did was modify its false guesses so that their falseness wasn’t as blatantly obvious.

So that is why I do not agree with the premise that “All things that have an effect on the infant immune system during crucial periods of brain development are things that should be thoroughly investigated as a possible cause of autism.”

* Obviously testing all of America at no expense is not the case in the real world, but since the expense of an investigation is not relevant to the point I’m making about accuracy, let’s skip it for now.

There is a test for Crockett Syndrome, called the Tubbs Test; it is reasonably accurate

One might suppose that the striped tails at the back of the head would be a dead giveaway. Or the loafers without socks, whatever.

Antaeus Feldspar, you are in fine form. Bravo! Bravo!

An aside: I never really watched “Miami Vice” much. But I did catch part of an episode while visiting hubby’s grandparents in the Netherlands. It was in English with Dutch subtitles. Mostly I remember when the character said something about a “brat”, the Dutch subtitles had something that clearly meant “snot nose.”

We’re going to look at a small Western town which has decided to “improve” its law enforcement with the newest crime-solving technology: SheriffBot 3000.

This made me think of the movie Elysium. And that is not a spoiler because the artificial intelligence bits are early in the movie.

Though more on topic: What I have noticed is when non-scientists (especially if they are engineers) try to do “autism/vaccine science” is that they start with an outcome, and then look for the evidence to support that outcome.

Which is perfectly fine if you are trying to create a widget to perform a certain task. If the task it to make a widget to confugle a jugnaut, then you work backwards from there to find the pathway so the jugnaut is confugled.

But that does not work in biological science when you are trying to find what causes a certain set of behaviors. You simply cannot start from a conclusion, and try to find the data to support that conclusion.

Especially when there is not real evidence to support the conclusion. Like the multiple epidemiological studies showing no real connection between autism and vaccines. And as a parent who has seen what happens when a kid gets seizures from an actual disease before the vaccine was available, that is an important point.

I noticed this recently in a discussion with an engineer. By the way, I have a degree in engineering, but my job description before I gave birth to a child who was much too medically interesting, was to do analyses of structural behavior. I had nothing to do with the final outcome, other than to tell someone that there was going to be a structural failure. Then they had to do the modifications using other design constraints (volume, cost, etc).

Chris – I had so many ear infections as a kid I was starting to lose my hearing. Tubes fixed that. When I heard the pneumococcal vaccine could prevent ear infections I wished I’d had it as a kid.

Oh, and although no one cares, I was an English major, bio minor. The bio majors, even the pre-med ones, didn’t seem to be any better at critical thinking than the English ones. I shudder to think what this says about science education.

I tried to read all of the posts of will whatever, and it just made my head hurt and my eyes burn. Jesus wept, what a fucktard.

Sorry to say that I’ve been “banned” by Mother Jones. My fault entirely for popping off to some asswipe. Lilady, Dorit, Mike, and squirrel, you are incredibly patient and articulate. I’m just not up to the task.

DW @ 487:
those who mime degrees
I do not want to think about what a mime degree might involve.

herr doktor bimler, #492, February 25, 2014:

I do not want to think about what a mime degree might involve.

A mime degree is obviously one that can be transferred by email, using the Multipurpose Internet Mail Extensions protocols. I haven’t seen a MIME type covering degrees, however.

@herr doktor bimler. There’s only one lesson to a mime degree.

Learn the words

Good morning, drug pushers,

First, I would like to start off by asking the simple question of why the hell is mercury still in vaccines? Wouldn’t it be best for vaccine zealots to simply shut the ‘quacks’ up by removing it, and even if it can be shown to be ‘harmless’?

Your ‘friend’, Greg

Thank you, Pd at #329 and #399 , pointing out the scientific arguments that support my claim that autism appears to be an immune condition, and vaccines are the likely culprits. As I stated on numerous occasions, occam razor logic shows us that truth is usually beautiful and simple. This applies in the autism-vaccine debate, and where average-Joe can rest assured that he is capable of grasping the simple, basic arguments that supports the contention that vaccines do cause autism. He does not have to be particularly scientifically savvy to do so. No doubt the science accompanying such simple truths is often quite involved (and as Pd as shown), but the truths, nevertheless, are elegant and beautiful in their simplicity.

And, as I got thinking of tennis of late, I thought this example would effectively underscore this notion of truths and phenomena being simple and beautiful, and even if the science behind them is complex. Folks, I present you with links of the great, tennis icon, Roger Federer, striking a forehand, and two amateurs attempting the same stroke.

The important thing to take from this example is that a layperson to tennis, observing the two strokes does not need to be knowledgeable about the mechanics behind the stroke to tell that Roger’s execution of it is correct –beautiful—and the amateurs’ executions are flawed. The layperson can almost instinctual sense this. As well, despite the beauty and elegance of Roger’s stoke, there is a fair amount of detailed mechanics involved in its execution: They are as follows:

Roger moves towards the ball positioning his left leg ahead of his right, while he bends his knees, and with most of his weight on his front, left leg at this point. He then turns his shoulders, and in the process begins his racket preparation, or back swing. He prepares high, bringing the racket back, head first with his free hand, and at this point he transfers his weight to his right, back leg. Then he proceeds with his swing, and dropping the racket below the flight of the ball in the process. As this occur, the racket and his hand forms an ‘L”. He then strikes the ball in a swooping motion (done to generate topspin to varying degrees), and transferring his weight back to his front, left leg. Finally he finishes his swing ensuring that he follows through, and that the racket ends up over his shoulder with its butt end pointing in the direction that he struck the ball.

Googling this stroke for other pros will reveal that with varying styles, they all execute these mechanics to a T, and unlike the amateurs who miss countless steps. And, like the vaccine-autism null hypothesis, the faults in the amateurs’ strokes are as clear as day to see.

Roger begins by

Good morning Greg, well actually it’s afternoon where I live, but who cares?
You don’t care for any answer anyone can give you. It’s told lots of times most vaccines don’t contain mercury and that if they contain merury, it’s there for very good reasons.
But you keep your fingers in your ears, singing “lalala, I don’t hear you”, because you don’t want to listen to reason. Nothing is going to convince you, so why should we bother to give you an honest answer.
You are just a disease promoting idiot.

@Renate – the fact that Derg doesn’t know the difference between elements & compounds probably means he is also of the opinion that because table salt includes both Sodium (which is explosive when it comes in contact with water) and Chloride (which is toxic to humans) is one of the most deadly substances known to man…..

The fact that he revels in his own stupidity is quite funny to watch.

I thought the person not able to see the difference between elements and compounds was that other troll will. Chemistry seems to be difficult for lots of people, who can’t accept that the dose makes the poison and that elements are different from compounds. Food tastes so much better with a little NaCl, but I don’t want to spice my food with either Na, or Cl.

Dreg, when you last scurried out of here with your tail between your legs, it was just after you were challenged to support your premise: that commenters here whom you regard as experts ‘appear to believe’ that vaccines cause autism.

What non-stupid argument can you offer in belated support of that premise? I specify “non-stupid” to eliminate, for instance, the idiotic “he talked about what the evidence shows and somehow that means he doesn’t believe what the evidence shows” argument you’ve squatted and emitted previously.

Please present your answer in the form of a syllogism or sorites. Digressions such as tennis analogies and vague assertions about attributes of Truth should be saved for your private blog.

Wouldn’t it be best for vaccine zealots to simply shut the ‘quacks’ up by removing it, and even if it can be shown to be ‘harmless’?

It was removed. Nothing changed. So STFU already.

OH J-sus! I wonder why he chose an example from tennis? Let me see… who plays tennis here? Orac? Kreb? Antaeus?
Chris?

At any rate, here’s a recent real life D-K tennis story:
2 thirty-something guys ask an instructor, Mike, if he could get them a few lessons, “Sure”, he responds, “What level are you?” The guys say that they are intermediates and that they played tennis as teenagers.

Well, they show up for the lesson and Mike sees that they are nowhere near being intermediates- they are beginners who remember a little bit from long ago lessons. they are in-expert and un-aware of it. They mix up being about to run around a lot with playing tennis. They over-estimate their own abilities and knowledge. They don’t see their own errors in execution or finding the correct positions for play.
They are- “all over the place”. But not in a good way.

Which brings uo to the creature’s analogy- it doesn’t illustrate what he would like it to illustrate.
Are we to suppose that the ‘amateurs’ are SB researchers/ advocates and that “Roger’ is who- ?
Who misses “steps”?
Who understands the “mechanics”?
Who effectively gets the task done and who doesn’t?

Setting up this analogy itself illustrates D-K.

-btw- as a perfect example, Dan Olmsted today speculates about the polio-like illness in California and arsenic used previously in the wine-making area.

@ Denice

Which brings uo to the creature’s analogy

There was an analogy?

All I saw is his acknowledgement that a common amateur can not do as well as a true professional.

@ Helianthus:

See his last few sentences. It may not be such a bad analogy if he reversed it.
Amateurs mimic superficial appearances while not comprehending the underlying structure/ concepts ” faults …as clear as day to see”. I’ll say.

@Denise – I was a little surprised by what he wrote, since it could be surmised that he, himself, is the amateur attempting to look swap & replicate critical thinking, but actually doing nothing of the sort…..I’m sure he really didn’t think that one through (like he does at anything, for that matter).

Sorry to hear that, notation.
You were doing a really good job over there.
I’m not sure I’ll have enough time to keep up with the action, but I’ll try to drop in once in a while to try to maintain some sanity.

And on the totally not serious side, I had a thought this morning for a weird bumper sticker….

Support schools for the deaf and blind
Don’t vaccinate!!!!
(deafness and blindness are side effects of diseases that can be prevented by vaccinating your children as recommended by the CDC.)

@Greg 497,
If the data show there is not even a correlation between vaccination and autism (which they do from multiple studies by different researchers studying different populations), then why would Occam’s razor imply that vaccination is a cause of autism?

The simpler assumption (and Occam’s razor is just a guide to making reasonable assumptions about the likely answer) is that the cause or causes of autism is something else and there is little or no connection to vaccination.

squirrelelite: “Please read my comment 472 carefully, word by word, all the way through.”

Any bets if Greg will answer my question on which is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection?

@Greg 497,

Your tennis example does have one useful point.

The people who have done the many studies that show no connection between autism and vaccination are experts like Roger Federer. They have spent many hours learning about biology chemistry and statistics and how to compare different factors to evaluate the probability of a correlation and the plausibility of a possible causal effect.

You and I (at least in this area) are amateurs, so I am much more likely to respect the results of their research, particularly since it has been confirmed by other researchers, than I would respect your opinions and guesses (and mine as well in this area).
At least when I try to discuss this area, I go back to the data and look carefully at the best sources and see what they tell me. (I learned that back in high school.)

Just what I thought. I don’t even bother reading his silly screeds anymore. I just give them a bit of a glance, it is much more interesting to read the replies to him from those who have the stomach for his nonsense. I salute all of you who do try to reason with him.

@Krebiozen –

FYI. I like the length of your resopnse. You’ve got style.

A recent study in Guinea Bissau found that almost 10% of children had suffered a rotavirus infection by the age of 2 months, and almost 75% by the age of 2 years.

OK. But in the US we have > 90% coverage for 2 month vaccinations; yes, the robustness of an infection vs a vaccine is different, but we are casting a much wider net at the earliest stages of life.

Why haven’t we seen a dramatic fall in autism incidence now far fewer children suffer infections like this?

If we want to base the entire increase in ASDs on diagnostic shifting, being better at identifying things, it doesn’t make much sense to argue that the opposite when it fits our recommended result.

You still appear to completely miss my point that without vaccines children lurch from one infection to another. When I was young almost every child would get rotavirus, measles, mumps, rubella, chicken pox, pertussis, colds and flu, and many got worse infections.

BUT NOT WHEN YOU WERE TWO MONTHS OLD. Think back to Galic 2008; they only showed effects at PD14, not at PD1 and not at PD20. Try to incorporate this fact into my inappropriate terminology for calling a two month old an infant.

I submit that whatever putative window of vulnerability you choose, an average child is exposed to far less immune activity in the current vaccine era than a few decades ago.

Yes, but lots of those infants died a few decades ago.

If I fall over and graze my knee, getting soil into the wound, how is the immune response my body exhibits qualitatively different to its reaction to an aluminum-adjuvanted vaccine?

How often did you get dirt intramuscularly? You ever play soccer as a kid? I did, and I had scraped knees about three days a week during soccer season. For some reason, I never developed fevers afterwards. Weird.

Why is fever required to disrupt the immune system enough to cause autism in your hypothesis?

Because it is our only avaialble proxy of immune activation available to us considering that measurements of things like cytokines, chemokines and other immune mediators post vaccination are not available. Look, if you could show me that getting a two month vaccination schedule results in the same immune response as a jar of creamed brocolli, you’d have me. Do you honestly think that’s the case? Why not post an article that tries to elucidate it?

Show me some normal neurodevelopment being persistently disrupted by a fever and I might be convinced, but even in mitochondrial disorders this is controversial.

Here is a review regarding sham infections (i.e., LPS):

Neonatal programming of innate immune function (Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab. 2011 Jan;300)

Or, a review using actual infections.

The immune system and developmental programming of brain and behavior. (Front Neuroendocrinol. 2012 Aug;33)

Clearly, the use of animal models here is problematic, but it raises to my mind how little we understand. We are just getting started working with rodents. Maybe there is no parallel between the rodents and humans. Maybe the only window of vulnerability in humans is prenatal. I don’t know. A lot of people seem to take the fact that animal studies being all we have as a confidence booster, I tend to see it as worrying. Perhaps we have different opinions.

Despite this awareness, close surveillance and numerous studies, I see no evidence that neurodevelopmental delay is a consequence of vaccination.

Please see the IOM report you linked to regarding the ‘close surveillance and numerous studies’ to this regard.

The committee did not identify literature reporting clinical, diagnostic, or experimental evidence of autism after the administration of vaccines containing diphtheria toxoid, tetanus toxoid, and acellular pertussis antigens alone or in combination.

LOL. The authors looked at exactly one study, a Grier paper. They didn’t identify any *other* papers because no one has looked.

The committee reviewed one study to evaluate the risk of autism after the administration of DTaP vaccine. This one study (Geier and Geier, 2004) was not considered in the weight of epideimiological evidence because it provided data from a passive survellance system and lacked an unvaccianted comparison population

That is the strength of data you are relying on, a complete paucity of analysis. I’m trying to figure out if you knew this when you snipped that out or not.

Is it really accurate to describe being injected intraperitoneally with LPS from E. coli, serotype O26:B6 at a dose of 25, 100, or 250 µg/kg as an immune challenge?

Yes. If you goto pubmed and search for ‘LPS’ and ‘immune’ you get nearly 12,000 hits. It is an impefect tool, there are large species differences in reactions, but it is very commonly used as a tool for investigating the immune response. You aren’t going to argue that it isn’t used frequently for evaluating immune response, are you?

So, is a small dose of LPS really analogous to a child being vaccinated? I don’t think so, but even if so, it is a very large leap from this to the idea that something similar causes autism.

I don’t know. Well, that is where you and I got into a pretty big disconnect that last time we tried this. I posited that because we have no good data on the in vivo immune response (i.e., cytokines, chemokines, markers of inflammation) that this question is a mystery to us. If you have some data on characterizing that immune response from vaccines in infants provide it. Don’t just goto google scholar and insist it is hiding in there. Here’s a tip, try searching the IOM report for ‘cytokine’, ‘IL-6’, or ‘CRP’.

Also, it is important to incorporate into this that children with autism have immune biomarkers consistent with exaggerated innate immune responses.

t? We can look at the various studies that have been done, and the epidemiological evidence. I’m convinced by this that MMR, thimerosal and DTaP have no effect on autism.

Agreed re: thimerosal + MMR. On what epidemiological evidence do you base your thoughts on the DTaP? The Geier paper?

Is the sarcasm really necessary?

LOLS. It wasn’t sarcasm. I was actually surprised! [I am trying to work on reducing my sarcasm, with limited results.]

The 13 million to one chance is worth playing because you might win a million? Why isn’t my broccoli hypothesis (or Fred’s cell phone hypothesis, or Jane’s androgens in the water hypothesis, or Fatima’s yoga mat toxicity hypothesis) equally worthy of attention?

Because we have embarked on an expansion of our vaccine schedule, but we have not embarked on an expansion of infant broccoli eating.

No considerable evidence? Have you looked at the IoM report on vaccines?

The IOM report can’t incorporate data you can’t provide, studies excluding thimerosal and the MMR. I’m going to blockquote a shit ton of text from the article you suggested I read. Can you, or anyone, point out to me within this article where data excluding thimerosal and the MMR is present?

The initial literature search identified 32 papers on the relationship between immunizations or vaccines and pervasive developmental disorder (PDD), which includes the diagnoses autistic spectrum disorder, autism, and Asperger’s syndrome. After an initial review, a team of two IOM committee members determined that 12 papers focused on some aspect of the immunization schedule. Three of the papers either addressed only one vaccine or had methodological limitations. The other nine studies examined the association between thimerosal and autism and other neurodevelopmental problems (Andrews et al., 2004; Fombonne et al., 2006; Geier and Geier, 2003, 2004a,b, 2006; Hviid et al., 2003; Madsen et al., 2003; Young et al., 2008). Five of the studies had serious methodological limitations and were not helpful with examination of the association between thimerosal and vaccines. Each of the other four papers might help with a study of the schedule.

So, according to the IOM document you suggested I read, there were four papers that “might help with a study of the schedule”. If this is your idea of ‘considerable evidence’ on a program that touches every infant in the country, I’m starting to get an idea of why we seem to disagree.

Fombonne et al. (2006) examined the prevalence of PDD in relation to two aspects of the immunization schedule in Canada: cumulative thimerosal dose and a change in the MMR schedule from one to two doses in birth cohorts from 1987 to 1998. Thimerosal was eliminated in 1996, and a second MMR (administered at age 18 months) was added to the schedule in 1996. Data on autism were from school records. Vaccine data were in part from a registry and in part from provider records. The dose of thimerosal was calculated from the recommended immunization schedule by year (notthe dose received by individual children). A continuous increase in the incidence of PDD occurred over time, despite the elimination of thimerosal, and a decrease in MMR coverage was also detected. The increased rate of PDD was the same before and after the addition of a second required dose of MMR. The study was limited by reliance on administrative codes for the diagnosis of PDD. The study was also conducted in one school board (district), and some PDD cases may have moved into that board, which would have inflated the numbers. This was an ecological study, but the data were interpreted carefully and the differences in appropriate trends were noted.

This was a thimerosal and MMR study.

Andrews et al. (2004) used the United Kingdom GPRD to evaluate the risk of a variety of neurodevelopmental disorders, including autism, tics, speech and language delay, attention deficit disorder, and other developmental delays, in association with the calculated cumulative exposure to thimerosal to up to 4 months of age in more than 100,000 children born between 1988 and 1997. The retrospective cohort study found no evidence for an increased risk of neurodevelopmental disorders, with the possible exception of tics, in association with thimerosal exposure. For general developmental disorders, unspecified developmental delay, and attention deficit disorder, increasing thimerosal exposure had an apparent protective effect. Although the study was limited by an inability to adjust for several confounding factors, such as socioeconomic status and other medical conditions, in general, it had a sound methodology. GPRD is a good source of linked data that may be used to look at other aspects of the vaccination schedule in the United Kingdom. The aspect of the schedule covered by this study included the cumulative doses of thimerosal received by children immunized with DTP and DT and whether these were received, for example, on time or late.

Another thimerosal study.

Two studies examined aspects of the Danish immunization schedule. Hviid et al. (2003) studied the relationship between cumulative thimerosal exposure via the whole-cell pertussis vaccine and autistic spectrum disorder. The study included a cohort of children with a diagnosis of autistic spectrum disorder born between 1990 and 1996. The diagnoses were taken from the Danish Psychiatric Central Research Registry and linked with the immunization history of each child. The study covered a period (1990 to 1992) when only one thimerosal-containing vaccine was in use. The study found no association between a diagnosis of autism and the presence of thimerosal but noted that the incidence of autism may have been underascertained, especially in earlier birth cohorts. This study did not demonstrate a relationship between thimerosal administration via the pertussis vaccine and the development of autism in a small country (Denmark) with high immunization rates and a good system of record keeping. The only aspect of the schedule covered was thimerosal exposure specifically via the pertussis vaccine.

This was a thimerosal study.

The other Danish study evaluating an association between immunization and PDD (Madsen et al., 2003) also used data from the Danish Psychiatric Central Research Registry. The authors sought to evaluate the vaccine history for all Danish children identified with autism between 1971 and 2000 to assess the incidence of autism among children between 2 and 10 years of age before and after the removal of thimerosal from vaccines in 1992. The annual incidence of autism increased rapidly starting in 1990and continued to do so through 1999, even though thimerosal was eliminated from DTP in 1992. The study was limited, as was the study by Hviid t al. (2003), by the fact that before 1995, diagnoses of autism were made only for hospitalized patients, whereas after 1995, outpatient diagnoses of autism were included. This study failed to demonstrate a correlation between the discontinuation of thimerosal in DTP and the incidence of autism in Danish children. This was an ecological study and so it cannot confirm an association. The paper provided no real information about the immunization schedule.

This was a thimerosal study that, in the IOMs own words, “provided no real information about the immunization schedule”. That’s from the IOM report. That’s the ‘considerable evidence’.

Regarding ‘other neurodevelopmental disorders’ we get this:

After an initial review, five of the papers were believed to focus on some aspect of the immunization schedule and were selected for more in-depth review. Each of these five studies focused on possible adverse effects of thimerosal (given via different schedules).

Right. So according to the IOM we’ve got thimerosal and MMR studies that are of high quality. Isn’t that what I’ve been saying all along? Have I misquoted the IOM report?

I suggest you take a step back, reconsider what you actually know as opposed to what you think you know, look at what evidence might contradict your ideas, look at other explanations, look at what would also have to be true if you are right.

I’m not saying I’m right; I’m saying that pretending that the data says something different than what it does say leaves us at risk of making changes to our population that we don’t expect. If I have given you, or anyone, reason to think that I question the own depths of my ignorance that was my mistake. Finally, my thoughts on the origin of autism by no means are relegated solely to the immune system and/or vaccines.

Anyway, if the magnitude of the unexpected and unintended effects of vaccines on neurodevelopment was really very, very large, we would be able to see its footprints in the data.

I would recommend you peruse the 2013 IOM report regarding available data on vaccination and neurodevelopmental disorders. Said report indicates our only quality data is regarding the MMR and thimerosal. Perhaps the IOMs analysis may cause you to reconsider the strength of the underlying data on which we are supposed to detect footprints. Perhaps not.

In any case, I am not arguing a ‘very, very very large’ effect; even small effects are meaningful on a population basis. Nearly all of our existing risk factors for autism are low penetrant, I am *not* arguing anything else here.

We are told the negative effects of vaccines are hugely damaging, but at the same time they are so tiny, or occur in such subtle ways, that scientific studies that have been specifically designed to detect them are unable to do so.

If you can provide a link to someplace where I made a similarly themed claim of something ‘hugely damaging’, I will renounce them.

I think it is becoming clear that our immune system has an important role in ontogeny, especially in neurodevelopment.

We are in agreement! My concerns are that this knolwedge set post dates the increase in our vaccination schedule by two decades. When I goto the IOM report to understand what has been evaluated, the evaluation consists entirely of MMR and thimerosal studies.

This doesn’t mean that autism is “immune mediated”, it means that neurodevelopment is. Anything that disrupts our development at a vulnerable moment may have long-lasting consequences, of course.

I’m not sure how this helps; if neurodevelopment is immune mediated (at least, in part), then conditions that are characterized as neurodevelopmental disorders share the same common developmental pathway of immune mediation.

Whew!

I’ll take a few days off.

@Johnny –

I’m just a simple drone and have never made any other claims.

Maybe *you* could show me in the IOM report that Krebiozen linked to where vaccines other than the MMR and thimerosal were evaluated for neurodevelopmental disorders. What, with you being so smart and all.

Olmsted’s article is up on Age of Autism, about the kids in California with paralysis, with what appears to be an enterovirus:

http://www.ageofautism.com/2014/02/polio-like-cluster-in-california-has-eerie-echoes.html#more

Will Dan offer his professional services to the CDC and the California Department of Public Health to investigate these enterovirus-associated cases of paralysis?

After all, polio is the only enterovirus that has ever been identified. Oh wait…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enterovirus

The Olmsted bullshit wasn’t even original. He lifted it from Janine Roberts and a whole bunch of books covering the theory.

There’s another reason why the analogy is not apropo:
I assume that those being held up for praise here are antivaxxers HOWEVER this group is notorious for scoffing at experts and expertise. Thye have their own rules.

Most tennis players/ sports journalists would consider RF to be one of the best EVER. Not much argument there.

I doubt that most anti-vaxxers would cite experts on vaccines- in fact they despise Paul Offit and the CDC.

Greg, #497, February 25, 2014

ThanAs I stated on numerous occasions, occam’s razor logic shows us that truth is usually beautiful and simple. This applies in the autism-vaccine debate, and where average-Joe can rest assured that he is capable of grasping the simple, basic arguments that supports the contention that vaccines do cause autism. He does not have to be particularly scientifically savvy to do so. No doubt the science accompanying such simple truths is often quite involved (and as Pd as shown), but the truths, nevertheless, are elegant and beautiful in their simplicity.

The only reasonable response this has been variously attributed to, among others, Albert Einstein, Winston Churchill, and HL Mencken. It is s obvious here, that I’m surprised that I’m allowed to be the one who mentions it:

For every problem, there is a solution that is simple, elegant, and wrong.

Whoever said it (probably more than one), and which if the minor variations one may choose, it fits Greg’s VCA myth exactly.

This applies in the autism-vaccine debate, and where average-Joe can rest assured that he is capable of grasping the simple, basic arguments that supports the contention that vaccines do cause autism.

Waht simple, basic arguments are those exactly, Greg? I trust you are talking about something other than post hoc ergo procter hoc logical fallacies or the simple fact that the number of individuals diagnosed with autism has increased over time.

Be specific.

Lilady: I think Parker does the rest of the country a favor. Any sensible but uninformed person who is curious about the anti-vaccine controversy will get three lines into one of her tirades and conclude that this woman is a raving lunatic.

squirrelelite asks,

If the data show there is not even a correlation between vaccination and autism (which they do from multiple studies by different researchers studying different populations), then why would Occam’s razor imply that vaccination is a cause of autism?

(I am forever indebted to Julian for the blockquote tip.)

Let’s see…..

Occam razor logic stipulates that the simplest explanation with the least exceptions is usually the accurate one.

Pertaining the vaccine-autism debate we have the no-link explanation, but it carries these exceptions, or evidence against the claim:

1. Independent scientific studies, not connected to phama, establish a link
2. Countless parents report their kids’ dramatic reaction to vaccines, and shortly developing autism
3. Vaccines target the immune system causing such things as seizures and brain inflammation, and autism appears to be an immune dysfunction condition (I will leave Pd to expand on this, and which he already has) with seizures and brain inflammation also being traits
4. The expanded vaccination schedule corresponds precisely with the autism spike (On this note, I would like to ask, which idiot truly believes that throughout human history we have always had all these hand flapping, head banging, non-verbal autistics and we are just starting to notice them?)
5. We have vaccine courts compensating for damages leading to autism.

Then there is the link claim that carries this sole exception:
1. Pharma funded studies report no link
2. Most kids that are vaccinated do not appear to react to vaccines or develop autism. (Actually this really does not serve as evidence against the link, since by the same logic we can argue that many people who smoke do not develop cancer. We must scratch it!)

Hence, we have the no-link claim with five exceptions, and the link claim with one. Occam razor logic would suggest that the link claim is likely to be the more accurate one. In fact, a derivative of occam razor thinking is the reasoning that, if you think you’re being served BS you probably are. It appears that the no-link claim with all its exceptions would suffice as BS.

He tricked me! That darn Julian tricked me. The instruction he gave me made blockquote of the entire text. Where is my Julian voodoo doll?

@Antaeus

I’m not surprised at Greg’s bungling an analogy; I haven’t forgotten the time he ended up asserting by analogy that antivaxxers, desperate to ‘prove’ that vaccines caused harm to children, might resort to inflicting injury upon children themselves so that they could then falsely assign blame to vaccines.

Indeed you’re a scoundrel as I already made clear. Please point precisely to where I made this assertion.

Shay, Parker is a pathetic paranoid pathological liar, who is neglecting her special needs child.

Further to my outline at #525, detailing the counter arguments against the link and no-link claim, I would like to pose this question: Is it better to have 1000 pieces of evidence coming from one source (ie scientific studies), or 1000 pieces of evidence coming from 1000 of sources (ie circumstantial evidence)?

One source? more likely 1000 sources using the same method of getting the best evidence there is, scientists are peoples too.

Alain

Is it better to have 1000 pieces of evidence coming from one source (ie scientific studies), or 1000 pieces of evidence coming from 1000 of sources (ie circumstantial evidence)?

Go ask Bevington.

Gregger @530:

Is it better to have 1000 pieces of evidence coming from one source (ie scientific studies), or 1000 pieces of evidence coming from 1000 of sources (ie circumstantial evidence)?

Leaving aside the fact that multiple studies done in different countries by different researchers using different datasets is not “one source”, no.
How much circumstantial evidence of witchcraft is there? Literally thousands of people (mostly women but sometimes men) were put to death for witchcraft over the centuries, yet no hard scientific evidence of witchcraft’s existence has been found.
We have told you before that circumstantial and anecdotal evidence are starting points, not end points. We have pointed out the problems with human memory, and that it can be distorted. We have shown you that a lot of the circumstantial evidence you have raised in support of your arguments is flawed. In the Omnibus Autism Proceedings, Michelle Cedillo’s parents submitted videotape of her before she received the MMR. An expert revealed that she was already showing autistic traits in that video.

@ Denice #503/505

Sorry, there was a bit of sarcasm inside my answer 🙂

Some other remarks on more recent posts by our visitor.

occam’s razor logic shows us that truth is usually beautiful and simple.

You call “every vaccine does it, regardless of their chemical content, with a delay period from a few seconds to 6 months”, with little holes when trying to add non-vaccinated autistic siblings. a simple hypothesis?
More like carpet-bombing.

which idiot truly believes that throughout human history we have always had all these hand flapping, head banging, non-verbal autistics and we are just starting to notice them?

There is a reason why “idiot” was historically used as “village idiot”.
Yeah, there were plenty of non-neurotypical people, in old times. Other people generally just bagged all of them together as “crazy”. And “useless”. The more functional ones learned to get by – as court jesters, for a stereotype – or died trying.
Between the 17th and the 19th centuries in old Europe, “lunatic asylums” and other sanitariums started to be created to put them out of the streets. Example: French Charenton., 17th century. I will let the curious ones looking up Bedlam (est. 13th century) or any other famous asylum.
Learned scholars can point at a few historical figures whose behavior would have learned them today a place on the autism spectrum.

Grog, I hesitate to tell you while you are stilll clearly struggling with the complexities of blockquotes, but I need to point out that text which is blue in colour represents a hyperlink – clicking the cursor arrow over them will take you to the link directly.
Good luck.

“Professor” CIA Parker has been busy today, posting hundreds of comments on the Mother Jones blog. She really has gone off the deep end of anti-vaccine lunacy.

She has claimed she knows as much about medicine as all the “experts”.
Dunning Kruger doesn’t even begin to describe this species of creature. She still is in total denial about her child’s condition, claiming that autism was the result of vaccines, when she admits she had a late and difficult birth, complicated by a true knot in the umbilical cord which caused fetal distress and hypoxia, necessitating an emergency ceasarean section, and that her daugfhter has a neurexin-1 gene deletion (a genetic condition directly causing….wait for it….autism!). Instead she blames neonatal Hep B vaccine for causing neonatal “encephalitis” (she is an expert in that medical condition too, although this was a self diagnosis and she never went to hospital), and this was what led to “autism” in her view.
The NRXN-1 deletion? Oh, that doesn’t cause autism, it merely makes her child “more susceptible” to developing a vaccine reaction.
So, it’s the vaccines, always was and always will be, for ever and ever, amen.

@Dingo – she is a real piece of work….despite being repeated shown that her assertions are lies, she just waits a couple of weeks & starts right back up again (using a different alias or just putting a slightly different spin using whatever is the anti-vax play of the week, that week).

@dinglo

Grog, I hesitate to tell you while you are stilll clearly struggling with the complexities of blockquotes, but I need to point out that text which is blue in colour represents a hyperlink – clicking the cursor arrow over them will take you to the link directly.
Good luck.

Thank you, dingo, for the tip. However, Antaeus’ hyperlink did not lead precisely to the comment that he mentioned. It mere led to the article heading, and hence, I suspect Antaeus was attempting to pull a fast one. Again Antaeus, please point (provide the precise hyperlink) to where I claim by analogy parents should injure their kids so that they can claim blame vaccines.

I’m not surprised at Greg’s bungling an analogy; I haven’t forgotten the time he ended up asserting by analogy that antivaxxers, desperate to ‘prove’ that vaccines caused harm to children, might resort to inflicting injury upon children themselves so that they could then falsely assign blame to vaccines.

Indeed you’re a scoundrel as I already made clear. Please point precisely to where I made this assertion.

Gladly. If a vile idiot invites me to spell out the embararrassing details of his ‘own goal’ for all to see, who am I to turn down that offer?

This is the comment in which Dreg first offers his analogy. “Tom”, in the analogy, is someone who is solidly committed to proving that “the Evil Eye” visits harm upon children. Obviously, for the analogy to have any relevance to the VCA manufactroversy, Tom must represent the antivaxers.

In Dreg’s analogy, Tom, representing the antivaxers, is able to make a startlingly accurate prediction as to what specific harm the “Evil Eye” will inflict upon a specific child. This, of course, is something that antivaxers cannot do in real life. (Indeed, we’ve seen multiple examples where the medical condition already exists and yet the antivaxers who claim it to be “vaccine injury” cannot describe it correctly; there are certainly no cases where they predicted it with startling accuracy beforehand.)

Commenter Vicki points out (in comment 614, to which I’m omitting the link to avoid this comment being held for moderation) that the most likely explanation for Tom’s startlingly accurate ‘prediction’ is that Tom “either broke the child’s arm himself, or got a friend or hireling to do it”, because he wanted so badly to ‘prove’ that the Evil Eye could harm children. This is the comment where Greg agrees with Vicki, praising her for coming up with “a plausible explanation for the dispute” and agreeing “Indeed it’s possible that Tom may have broken Bobby’s arm.” Did Dreg realize he was asserting by analogy that antivaxers might commit injury on children, so that they could lie and claim it was a consequence of vaccines? Perhaps not, but it’s what he did, whether he realized it or not.

pD,

I don’t have time to address your last point in full, but I will mention the IoM study, since I think you missed my point about it. I specifically wrote, about the vaccine-autism hypothesis:

The individual pieces of evidence may not be of the highest quality, but when taken together they make a very compelling case. Add what we know from genetics and immunology about the causes of autism and it is clear to me this is a red herring.

Yet you replied:

LOL. The authors looked at exactly one study, a Grier paper. They didn’t identify any *other* papers because no one has looked.

I suggested looking at the evidence as a whole, but you have insisted on focusing on one small area, again.

Why has no one looked, do you think?

It’s true they didn’t identify any epidemiological studies specifically looking at DTaP and autism, apart from the Geiers’ VAERS trawling paper that sought to prove that DTaP containing thimerosal caused developmental delays (which presumably means they think thimerosal-free version does not).

Neither did they identify any mechanistic evidence supporting the DTaP-autism hypothesis, despite a comprehensive search. What this means to me is that no one has come across anything to suggest DTaP causes autism, certainly not anything compelling enough for anyone to carry out an epidemiological study.

I do sympathize; no one takes my broccoli-autism hypothesis seriously either. However, I wouldn’t expect anyone to accept a lack of definitive epidemiological studies on broccoli-consumption and developmental disorders as evidence that my hypothesis is correct.

I know that there is little good quality specific evidence that specifically excludes the possibility that DTaP causes autism. My point is that a large body of variable quality evidence points in the same direction, and none of it supports your hypothesis. The evidence considered by the IoM is just a small collection.

The IoM study includes a very thorough review of the evidence for DTaP causing encephalitis or encephalopathy (9 epidemiological studies, 5 mechanistic studies), infantile spasms (1 epidemiological, 2 mechanistic), seizures (14 epidemiological, 20 mechanistic), acute cerebellar ataxia (1 and 1), autism (1 and 0), acute disseminated encephalomyelitis 0 and 5), transverse myelitis (0 and 4), optic neuritis (1, 1).

In each case they concluded that there is insufficient evidence to support a link. If you see this worrying lack of evidence as a good reason to start worrying about DTaP causing acute cerebellar ataxia, acute disseminated encephalomyelitis, transverse myelitis, and optic neuritis as well as autism, then I don’t think I can help you.

That is the strength of data you are relying on, a complete paucity of analysis. I’m trying to figure out if you knew this when you snipped that out or not.

I’m still trying to figure out if you still miss my point or if something else is going on here. Over 60 safety studies on DTaP, none of which show even a hint of an association with any neurological or any other problems, are a “complete paucity of analysis”? I just don’t see it like that.

Is it really likely that DTaP is causing autism without increasing the risk of encephalopathy, encephalitis or seizures? I don’t think so.

Going back to my ‘elephant in the backyard’ analogy, I feel like you are gloating over the fact there is no DNA evidence specifically excluding the possibility that there was an elephant in my backyard last night. You think this proves that there might well have been an elephant there.

I’m trying to explain the reason there is no DNA evidence is that there are no footprints, no elephant droppings, nor any other reason for anyone to think the elephant in the backyard hypothesis is likely enough to make DNA testing necessary.

which idiot truly believes that throughout human history we have always had all these hand flapping, head banging, non-verbal autistics and we are just starting to notice them?

I believe this.

In 1979 I volunteered at a hospital for the ‘mentally handicapped’ near Cambridge in the UK. There were several wards with literally hundreds of residents of varying degrees of disability, and many more who were there on a temporary basis, giving their parents respite for example. I encountered lots of hand-flapping and head-banging, with several residents in protective headgear because of this. I spent one evening each week there for the next couple of years, helping out the staff of just playing with or talking to residents. I even spent a Christmas Day there; a group of us dressed up as Santas or fairies as taste dictated and we delivered gifts donated by local businesses. It was a lot of fun, and very rewarding.

There were 540 residential patients at the hospital (including the adjacent mental hospital) in 1981. There are now fewer than 100 beds, most of those acute. There must be at least 400 people, probably many more, who would have been residents there had things continued as they were in the 70s, but who are now elsewhere, mostly living in the community.

I saw more hand-flapping and head-banging during that couple of years than I have seen in the three decades since. Does that means that there has been a massive fall in mental disability during that time? Or could it mean that my experience is not representative and that anecdotal observations are not a good way of determining these things?

@Kreb – Derg seems to only know what “he sees with his own eyes.” Never mind the history of mental institutions in this country and others, where tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of individuals considered “mentally-deficient” were shut away from the rest of society – institutions, of course, that don’t exist anymore because those individuals are now either mainstreamed or live in group environments across the country.

The individuals that Derg seeks have existed long before now – just read the horror stories of 19th Century Mental Institutions (or the stories told and retold of old relatives that were never spoken about – because they were “sent away”).

Just another example of how unbelievably stupid Derg is.

Autism is plainly evident in accounts from English lunatic asylums in the 18th and 19th centuries, if not also long before (but I’ve not looked).

@Lawrence

Derg seems to only know what “he sees with his own eyes.” Never mind the history of mental institutions in this country and others, where tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of individuals considered “mentally-deficient” were shut away from the rest of society – institutions, of course, that don’t exist anymore because those individuals are now either mainstreamed or live in group environments across the country

Excuse me there Lawrence while I take a page out of Dachel’s book: So with the institution closed, where the fu€k are all these non-verbal, head banging, hand flapping autistics in their 40s, 50s, and 60s? We are not talking quirky individuals that the British study seeking to justify the lie of better detection went looking for. We are talking about severely affected autistic adults.

Again, which other idiot amongst you (other than Kreb) seriously believes that these adults are out there, and we just have to search harder for them?

The US and UK are dotted with large institutional campuses which formerly housed people with both developmental and psychological disabilities. There’s a short story ( available on the internet/ “Told in the Drooling Ward”/ google drooling ward/ tasman) from a hundred years ago: Jack London worked in such a facility but wrote as though he were an inmate who functioned sufficiently well to assist with those who could not.

The place is in Glen Ellen, CA – near London’s ranch and present day historical site- and still exists. The large, mostly vacant Victorian buildings suggest that it once did not house as few people as it does today.

Because anti-vaccine advocates are not aware of places like this- or others we could name- doesn’t mean that they didn’t exist.

I was in those developmental centers and those psychiatric centers more than 30 years ago…including the world’s largest psychiatric center…Pilgrim State Hospital, where children and adults with developmental disabilities, including autism were warehoused.

New York State recently announced the closures of the last of the State developmental centers. Marc Brandt President of NYSARC has a press release up, which details the promises made by former NYS Governor Hugh Carey following the Willowbrook Federal Court Class Action Consent to close those human warehouses; promises made and promises kept.

http://blog.nysarc.org/2013/07/29/politics-as-it-happens-state-to-close-4-remaining-developmental-centers/

Scroll down to read the one dissenting voice by an individual represent VOR.

VOR? Sound familiar? VOR is the newest sponsor of Age of Autism, which purports to be a national advocacy group. VOR is a front for the union members employed in those human warehouses in every State. They advocate to keep the status quo.

@Chris

Any bets if Greg will answer my question on which is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection?

Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines. The problem is Orac has me on automatic moderation, and at every turn, he is blocking my release of this information. What’dya gonna do with that guy? I won’t be surprised if he denies it and all.

Did you hear that, Orac? Look — I am trying to have a serious discussion with Chris here, so quit screwing around!!

I will try to send the info again, Chis. Let me know in the next day or so if you received it. Chis, you must understand though that my hands are tied with Orac playing his childish games.

Thanks, Squirrel, of the kind words. I find it very discouraging to see the level of stupidity and ignorance on Mother Jones and Alternet, etc. I can only hope the asswaffles like Pi, sabelmouse, and cia are part of a very small minority.

Kreb: I saw more hand-flapping and head-banging during that couple of years than I have seen in the three decades since. Does that means that there has been a massive fall in mental disability during that time?

I have a couple of theories: First of all, an instituition, no matter how well it is run, tends to stress the occupants, and stimming is a way of relieving stress. An autistic individual out in the community or at home with family will likely be less stressed and won’t need to stim as often. (I don’t mean to diss your workplace, Kreb.)

I’d suspect that the lack of an older group of autistic people is due to them not surviving their time in the instituition, or some of them perpetually masking their symptoms.

Another possibility is that a lot of older adults were never diagnosed and were able to pass for NT.

We know today that Asperger’s is often overlooked in women- it’s not much of a logical leap to think that a lot of autistic women weren’t diagnosed or were lumped into categories that no longer exist.

I also suspect that some autistic people were lucky enough to be born into rich families, and therefore were simply labeled ‘eccentric’ and left alone.

Basically, I believe that the number of autistic people is probably constant; the only reason there seem to be more autistic people around is that they weren’t part of the wider community, and because of glitched perceptions (I.E., Greg’s crowd’s ability to project like Imaxs.)
I’ve seen this on the TMR blog- one mom seemed to be seeing autistic and gluten-damaged children everywhere, based on the flimsiest evidence. I don’t know about you, but I’d be more likely to attribute under-eye circles on a kid to a lot of late-night reading.

@Derg – exactly what percentage of autistics do you believe exhibit that behavior? Because you make it sound like it would be “everyone” that is autistic, when we know that severe autism is a subset of the overall total….so who exactly are you talking about? Because we’ve also seen plenty of children with autism that start out on the severe side of the spectrum, but do progress with age that includes a reduction in overall symptoms….

You really are a stupid jackass, aren’t you?

@ dingo 199 : I posted a comment on Mother Jones blog about Professor Parker being banned at the SOP blog…and her silly posts directed at an infectious diseases doc. 🙂

@ Notation: Were you really banned by MJ…or were some of your comments flagged and removed? I issued an invitation to Parker and her colleagues (sockies?) to come and post on RI, where I will be waiting for them.

I will try to send the info again, Chis. Let me know in the next day or so if you received it. Chis, you must understand though that my hands are tied with Orac playing his childish games.

Why don’t you just post that information in a comment on Age of Autism, Dreg? I mean, if that study exists, and isn’t just a feeble lie told by a dishonest, malicious half-wit, I’m sure AoA will be overjoyed. (Actually, AoA will be thrilled even if it IS a feeble lie told by a dishonest, malicious half-wit; who could possibly have a better grasp on what their readers want to be told?)

While you’re at it, you can answer some of the other questions you’ve avoided, such as the one at #501.

Thanks for responding Greg.
Obviously a lot of people have commented already, but I’ll skip them for the moment to give a direct reply to your points.

1. Please provide direct links to the published studies. There are several large, well-designed studies that show the opposite so these studies would need to be well designed and replicated by independent sources.

2. This is the post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy. Event B happens after event A, so the person observing (the parent) makes a guess that event A caused event B. But, because the developmental changes that lead to a diagnosis of autism happen during the time period when young children are receiving their vaccinations, there are going to be a lot of cases where the diagnosis occurs shortly after the child receives a vaccine.

To distinguish whether this is a real correlation or just random, you need to look at a large number children who receive or don’t receive the vaccinations and see if children who get their vaccinations are more likely to be autistic. And the results show they are not.

3. WHAT ?????? Do you have a better reference than PD that autism is an immune dysfunction condition?

autism appears to be an immune dysfunction condition (I will leave Pd to expand on this, and which he already has) with seizures and brain inflammation also being traits

Really? I checked a couple references for autism symptoms:
http://www.webmd.com/brain/autism/autism-symptoms
and
http://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/autism/basics/symptoms/con-20021148

and I don’t see seizures or brain inflammation as symptoms of autism.
I’ve been taking medicine for seizures for almost 40 years now and probably had them for quite a few years before then. But, none of my neurologists has suggested I be referred for an evaluation for autism. Do you think they were missing something?
As for a cause, the bottom line still is that we really don’t know. As the next page on the Mayo link notes:

Autism has no single, known cause. Given the complexity of the disease, and the fact that symptoms and severity vary, there are probably many causes. Both genetics and environment may play a role.

But, research on young infants using video of their behaviors detects autistic-like behavior as early as a few months, which is well below the vaccination that supposedly “caused” the autism. The current consensus seems to be that the changes that lead to what is eventually diagnosed as autism happen during the period when the brain develops in the womb.

5. Were you talking about the NVICP or the Italian courts?
http://www.forbes.com/sites/emilywillingham/2013/08/09/court-rulings-dont-confirm-autism-vaccine-link/
For the NVICP, the people claiming a link picked the cases with the best and strongest evidence of a vaccine-autism link out of thousands of possible claims. They were independently judged and all came back negative. No vaccine-autism link!

Then there are your exceptions.
1. I’m awaiting your answer to point 1 above.
2. Some people who smoke don’t get cancer????
You’re right. Some of them get emphysema instead. Some of them die of other causes like my grandfather who was a heavy smoker and died about 50 years ago, probably from the prolonged effects of rheumatoid arthritis.

BUT, the same sort of large population studies that fail to show a link between vaccines and autism DO show a link between smoking and lung cancer (as well as emphysema). They also show a weaker but still significant connection between passive exposure to tobacco smoke and lung cancer.

So is Big Pharma better at buying out the researchers than Big Tobacco?

But the real point is, before we look for a causal effect, we need to show that there is at least a correlation. We haven’t shown the latter, so carrying on after the former is putting the cart before the horse.

You’re welcome, Notation.
I went over to Mother Jones yesterday and was beaten down by the Gish Gallop of repeated false, fallacious and unsupported claims. It was hard to pick out where to even begin to argue against it.

BTW. I posted a response to Greg 525, but stuck 3 links in, so it is in moderation. It will probably come out tonight when it rises to the top of Orac’s execution queue.

Oh woe onto him who would instruct the great and powerful Orac in running his own blog! And would accuse him of editing out rubbis.. ( ahem!) MATERIAL and not being on on the up and up. Woe to him!
There is a line somewhere and occasionally the unsuspecting step over it. Then they are greatly surprised when SUDDENLY…..

Gregger:

Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines. The problem is Orac has me on automatic moderation, and at every turn, he is blocking my release of this information.

Somehow I don’t believe you.

So with the institution closed, where the fu€k are all these non-verbal, head banging, hand flapping autistics in their 40s, 50s, and 60s?

Some of them are still in other types of residential care such as group homes, some are with families or foster families. Some are undoubtedly no longer alive; many of the more severely affected people had other problems, such as frequent fits and cerebral palsy. If you are suggesting these people didn’t exist, the existence of the hospital, the Ida Darwin Hospital, is well-documented as are the number of patients it had.

We are not talking quirky individuals that the British study seeking to justify the lie of better detection went looking for. We are talking about severely affected autistic adults.

Which British study went looking for “quirky individuals”? Do you mean this one (PDF) that found 1.1% of adults in England are autistic? It used the Autism Diagnostic Interview-Revised, which is a revised version of a diagnostic interview for caregivers of individuals with possible pervasive developmental disorders, as described in the Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders (1994;24:659-85), not in the Journal of Quirky Individuals’.

It is interesting that for Greg every single child diagnosed with autism is definitely autistic, but adult autistics are merely “quirky individuals”. Sometimes a person’s prejudices just can’t help coming out.

A question for Greg –

Based on what you have posted here, I have come to believe that you believe the cause of autism is vaccines, and only vaccines.

Do you believe genetics play no role in causing autism? I have to stick to your requirement of a one word ‘yes’ or ‘no’ answer.

Considering that I used to work at a MR/DD facility, which has housed MR/DD individuals since the 1800s, and had individuals who would today be classified as having just autism using DSM-V criteria in the 1800s, I’m sure greg’s analogy falls flat.

But then again, who should be surprised at greg’s lack of intelligence.

Actually, Derg continues to show his bias by only referring to individuals by the traits that they exhibit, rather than as real honest-to-goodness human beings that do see a change in their condition over time (i.e. traits shown at age 5 aren’t the same or present differently at age, say 30).

He continues to highlight his own ignorance about the condition that he claims to be “intimately” familiar with.

One of my good friends spent a decade as an Autism Mentor / Tutor – assigned to a child with autism to directly assist in his education (starting in Kindergarten & working with him all the way to 6th Grade). In the beginning, he did present a number of the “stimming” traits that Derg claims are permanent conditions of all people with “true autism” – but over time, that student was able to improve to the point where he was able to be fully integrated and successful in the school environment.

These are the individuals that Derg considers “brain damaged” and less than human…..

Greg: “Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines. The problem is Orac has me on automatic moderation, and at every turn, he is blocking my release of this information..”

If that were true I would have seen it, but I have not. If your other comments come in, I see no reason why you would be blocked posting a study. Just provide the PubMed Identification Numbers, for example:
11773570
9866730
9652634
10657185
21412506
20643726
20498176
19482753

You can easily find those studies by going to PubMed.gov and plugging the numbers into the search box. Which I suggest you do.

Then tell us which is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection. Provide the PubMed Identification Number of the study by a qualified reputable researcher supporting your answer.

No more excuses.

Again, which other idiot amongst you (other than Kreb) seriously believes that these adults are out there, and we just have to search harder for them?

The fact of the matter is that in the U.S., because the obvious data source (formerly Census, now ACS) isn’t collected on the basis of specific diagnoses, it is necessary to tease this information out (e.g., here). The SSI data (PDF; Table 35) are also difficult to interpret, because “austistic disorders” didn’t start to get broken out until 2006, so there’s very likely mixing into “intellectual disability” and “other mental disorders” in the older groups, since there’s no need to go back and reclassify if someone is obviously disabled, and for someone who’s not expected to improve, continuing disability reviews are quite infrequent in any event.

However, Antaeus’ hyperlink did not lead precisely to the comment that he mentioned. It mere led to the article heading, and hence, I suspect Antaeus was attempting to pull a fast one.

I.e., yes, Gerg was too dumb to figure out that there was a spurious quotation mark at the end of the original link.

Any bets if Greg will answer my question on which is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection?

Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines.

Note that Gerg’s 100% certain lie that one of his idiotic comments is being specifically and repeatedly bitcanned also contains within it the admission that he’s not going to answer the question anyway, since there is no way for aP to cause an “infection.”

Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines.

That isn’t what’s being asked for, greg.

The question you were asked was “Is it safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or to get a pertussis infection?” , not “Is it safer for a baby to get an infection caused by a vaccine or an infection caused by the pathogen it protects against?”

Apparently if you bang your head or flap your hands one time, you are required to do it for the rest of your life. Hey, I don’t write the rules.

@Kreb 559

In Greg’s world, adults with autism, like fairies, simply cease to exist if you don’t believe in them.

-vanishes in a poof of quiet social awkwardness-

In all seriousness, though, my diagnosis didn’t come until I hit adulthood. I’d been diagnosed as severe ADHD until then. It wasn’t until I crashed and burned partway through college that I got a serious re-evaluation and it was fairly obvious at that point that ADHD as a diagnosis was incomplete at best. Comorbidity wasn’t helping.

TL;DR Autism is complicated. And if there’s anything antivaxxers can be counted on to do, it’s to completely be oblivious to the fact that Life Is Complicated and One Thing Is Not Usually Responsible For The World’s Ills.

@Johnny
‘No’.
Genetics may indeed predispose an individual to the environmental insult of vaccines that may result in autism. In this regard, genetics appears to play a role in autism. Yet, I do not believe it in itself causes autism.

Genetics may indeed predispose an individual to the environmental insult of vaccines that may result in autism.

There’s a lode of unmined hilarity here. Gerg, why would people have evolved with scores of vaccine-specific genes?

In this regard, genetics appears to play a role in autism. Yet, I do not believe it in itself causes autism.

Then why is it, Greg, that when we sequence autistic individuals and their families, we find plenty of de novo mutations in genes that are all deeply connected to neuronal development pathways, but none in genes related to immunity?

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3350576/

Once you’ve grappled with that idea, perhaps you’d like to come up with an explanation for why mouse models with mutated copies of the genes identified in autism sequencing studies exhibit features characteristic of autism and other developmental disorders.

http://omim.org/entry/600855

Did the vaccines cause it in the mice too, Greg?

Greg: “Genetics may indeed predispose an individual to the environmental insult of vaccines that may result in autism.”

And the actual disease would be completely harmless? That makes absolutely no sense.

So, what is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection? Provide the PubMed identification number to the study by qualified reputable researchers to support your answer.

@Johnny
I see you inching to appear as the big-man, wanting to talk straight. Very well Johnny, let’s see if, unlike your peers, you won’t blink: Do you personally believe that vaccines play a role in the causation of autism?

Remember just a ‘yes’, or ‘no’, Johnny.

I see you inching to appear as the big-man, wanting to talk straight.

Pathetic attempt to try to change the subject duly noted.

You can call her a liar, a lunatic, deranged…
CIA Parker: The ultimate warrior!
You screwed her over, and now she is screwing you over.

Greg, I see you’ve completely ignored my point about the actual results of genomic studies of autistic individuals.

You claimed that there are genes that, when mutated a certain way, predispose an individual to autism through some kind of vaccine-y, immune-y mechanism that seems to exist in your head.

So why haven’t the studies that are designed to specifically find these genes found anything related to immunity? Why is it that the alleles they do find lead to developmental disorders in mice, who have never been exposed to any vaccines?

Johnny, don’t answer him. If you say “no” he’ll just assume you’re lying.

Groggy,are you denying that children die of diseases that can be,prevented by vaccines? Are you really arguing that?

Ignore the superfluous comma. At least it is better than a coma, which is the apparent state in which Glog exists.

Gerg is no doubt trying to figure out how to delay long enough to the next flounce busily composing thoughtful replies.

As such, Gerg, could you apply your “occam razor logic” to cough up some “beautiful and simple” “truth” so that “average-Joe can rest assured that he is capable, Gerg, of grasping” your “simple, basic arguments” that are stuck having to explain how valproic acid fits into them?

Please be specific about HDAC inhibition, why it’s apparently paradoxical, and how your analysis supports your “claim that autism appears to be an immune condition, and vaccines are the likely culprits.”

@lilady,

I’ll be reading for some time this list of publications:

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=((%22Behavior+Therapy%22%5BMesh%5D)+NOT+%22Cognitive+Therapy%22%5BMesh%5D)+AND+%22Child+Development+Disorders%2C+Pervasive%22%5BMesh%5D

I’ll be reading them over the night as I have an early appointment tomorrow morning and can’t bring myself to sleep. From a glance at the abstract of the 21 free full text that I have access, there seem to be a big lack of IQ score reported (only Geraldine Dawson’s Pediatrics publication report it and not even in a table) and I have issue with that considering that only 6.1% of autism cases reported in Narad’s publication (https://www.respectfulinsolence.com/2014/02/26/acid-flashbacks-to-antivaccine-conspiracy-theories-from-nine-years-ago/#comment-316323) are of severe autism but it stand to reason that diagnosed case of autism later in life are less severe and in Geraldine Dawson’s case, she make the cut at 55 IQ point between the low IQ and medium IQ.

Anyone reading this email and having access to the paywalled publications in this pubmed query can send a few to: alain dot toussaint at securivm dot ca.

Thanks
Alain

@lilady,

Quick question, would you recommend ABA to the full spectrum of IQ score found in autistic subjects?

Alain

Alain, you were supposed to provide us with your legal opinion about the Declaration of Helsinki as it pertains to ABA therapy.

Need I remind you that you directed some provocative comments at me, when I commented about using a non aversive behavior modification program, to extinguish my profoundly mentally retarded child’s self-injurious behaviors?

You posed a question…

“Quick question, would you recommend ABA to the full spectrum of IQ score found in autistic subjects?”

Why would you ever assume that I, who is not a developmental psychologist or a behavioral specialist and who is not qualified to evaluate the appropriateness of instituting ABA for any individual, would ever make such a recommendation?

Alain, you were supposed to provide us with your legal opinion about the Declaration of Helsinki as it pertains to ABA therapy.

This is exactly what I’m doing. I’m scanning the literature because this is a dissertation subject.

Why would you ever assume that I, who is not a developmental psychologist or a behavioral specialist and who is not qualified to evaluate the appropriateness of instituting ABA for any individual, would ever make such a recommendation?

Okay, I won’t make that assumption.

Alain

You cherry picked a section of the Misbehaviors of the Behaviorists and stated that children who were untestable using the Wechsler Test were testable using the Ravens Scale. The Bayley Scale is the appropriate test for infants and toddlers, not the WISC and not the WPPSI…and certainly not the Ravens Scales. A large proportion of Dawson’s supposed “untestable” population were at the 50 percentile (ie. normal intelligence) according to the IQ distribution in the general population.

WTF, You didn’t even check my citation of the Michelle Dawson paper (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17680932) and you want to say I cherry pick. Do you really want to step on my nerves or what?!?! The untestable subject was research data I was aware when I did research in that lab!

Look, at least, have the decency to check for my citation!

Alain

@Chris

“Then tell us which is safer for a baby to get: a DTaP vaccine or a pertussis infection.”

Well Chris, looking at the matter in terms of death rate, DTaP is well established as a cause of SIDs, accounting for 2300 annual deaths. Whooping cough, on the other hand, accounts for about 20 deaths. Then there is also the matter of the DTaP vaccine proving not to be so effective of late, so it’s questionable how much of these deaths it could have prevented. And Chris, I am not even considering the other maladies such as autism, ADHD, LD, cancers, allergies, diabetes, and so on, that vaccines such as DTaP are known to cause. So yes Chris, It would appear that a baby is better off taking its chance with whooping cough that with the DTaP vaccine.

@squirrelelite #556

I think you are missing the main thrust of my argument at #525 with your persistence of wanting to discuss the soundness of pharma’ science supporting the no-link claim. As I explained, this matter is superseded by the fact that the no-link claim is in conflict with Occam’s razor logic, and which ultimately makes the claim suspect; and as well, your pharma’ science.

I also added that Occam’s razor logic is a powerful tool that average-Joe can use to discern truth. Perhaps our discussion may be more fruitful if it is restricted to discussing the merits of Occam’s razor logic, and what can be made of the no-link claim, with it appearing to be in conflict with this rule.

@Johnny
Tic…tic…tic…

OMG! – OMG!- Lilady and Alain are going at each other with relentless fury. Quick people — don’t just stand around and watch the bludgeon each other to death! For Christ’s sake do something!!

@dedicated lurker

Johnny, don’t answer him. If you say “no” he’ll just assume you’re lying

Seriously dedicated lurker, in the big scheme of things, why should Johnny care what I think of him? If he responds a certain way, and I accuse him of being a lying, despicable drug pusher, who out of selfish motives is complicit with a treacherous vaccination program that has maimed, and caused debilitating suffering in kids on an epidemic scale…..

If I accuse Johnny of this, and in his heart of hearts he knows this to be not true, then what’s the harm?

@Derg –

DTaP Vaccine and SIDS
One myth that won’t seem to go away is that DTaP vaccine causes sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). This belief came about because a moderate proportion of children who die of SIDS have recently been vaccinated with DTaP; and on the surface, this seems to point toward a causal connection. But this logic is faulty; you might as well say that eating bread causes car crashes, since most drivers who crash their cars had probably eaten bread within the past 24 hours.

If you consider that most SIDS deaths occur during the age range when 3 shots of DTaP are given, you would expect DTaP shots to precede a fair number of SIDS deaths simply by chance. In fact, when a number of well-controlled studies were conducted during the 1980s, the investigators found, nearly unanimously, that the number of SIDS deaths temporally associated with DTP vaccination was within the range expected to occur by chance. In other words, the SIDS deaths would have occurred even if no vaccinations had been given. In several of the studies, children who had recently gotten a DTaP shot were less likely to get SIDS. The Institute of Medicine reported that “all controlled studies that have compared immunized versus nonimmunized children have found either no association . . . or a decreased risk . . . of SIDS among immunized children” and concluded that “the evidence does not indicate a causal relation between [DTaP] vaccine and SIDS.”

No wonder Derg likes Ms. Parker – they are both experts at expressing ideas that have been thoroughly debunked & shown to be lies, over and over and over again…..

I see you inching to appear as the big-man, wanting to talk straight.

I’m sorry, but what does that even mean?

Very well Johnny, let’s see if, unlike your peers, you won’t blink: Do you personally believe that vaccines play a role in the causation of autism?

No.

Johnny, don’t answer him. If you say “no” he’ll just assume you’re lying

why should Johnny care what I think of him? {snip} If I accuse Johnny of this, and in his heart of hearts he knows this to be not true, then what’s the harm?

You’re probably right, dedicated lurker. However, I think this is the first thing Greg has said that I can agree with.

@Greg (525 & 598)

Let’s see…..

Occam razor logic stipulates that the simplest explanation with the least exceptions is usually the accurate one.

So, compare these two possible explanations for the cause of autism:
1) Genetic variations change the neuronal development of the brain, which changes it to behave in the way we characterize as autism.

i.e. per AdamG @ 575

when we sequence autistic individuals and their families, we find plenty of de novo mutations in genes that are all deeply connected to neuronal development pathways, but none in genes related to immunity

2. Genetic variations set up the possibility of a change in the neuronal development of the brain, which when triggered by a vaccine, changes the brain development so that it behaves in the way we characterize as autism.
i.e. Greg @ 573

Genetics may indeed predispose an individual to the environmental insult of vaccines that may result in autism. In this regard, genetics appears to play a role in autism. Yet, I do not believe it in itself causes autism.

Occam’s razor doesn’t tell which of those is the true explanation. Only careful research can tell us that. But, Occam’s razor suggests that the first explanation (autism is caused by genetics) is more likely to be true than the second (autism is caused by genetics when triggered by a vaccine) because it is simpler. It doesn’t require the second factor of a vaccine trigger.

And then there are the pesky data, which don’t show a correlation with vaccines anyway.

@ Greg

You never tire of talking out of your ass without providing evidence?
Rhetorical question.

looking at the matter in terms of death rate, DTaP is well established as a cause of SIDs, accounting for 2300 annual deaths. Whooping cough, on the other hand, accounts for about 20 deaths.

2300 out of how many, 20 out of how many? You are supposedly talking about death rates.
Also, which populations do you compare?

For the curious reader, I was coincidentally reading some old charts from 1898 – death rate for whooping cough was listed as 14 per 1000 in these old good pre-vaccine days; I doubt SIDS was ever at 2300 per 1000…
Actually Wikipedia mentions nowadays death rates between 0.05 per 1000 (Hong Kong) and 6 per 1000 (american indians), with white americans at 0.5 per 1000.
Everybody know that people in Hong Kong, being so destitute, don’t vaccinate, so it must be the US vaccines which are the cause of the big difference. (sarcasm)

So, for my hypothetical baby, unproven link toward 0.5/1000 chance of death by SIDS vs documented 20/1000 chance of death by whopping cough… Factor in the documented chance of death by diphtheria and tetanus, also countered by DTaP, and that’s a no-brainer for me.

I am not even considering the other maladies such as autism, ADHD, LD, cancers, allergies, diabetes, and so on, that vaccines such as DTaP are known to cause.

OK. Autism, that’s the topic. ADHD, sort of related.
Diabetes, freaking cancer? You are making this shit up.

And your evidence for such an array of bad effects from DTaP is?

Greg: “DTaP is well established as a cause of SIDs, accounting for 2300 annual deaths.”

Citation needed.

“Whooping cough, on the other hand, accounts for about 20 deaths. ”

So you would rather have babies die from whooping cough than get a safe vaccine.

By the way this part is missing: Provide the PubMed identification number to the study by qualified reputable researchers to support your answer.

Here is one PubMed paper you need to look up:
15889991

OMG, Orac is suppressing me, my last comment #606 is in moderation.

Er, on second thoughts, no. I should not have used some anatomically specific terms to address our visitor.
Sorry, cold not resist.

Also, around mid-way, I forget to say that I was quoting the Wikipedia article on SIDS. Death rates in US about 0.5 / 1000 for white americans, up to 6 / 1000 for indians. To be compared with whooping cough death rate pre-vaccination…

Greg, I see you’ve continued to completely ignore my point about the actual results of genomic studies of autistic individuals.

Why haven’t these studies found anything related to immunity? Why is it that the alleles they do find lead to developmental disorders in mice, who have never been exposed to any vaccines?

I suspect, based on your refusal to engage with the results, that you attempted to read the paper I cited, but quickly became frustrated as you do not understand basic genetics. Would this be an accurate assessment, Greg?

@AdamG
Re the scientific literature pointing to genetics as causing autism, perhaps you shoulld discuss this with someone better verse on this literature. Perhaps also that person will point you to the latest, large twin study reporting that autism is only 38 percent genetic in origin.

I will also remind you that the prevailing circumstantial evidence clearly indicates that environmental influence is driving the autism numbers. I suppose I also need not remind you that there is no such thing as a genetic epidemic.

@Johnny
Thank you sir for your response. But, a full day to respond to such a simple question, big-man? It would appear that indeed you blinked.

@Narad
The time is here again when I must flounce. (You looking at me? Are you looking at me?)

Lawrence:

But this logic is faulty; you might as well say that eating bread causes car crashes, since most drivers who crash their cars had probably eaten bread within the past 24 hours.

Oh, don’t give the GF/CF crowd ideas, now….

No, ham sandwiches cause car accidents. I was hit by a car minutes after eating a ham sandwich. That’s even more of a temporal connection than the SIDS/DTaP one.

Well Chris, looking at the matter in terms of death rate, DTaP is well established as a cause of SIDs, accounting for 2300 annual deaths.

That’s the total number of SIDS deaths per year, jackass.

@ Helianthus@ # 606:

” You are making this sh!t up”

*Au contraire*: he’s repeating crap that other people made up.
The Canary Party ( see website/ “Manifesto”/ a side project of AoA’s Blaxill et Cie) holds that many chronic illnesses and serious health conditions that children ( and adults) experience can be blamed on vaccines. And other chemicals that are associated with modern life. TMR has a new peiece up about peanut allergies being caused by peanut oil in vaccines amongst other places.

And 2300 divided into the total number of infants in the susceptible age range IS…..?

@ Alain: Unlike you, who hadn’t read Dawson’s paper, before you first condemned ABA as a violation of the Declaration of Helsinki, I already read Dawson’s paper. Dawson’s paper does not prove that ABA is a violation of the Declaration of Helsinki.

You commented without any information about ABA or its forerunner non-aversive behavior modification to amerliorate/extinquish self injurious behavior. You were quite insistent that a profoundly mentally two year old’s IQ could be tested using the WISC and if found to be “untestable” could be tested using the Ravens Scale….all the while ignorant of the fact that those tests are not used for infants.

When I asked you for an explanation for your outrageous statement and your support of Dawson’s opinion about ABA violating the Declaration of Helsinki, you replied that you support Dawson’s opinion because “She’s my friend”.

Now, you are claiming to be playing catch up by reading scientific papers about ABA to produce a “dissertation”.

You were supposed to come back here and provide information to back up your claim that ABA violates the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. That was weeks ago and you posted a comment that you would put forth a cogent statement to back up your statements regarding ABA and the violation of the Declaration of Helsinki.

I’m still waiting for your legal opinion to back up your statements that my infant’s successful therapy was unethical.

http://www.wma.net/en/30publications/10policies/b3/

One might also note the complete failure to respond to multiple accusations that the following was an undiluted lie:

Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines.

I was hit by a car minutes after eating a ham sandwich.

Thus doth G*d smite the unbeliever!

I was coincidentally reading some old charts from 1898 – death rate for whooping cough was listed as 14 per 1000 in these old good pre-vaccine days

If you bring it closer to the introduction of the vaccine, the was 64/100,000 for ages 0–1 and 6.4/100,000 for ages 1–4. Allowing for improvements in supportive treatment, one can still say that Gerg is advocating for a minimum of 3328 life-threatening cases of pertussis annually in children before their fifth birthday. On the basis of a fraudulent claim about DTaP causing SIDS.

^ Unless I’m misreading that 1–4 figure. If calculated on the basis of rolling “not dead” four times in a row, it comes out at 26 deaths per 100,000 for ages 0–4.

No wonder Derg likes Ms. Parker – they are both experts at expressing ideas that have been thoroughly debunked & shown to be lies, over and over and over again…..

Has anyone ever seen the 2 of them in the same room together?

I suppose I also need not remind you that there is no such thing as a genetic epidemic.

Something that you failed to defend either the veracity or relevance of when you brought it up a week ago. In fact, you’ve failed to defend every single thing that’s oozed out of your head in these comments.

As I explained, this matter is superseded by the fact that the no-link claim is in conflict with Occam’s razor logic, and which ultimately makes the claim suspect; and as well, your pharma’ science.

It’s odd how Greg can get something so utterly wrong, as long as it supports his delusional idée fixe I suppose.

Occam’s Razor (in its most common form) stipulates that “entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity”. An entity, in this context, is a cause that acts in some way. In other words, it is a good rule of thumb to choose the simplest explanation that adequately explains our observations.

It would be difficult to find a better example of this than vaccines and autism.

The simplest and most elegant explanation for our observations is that autism starts in the uterus, partly due to genetic and partly due to environmental causes, and that vaccines play no role at all. This is supported by our observations of the effects of valproate and congenital rubella, by genetic research, by twin studies and by other data.

The observations by parents that Greg holds in such high regard are substantially correct, in terms of temporal association of vaccines and the signs of autism becoming obvious, but they are mistaken in thinking there is a causative relationship. This is supported by large amounts of experimental evidence proving the unreliability of anecdotal observations, as well as video evidence of children showing signs of autism before they were vaccinated that were not noticed by parents.

Greg’s alternate explanation, that vaccines somehow interfere with normal neurodevelopment, requires us to postulate an additional entity, some means as yet unknown by which vaccines cause this to happen. Inventing such an entity is completely unnecessary to explain the data, so Occam’s Razor tells us to prefer the null hypothesis that there is no such entity or cause, and that vaccines play no role in causing autism.

I also added that Occam’s razor logic is a powerful tool that average-Joe can use to discern truth.

Assuming, somewhat charitably, that Greg is an average Joe, his complete misunderstanding of how Occam’s Razor is used doesn’t bode well in this regard.

Perhaps our discussion may be more fruitful if it is restricted to discussing the merits of Occam’s razor logic, and what can be made of the no-link claim, with it appearing to be in conflict with this rule.

Greg, how is the hypothesis that vaccines play no role in causing autism in conflict with Occam’s Razor? What entity or causes are we required to propose compared to those required for the hypothesis that vaccines do cause autism?

Isn’t it obvious that the exact opposite is true? It is to me.

Perhaps also that person will point you to the latest, large twin study reporting that autism is only 38 percent genetic in origin.

Gerg’s “average-Joe” “occam razor logic” fails him once again (the reference is this), because he fails to grasp that heritability isn’t the same as “genetic in origin.”

This is also a novel definition of “large,” which isn’t surprising, given that Gerg assuredly has never looked at so much as the abstract. Naturally, he thus also fails to note that the concordance rate for fraternal twins is higher than that for nontwin siblings, meaning that the “environment” distinctly includes the prenatal environment.

*Sigh* ADD/ADHD is not a malady. Also, I can point to at least two members of my family who were born long before the MMR was ever used who clearly exhibit symptoms.

Has anyone ever seen the 2 of them in the same room together?

I now have a picture in my head that can only be removed by desperate measures. Why can’t I ever find a guillotine when I need one?

@ TBruce:

Pleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeease! No guillotine.

In fact, there is not ever a necessity for utilising one:
if you have an ( atrocious, unseemly, disturbing, frightening, horrible, unearthly et al/ choose one) image/ thought in your mind’s eye, you need to construct another even more (ridiculous, disgusting, hilarious, outrageous, mind-shattering, decadent et al/ choose one) with which to replace it immediately. Try to put effort into creating something profoundly gross or offensive so that it’ll become even more difficult to remove.

Then, you might ask, “How do I get rid of that second image?”
Well, you have to go back and create….. etc.

you need to construct another even more (ridiculous, disgusting, hilarious, outrageous, mind-shattering, decadent et al/ choose one)

Count Stan and Parker?

@lilady,

Okay, ABA is unethical when the goals are to render the autistic child indistinguishable from its peers because the capacity to act like a neurotypical child drain a lot of ressources and brain power.

You said you wanted to know why ABA is unethical regarding your son’s injurious behaviours; it is not. How about stiming (one of the goals I studied last night)? It is unethical (I stim a lot), it shouldn’t be restricted because preventing such behaviours will lead to self-injurious behaviours. Social situations for HFA and asperger, it’s unethical because it tries to render the child indistinguishable from its peers.

I have absolutely no problems WRT self-injurious behaviours but please, install a squeeze machine in each homes; this will go a long way. Why do you think I’ve been non-verbal for most of the week; because I’m drained from social interaction for days on end (for the past month) and I have thrown my brother out after 10 minutes of interaction (he understand). When I was being harassed some years ago, peoples around me didn’t understood how I was on the verge of a burnout and no amount of ABA would have relieved the situation. I had to change town and I did display SIBs and stiming for days on end before the move.

I’m trying to raise a business and need all my energy but just dealing with you put me on the edge.

Is that enough?

Now if you refer to the WAIS, the WISC and the Raven for a 2 years old, I’d agree you’ll get nothing but I was specifically talking twice and now for the third time about a PUBMED PUBLICATION, THIS ONE: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17680932

There where never a 2 years old subject in that publication. Will you care to read at least.

Alain

I would like to excuse myself and ask for pardon for the behaviour I displayed here to lilady. On a quick reflexion (it was quick), I went too far and put too much pressure on myself and my comment tone was uncalled for. Please excuse me.

Alain

Alain,

I don’t think you owe anyone an apology. If anything, I think lilady owes you one for being so demanding and thinking she runs this site.

Alain: You still have not acknowledged that your statements about my son’s therapy being unethical and a violation of the Declaration of Helsinki were baseless and unwarranted. Have you read the Declaration and do you realize it applies to doctors and human experimentation?

“Okay, ABA is unethical when the goals are to render the autistic child indistinguishable from its peers because the capacity to act like a neurotypical child drain a lot of ressources and brain power.

You said you wanted to know why ABA is unethical regarding your son’s injurious behaviours; it is not. How about stiming (one of the goals I studied last night)? It is unethical (I stim a lot), it shouldn’t be restricted because preventing such behaviours will lead to self-injurious behaviours. Social situations for HFA and asperger, it’s unethical because it tries to render the child indistinguishable from its peers. statement.”

You still don’t “get it”, do you? Behavioral therapies that are not aversive, such as ABA, are not unethical for the ameliorating/extinguishing of self-abuse and self-stimming behaviors, and such therapies definitely do not “drain a lot of ressources and brain power.”

Perhaps you need to be reminded about your series of comments about me, my child and ABA starting here on this thread https://www.respectfulinsolence.com/2014/02/03/when-antivaccinationists-play-on-mothering-com/

“Alain
February 4, 2014

I’d like to bring out a point regarding ABA. Michelle Dawson (PhD…) carefully reviewed every publications and clinical trials of ABA for autistic. None of them was found out to be complying with the human research subject guideline of the declaration of Helsinki. None.

As long as the goals of such therapy are to render the autist indistinguishable from its peers (and lilady, I’ve seen you mention this in the past), such therapy won’t ever be compliant with the human research subject guideline of the declaration of Helsinki. And I’m not okay with it; autistics deserve better. Unfortunately, it is because of these lousy standard dating from the 60′s and 70′s that autistics have a bad reputation in research. Their right are being denied and I’ve been part of a research group who, for all of their failing, only do research according to the standard held by the declaration of Helsinki. Fully ethical research. And it should be a given.

Unfortunately, an ethical replacement of ABA is still in the work; and it couldn’t happen soon enough.

Alain”

You were supposed to provide a legal opinion about ABA two weeks ago..and didn’t.

The next time you post a series of provocative and offensive remarks at me Alain…you’d better have the facts to back them up.

@ Arctic Snowbird: What happened to our internet friendship? A few weeks ago you offered to help me with a troll I encountered on the Ho-Po and the LB/RB blog?

Why do I have that sense that you are gambolputty the blogger on “My Socrates Note”?

“Quick question, would you recommend ABA to the full spectrum of IQ score found in autistic subjects?”

Why would you ever assume that I, who is not a developmental psychologist or a behavioral specialist and who is not qualified to evaluate the appropriateness of instituting ABA for any individual, would ever make such a recommendation?

Surprising isn’t it, I conceded that your boy need ABA for its SIBs. Now, are you arguing for everyone else on the autism spectrum to receive ABA upon their diagnostic? Regardless of IQ and further development on IQ later in life? did you happen to notice that the category of ABA subject such as your son where in the severe autism range which take 6.8% of all autism subject in an aforementioned post (please, I’m drunk) who needed ABA for Self-Injurious Behaviours apply to the rest of the population. Now did you acknowledge that the publication of which Michelle Dawson is the author, the scientific one (I don’t care about her sentex.net publications) which you refuse to acknowledge after the fourth post (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17680932) might indicate that autistic subject of any IQ might be able to complete the Raven Standard progressive matrix within the range of 50th Percentile up to 98th percentile, regardless if they have completed the WISC or the WAIS (yes, that’s right, they did complete a group of 12 on the WISC and 12 on the WAIS).

Isn’t it funny.

Alain

I think I’ll stay in Sherbrooke next week to see what lilady is up to. Might as well as to cancel the week of work to take care of lilady….

Alain

did you happen to notice that the category of ABA subject such as your son where in the severe autism range which take 6.8% of all autism subject in an aforementioned post

Read the x-axis, and note that it was a phone survey. You can’t read too much into (or out of) that report.

(please, I’m drunk)

This is an excellent reason to take a break.

I know I’m responding to something posted way back at #597, but the Gregger’s mendacity irked me too much to let things slide.

DTaP is well established as a cause of SIDs, accounting for 2300 annual deaths.

False. In fact, horse droppings. Studies show that vaccinated children are less likely to suddenly die. However, the effect is too small to determine whether it’s the vaccines or if the parents of vaccinated children take other steps that lower SIDS risk.

Whooping cough, on the other hand, accounts for about 20 deaths.

Hm. Is it possible that vaccinating against a dangerous disease lowers the number of deaths from said disease? Oh wait, Gregger thinks that if we stop vaccinating, the diseases won’t come roaring back.

Then there is also the matter of the DTaP vaccine proving not to be so effective of late, so it’s questionable how much of these deaths it could have prevented.

Another half-truth. People not going for their full course of shots has led to an erosion of herd immunity, and to infants too young to be vaccinated falling victim to Pertussis. Also, some countries are actually reintroducing wholecell pertussis vaccine.

Wow…

Instead of being gracious and acknowledging that you might be acting rude and offensive to Alain, you continue to pester him, and then accuse me of being someone I’m not. I just happen to be a lurker here who rarely comments, so why don’t you accuse me of being a stalker now so that we can follow your typical pattern, shall we?

We aren’t friends, but we should stick together against these anti-vaxxers. And we are certainly not going to be friends now.

Alain was kind enough to offer an apology, even though I don’t think it’s necessary. Maybe you should follow that example?

Or, you can continue to act like an obnoxious b*&%h and give the anti-vaxxers fodder by letting them see us fight.

Your choice.

I think I’ll stay in Sherbrooke next week to see what lilady is up to. Might as well as to cancel the week of work to take care of lilady….

I know, right? Let’s all drop what we’re doing and capitulate to lilady’s demands. It’s not like you have anything better to do.

Hm. Is it possible that vaccinating against a dangerous disease lowers the number of deaths from said disease? Oh wait, Gregger thinks that if we stop vaccinating, the diseases won’t come roaring back.

Believe it or not, Dregs is even stupider than that. He believes that we might have wiped out the diseases once and for all if only we didn’t vaccinate. Despite this never happening once in all of recorded history with any disease in all the thousands of years we didn’t have vaccination.

@Arctic Snowbird

Lilady a b!tch? Au contraire Arctic Snowbird! The mission cannot be stopped, AS, and you have just witnessed another of Lilady relentless sorties. It will obliterate the enemy of ‘quack’ moms claiming their kids’ adverse vaccine reactions, by unmitigated brutality, showing them absolutely no mercy. And, if any friendlies get in the way by questioning any aspect of the denialism agenda, they too will feel the wrath.

Read the x-axis, and note that it was a phone survey. You can’t read too much into (or out of) that report.

It’s better than the refrain of all autistics are doomed if they don’t get ABA.

This is an excellent reason to take a break.

I shall do battle fasting or drunk. lilady want war, she’ll get it.

Alain

I was just looking back on Grog’s efforts to manufacture a case for “vaccines cause autism” earlier in the thread, and thought I’d chuck in my 2p worth.

. Independent scientific studies, not connected to pharma, establish a link

Those studies very few in number, and of poor quality and low validity. One should always consider the totality of evidence, and not place undue reliance on the tiny minority of weak studies that exists, purely because they confirm your own bias.

2. Countless parents report their kids’ dramatic reaction to vaccines, and shortly developing autism

There are numerous anecdotes, explicable through “anchoring” and extensive “post hoc ergo propter hoc” fallacious reasoning. Check out Michelle Cedillo if you want specifics on how such irrefutable “evidence” can rapidly unravel in the face of independent objectivity.

3. Vaccines target the immune system causing such things as seizures and brain inflammation, and autism appears to be an immune dysfunction condition (I will leave Pd to expand on this, and which he already has) with seizures and brain inflammation also being traits

Pd has had himself ripped a new a-hole by the other posters here. Go read, and understand. The reasoning is facile, and inconsistent with the proposed hypothesis. “If” autism is an autoimmune or inflammatory reaction, it is inconceivable that the numerous challenges to the immune system which infants face in early life (and comprise antigenic stimuli of several orders of magnitude greater than any induced by a vaccine) would not induce autism of themselves. Everyone would be autistic, vaccines or not.

4. The expanded vaccination schedule corresponds precisely with the autism spike

As do many things with equivalent “plausibility” (such as EMR exposure). You know correlation does not necessarily mean causation, I hope? Correlation here does not meet the Bradford Hill or WHO criteria for possible causation. In addition, for many countries there is an absence of any correlation whatsoever, so the “correlation” itself is variable and inconsistent.

(On this note, I would like to ask, which idiot truly believes that throughout human history we have always had all these hand flapping, head banging, non-verbal autistics and we are just starting to notice them?)

Calling people who understand there is clear historical evidence of such individuals “idiots” is no way to win your argument.

5. We have vaccine courts compensating for damages leading to autism.

We also had the Salem witch trials for people exhibiting “witch like” behaviour. Doesn’t mean witches exist. But In fact you will find the vaccine courts have never made a compensation payment for autism. If you do not yet know there is a difference between neurological damage which may have some autistic features, or of “autistic behaviours”, and the syndrome of “autism”, which is a specific neurodevelopmental problem with DSM diagnostic criteria, then go look them up.

Bottom line, Grog: You got nothing here, go away and play with your AoA friends, who might fawn over your superior intellect. Superior to them, that is.

I’d also like to know what Derg considers “countless?” Because we keep seeing the exact same people, making the exact same claims, without any real evidence to back it up – and when we do look at population studies, we find only very small numbers….so which is it Derg – something so vast that only a worldwide cover-up involving millions of people could hide it, or something occurs in such small numbers that even very large population studies are unable to find the link?

Okay, let me pitch in a few cents here. These are just my opinions, but I flatter myself I’ve been around long enough that you all have reason to know my opinions are, at the very least, considered carefully before I offer them.

Lilady – you have had to fight some very pitched battles in the past, for the best of causes, and I admire you greatly for that. Not all the battles are in the past, either, and again I’m both impressed and grateful that you are ready to fight the good fight.

What I think is a regrettable tendency, though, and perhaps even one that the trolls have started calculating how to exploit, is the tendency to see pitched battles to be fought everywhere. More than once, I’ve seen you go hammer and tongs at someone over a matter that might have been better handled by saying “You know, you might not have fully thought out that position; has it occurred to you that ….?” or even “Did you actually mean that, or did you mean something else entirely, and just phrased it poorly?”

The reason we go through these discussions is in the hopes that those who hold wrong beliefs will come to understand why they’re wrong, and change beliefs and actions accordingly. But a natural human reaction to an aggressive attack, or what feels like one, is to dig in your heels on your current ground and not grant one inch you don’t have to.

Alain – You really need to stop digging in your heels. You’re a good guy and you have a valuable perspective on things – but everyone, and I mean everyone, needs to be able to step back and say “gee, if everyone else, including people I admire and respect, is taking the opposite side of this issue, is my position maybe flawed?”

I understand that you consider Michelle Dawson your friend. I understand that you want your friend’s position to be right. But the arguments you’ve been advancing have been bad arguments, exactly the kind you wouldn’t accept from the VCA crowd that buzzes in here! If someone tried to tell you “vaccination violates the Geneva Convention, because So-and-so says it does and So-and-so is a Ph.D!” you would point out, quite correctly, that Ph.Ds can still be wrong – but you’ve been pointing to Dawson’s Ph.D as if that meant she was correct. If someone, challenged to defend their claim that vaccination is a bad practice that should be avoided, pointed to people with egg allergies and said “see, it’s bad for those people, therefore it’s a bad practice!” you’d point out that something is not a bad practice, just because it’s not appropriate for everyone – but here you are, trying to defend the claim “ABA therapy violates the Helsinki Declaration” by pointing out that it shouldn’t be used to try and make autistic people behave neurotypically.

Alain, it will not harm you to say “Okay, I may have been wrong. I’ll have to rethink this.” People will respect you more, not less, for being willing to change your beliefs based on evidence and reason – and any who don’t, well, is their respect meaningful to you??

Arctic Snowbird – butt out. Even if you are not “gambolputty”, even if you are not some troll who decided to impersonate a lurker who hasn’t been seen in some time, so what? That means that the amount you’ve “contributed” to this site that isn’t trying to stir up fights is, what, 50% at best?

Take everything I said to lilady above about the problems of approaching everything as a fight, whether or not it needs to be a fight. Now subtract everything in there about the respect earned by fighting the good fight, the fights that really need to be fought, because none of that applies to you: you haven’t earned anything. You’re swaggering around as if you had a pedestal up among the pantheon of good guys from which you can look down on lilady and judge her, but what have you done to earn that? I’ll give you a clue for free: Nothing. You sure as hell haven’t earned the right to suggest she’s a “b*&%h” and then in the same sentence sanctimoniously drone about the importance of a united front against the antivaxers. Do you perhaps naively think we are puppets, whose strings you can pull so long as you wave the “anti-antivaxer” flag? Got news for you: that trick has been tried before. It doesn’t work.

In the best case scenario, you are shoving your nose into a fight where you have absolutely no place. In the worst case scenario, you are a snivelling troll with delusions of adequacy. In either case, you can kindly butt out.

@Antaeus – I can’t help but agree. The conversation has taken on a real tone of hostility without the benefit of taking that “step back” and looking to see if the responses are truly beneficial to the discussion.

Both Alain & Lilady have valid arguments here – but the way in which they are being directed leaves a lot to be desired.

Alain, it will not harm you to say “Okay, I may have been wrong. I’ll have to rethink this.”

I agree. That was precisely my intent 2 night ago to reread (I read it before being severely depressed) all the data but I don’t react well under significant pressure. The last time I did a dissertation in school, that took me over 2 weeks and it’s 2 weeks I won’t have until 2015 when I take some vacations.

and any who don’t, well, is their respect meaningful to you??

No.

Alain

Bravo Antaeus! Yes — let’s work on Lilady, giving her a make-over, and turning her into a softer, more hospitable shill. You know — the type of shill you can take home to Mother. (Hee hee hee.)

Thank you Antaeus for your opinion. I really do value it.

My sole goal was to have Alain review all the comments he has made about ABA for the past several weeks about my child’s therapy and ABA therapy, and acknowledge that it is an evidence-based treatment that is not unethical and not a violation of the Declaration of Helsinki.

ABA and other intervention therapies when begun in early childhood are the only therapies that have proven track records to ameliorate/extinquish self-injurious behaviors.

Just to clarify, my child was diagnosed with profound mental retardation and displayed autistic-like behaviors.

Julian Frost: “Hm. Is it possible that vaccinating against a dangerous disease lowers the number of deaths from said disease? Oh wait, Gregger thinks that if we stop vaccinating, the diseases won’t come roaring back.”

Well his pseudo-answer to my question is that he would prefer a baby to get pertussis, than to get a DTaP vaccine.

He neither understands, nor does he care, that more babies will die from pertussis. I see he gets his kicks by referring to us as “drug pushers.” Well his friends are on the record of question whether or not a dead baby had other health issue and flatly did not deserve to live (a classic Cia Parker move), and also for defending actual child killers:
http://lizditz.typepad.com/i_speak_of_dreams/2014/02/vactruth-writers-defending-baby-murderers.html

Perhaps now we just need to refer to him as “Greg the baby killer.”

Antaeus, that was marvellous!

I think that the discussion can be illuminated by going back to research as well as the historical origins of ABA.
And other stuff….

So we have to ask ourselves Are there data that show ABA works? If so, in *what cases* does it work? Do we find that it is useful? For *whom*?

Most of these therapies – including ABA and CBT- have origins going back to the early days of psychology- what might be called S-R psychology or learning theory. From the early days of Pavlov and Watson to the later revelations of Skinner, this movement has always had critics in that it _ignored_ aspects of people that are specifically and essentially human. These ideas have undergone a long evolution over the past century.

Notice that the first letter in CBT is C- *cognitive*- which means that internal processing or organisation is just as important a factor in achieving the desired results- subjects aren’t regarded only as passive, malleable clay for an experimentalist potter to sculpt into an acceptable form. Subjects help determine or choose the outcome. In a way, many adults use a form of unofficial CBT on themselves whenever they attempt to change how they live or behave.

HOWEVER CBT is not applicable in every situation and for every subject: it has limits. It may be not useful for subjects who have a SMI, who are very young, pre-verbal or intellectually disabled.

OBVIOUSLY we can ask, “Who has the right to determine HOW and IF others should change how they behave?” And that’s an important question. I think most people can agree though that stopping SIBs is a humane cause even if the decision is made by others, not the subject..

A thornier question is whether we should implement structured change for individuals to make life easier for caretakers and family members at the expense of the subject- who may not have much choice in the matter?
Is aversive therapy EVER to be considered?
Remember though, that ABA is largely non-aversive- we shouldn’t discourage a therapy because it can be used in an unacceptable way. Should we get rid of meds because they can be prescribed and/ or used in destructive ways?

There are other questions about whether people with ASDs should be persuaded to learn to be ‘more NT’. I don’t know- I would hope that it would be left up to them.

Lastly, what can I say when two of our most highly esteemed minions argue publicly?
Oh my. Draconis will not be pleased: we need to show a united front or else the bold rebels will take heart, assisting them on their road to pardigm shift and eventual triumph.

But if we’re interested in investigating information uncensored – why not?

Bravo Coach Antaeus — Bravo!! What a hard-hitting, explosive speech delivered at #650 to motivate the shill football team at half-time, before they return to the field to battle the ‘quacks’. Bravo!

Baby killer Dreg –

Did you enjoy it the other day when you challenged me to point out exactly where you asserted by analogy that antivaxers might well commit injury upon children so that they could blame it on vaccines, and I did show exactly where you made that assertion? Did you enjoy having your embarrassing failure spelled out for all to see? Are you hoping, perhaps, that since I’ve referred to your idiotic assertion that doing nothing to check the spread of a disease might lead to it being wiped off the face of the earth, that I might with proper goading link to where you said that, so that your ignorance can be witnessed by all, and you can be treated as the assclown you are?

I’m starting to think you’re not here for the hunting.

Looking back, I think I started this fight between Alain and lilady when I told Alain on another thread that I think ABA is overrated, and he pretty much agreed. I feel sooooo bad! How would I have known that my opinion would cause such hard feelings? *Shaking head*

Now, let’s just go back a bit to Arctic Snowbird’s comments on this thread…where he claimed he wanted to help, because he claimed that he had experienced some similar problems with gambolputty/Caro from My Socrates Note. (I had mentioned earlier on that thread than an entire post had just been put up about me by gambolputty):

https://www.respectfulinsolence.com/2014/01/23/on-orac-isis-pseudonymity-and-anonymity/

This random poster “Arctic Snowbird” tried to keep a dialogue going about the filthy and libelous statements directed at me, made by “The Pothead Troll” and his hundreds of sockies.

Every time “Arctic Snowbird” made a “helpful” comment, I immediately viewed the ongoing comments about me by gambolputty, Craig (Willoughby) and “Anonymous” with their time stamps as well, here:

http://my-socrates-note.blogspot.com/2014/01/musings-on-anonymity-and-libel.html

So Arctic Snowbird, whose sockie are you; gambolputty’s, Anonymous’s or Craig Willowby’s?

Correction:

So Arctic Snowbird, whose sockie are you; gambolputty’s, Anonymous’s or Craig Willoughby’s?

Antaeus Feldspar @650
For the most part, fair enough. However, let me respond to one particular comment.

You sure as hell haven’t earned the right to suggest she’s a “b*&%h” and then in the same sentence sanctimoniously drone about the importance of a united front against the antivaxers.

Or maybe it’s that I saw someone that I perceived was bullying a fellow aspie and I said something about it. Alain made it clear what his opinion was, and lilady continued to harass him demanding answers. Then, the person I spoke up against made a very inaccurate and insulting comment that I took exception to. So, I gave my personal opinion of the way she was acting. Are we not allowed to express our personal opinions here? If not, then these comment sections would be awfully bare. And hey, I call them as I see them, and if the shoe fits, etc.

Alain @653
I agree. That was precisely my intent 2 night ago to reread (I read it before being severely depressed) all the data but I don’t react well under significant pressure.

I think your response was warranted, and I apologize if you felt my comment offering encouragement to you was inappropriate. I know you can take care of yourself. But I sometimes can’t help but stick up for a fellow aspie.

Dreg @646

Lilady a b!tch? Au contraire Arctic Snowbird! The mission cannot be stopped, AS, and you have just witnessed another of Lilady relentless sorties. It will obliterate the enemy of ‘quack’ moms claiming their kids’ adverse vaccine reactions, by unmitigated brutality, showing them absolutely no mercy. And, if any friendlies get in the way by questioning any aspect of the denialism agenda, they too will feel the wrath.

If I wanted your opinion, I’d tell you to pull your head out of your a$$.

Now, to lilady

where she claimed she wanted to help, because she claimed that she had experienced some similar problems with gambolputty/Caro from My Socrates Note

There, ftfy. And I didn’t say I was having problems, just that I had encountered someone I thought was him/her. I’ve seen him/her on HuffPo, and I also saw someone I thought may be the same person on Facebook. My inquiry was to determine if my theory was correct and to offer advice.

So Arctic Snowbird, whose sockie are you; gambolputty’s, Anonymous’s or Craig Willoughby’s?

Try none of the above. And trying to “out” me? Really?

I have never commented on that site. Your evidence tying me to these individuals is riddled with your own confirmation bias and is so weak that it can’t even be considered to be circumstantial. Really the nicest way that I can express myself regarding your extremely insulting accusation is that you’re a f&%king b*&%h. Your extreme paranoia isn’t doing any favors to your credibility.

Bravo Antaeus! Yes — let’s work on Lilady, giving her a make-over, and turning her into a softer, more hospitable shill. You know — the type of shill you can take home to Mother. (Hee hee hee.)

Hey, who am I?

Chris, I keep providing you with the study that you been asking everyone for showing that infections from natural diseases are safer than infections from vaccines. The problem is Orac has me on automatic moderation, and at every turn, he is blocking my release of this information.

Name a single comment of yours here that you haven’t fled from, O lying sack of shıt.

@Antaeus
As you become angry and indignant your ‘gentleman’ veneer starts wearing, and exposing the raw scoundrel underneath.

C’mon Antaeus — ‘Baby killer Dreg’? I don’t even support abortion. Well, maybe in cases where a serious defect is detected. Ok — maybe I am a ‘little baby killer’, but I see it as pro-health.

I advocate parents to injure their kids and blame it on vaccines? Seriously Antaeus, what the hell are you talking about?? I didn’t make much sense of your last comment referring to this, with you suggesting I only said this by way of analogy, and I didn’t mean what I was saying.

I argued that if we stop vaccinating then diseases would disappear? Well — maybe this was a little silly of me. Like, in the past, diseases have never disappeared on their own without vaccines.

@Narad

Name a single comment of yours here that you haven’t fled from, O lying sack of shıt.

You’re lucky it’s the weekend and I must be on my way again. Otherwise, you would be in big trouble for that comment. Woo hooo — I am outta here!!

(Just have to take one last nibble at this nut.)

Arctic Snowbird to lilady:
f&%king b*&%h

Greg’s tip to lilady:
I think asking for a ‘t’ and a ‘c’ should bring you some dollars there, lilady. If you haven’t solved the puzzle by then, I suggest you buy some vowels.

You’re lucky it’s the weekend and I must be on my way again.

I will take that as a wholesale concession that you’ve fled from every bit of scat you’ve dropped on this path, without so much as the sense of a cat in a litter box to cover the detritus.

Thank you Antaeus for #650 and happy to see cooler heads prevail now. Always excepting Greggums however.

I am so thankful I found alt med. Symptom free now at 71,
won’t bore you with my “delusional” opinion or a list of supplements I take which, of course, is only “anecdotal”.
Thanks to all those wonderful people who shared their “anecdotal” stories and brave “out of the box” thinker MDs
who incidentally went to medical school unlike most of Orac’s “cult” followers. I am also glad I was not subjected to the chemical poisoning of the current vaccine schedule as an infant; only against the schedule for infants, not vaccines.

@anon – and when would you prefer that children get vaccinated? Because it isn’t like infants getting measles, mumps, etc. should be considered a good thing (especially in light of the deaths of infants we’ve already seen occur from VPDs in recent years).

Sorry that you consider relying on evidence and Science to be a bad thing.

And how do you explain, anon, the MILLIONS of people who HAVE been vaccinated and don’t rely on unproven “alternative” and “homeopathic” remedies, yet are in excellent health? I’m one of them. I don’t go to some quack who thinks donkey piss cures cancer; I go to an actual doctor who went to medical school. I drink fluoridated water and I have amalgam fillings. I’ve never had any major surgery and have never been hospitalized for anything. And I’m not all that much younger than you are.

Explain that.

“I am also glad I was not subjected to the chemical poisoning of the current vaccine schedule as an infant; only against the schedule for infants, not vaccines.”

anon definitely was vaccinated against diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus and smallpox before (s)he was allowed into school, and definitely had polio vaccine, during the mid 1950s.

Which types of “alt med” have you found, anon?

@anon – probably more like dumb luck…unfortunately, a lot of people weren’t so fortunate.

Great genes, my ass. There are millions of people who are alive today that would never have survived had they not had access to vaccines and antibiotics. In 1900, the average life span for a man was ~47 years. What do you think it is today? That’s because of modern medicine, not “great genes.”

Here’s what WebMD has to say about 5 HTP: “5-HTP (5-Hydroxytryptophan) is a chemical by-product of the protein building block L-tryptophan. It is also produced commercially from the seeds of an African plant (Griffonia simplicifolia).

Don’t use 5-HTP until more is known. 5-HTP might be UNSAFE. Some people who have taken it have come down with eosinophilia-myalgia syndrome (EMS), a serious condition involving extreme muscle tenderness (myalgia) and blood abnormalities (eosinophilia). Some people think the EMS might be caused by an accidental ingredient (contaminant) in some 5-HTP products. But there is not enough scientific evidence to know if EMS is caused by 5-HTP, a contaminant, or some other factor. Until more is known, avoid taking 5-HTP.”

So much for “alternative medicine” as a safe alternative.

@notation How the hell did you infer I was against anti-biotics?!
That is not what I said. I had blood poisoning as a child- thank God for penicillin. Researchers and out of the box thinkers are needed. I am not against vaccines, just the current schedule
which has been in effect for about 20 years.

And what is “wrong” with the current schedule? Do you have any data to support your misgivings about it? You have yet to answer the question that Lawrence asked you.

There is plenty of evidence to support administering vaccines to infants.

Cymbalta is not a vaccine, and therefore off topic. Answer the actual question you have been asked.

Thanks to all those wonderful people who shared their “anecdotal” stories

That’s exactly what this thread about alt-med as religion has been missing. Someone exclaiming “Share your testimony, brother!” in full-on Pentacostal manner.

So far no snake-handling, though I suppose “Good genes will protect from disease” is near enough.

“Thank you again pD@399” is a pretty telling non-response to Narad’s question to you about the direct rebuttal of the post to which you referred, anon. Why can’t you answer?

@herr doktor: yeah, those “great genes” must be the ones I inherited from my grandmother. Two of her three triplets died in infancy.

Oops. Edit: I should have written that “two of her triplets died in infancy.”

anon,

Researchers and out of the box thinkers are needed.

I agree, which is why I’m so glad there are so many brilliant, innovative thinkers doing research for universities and for drug companies, developing new vaccines among many other things. I think the current vaccine schedule is a spectacular success, almost eliminating many infectious diseases, some of them killers, with serious side effects vanishingly rare despite close surveillance. What’s not to like about this?

What useful alternative treatments have NCCAM and OCCAM found? Bear in mind they have spent billions dollars researching this. Why haven’t they found anything that has saved a single life? Are they lacking the “out of box thinkers” that clearly work in conventional medicine?

Meta analysis of studies of 5-HTP and Tyrosine for depression, from the Cochrane Collaboration:

Imagine my disappointment that the list of studies therein does *not* include Brander, 1985 — a good study, with placebo and double-blinding. Also how I met the Frau Doktorin.
Spoiler alert: 5-HTP did not improve mood or alleviate depression.

@Anon – excellent, so you admit that vaccinations have been an important part of the control of infectious diseases…good for you.

What Lawrence said.

I notice you seem to have forgotten to answer the question I asked you as to your opposition to the current vaccine schedule, anon. Why is that?

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